NFL Week Two Guaranteed Locks Courtesy of VincentManning.com

I had a bad day yesterday in college football going a disappointing 5-7, and thus closing out the third week of the season at 6-7 and 25-18 overall. However, I went 11-5 in the NFL last week, and think I got a good feel for today's week two matchups.

Let's get off the ball like Anthony Munoz and hit these picks, which are in bold and based on the Bodog spread. Check VincentManning.com for guaranteed college football and NFL locks from now until February.

NFL Record as of Sept. 19: 11-5
Locks:
Oakland (+3) at Kansas City
Houston at Tennessee (-7)
New England (-4) at New York Jets
Cincinnati (+9.5) at Green Bay
Minnesota (-10) at Detroit
New Orleans at Philadelphia (+2)
Carolina at Atlanta (-6.5)
St. Louis at Washington (-10)
Arizona (+3) at Jacksonville
Seattle (+1) at San Francisco
Tampa Bay at Buffalo (-4.5)
Cleveland at Denver (-3)
Baltimore (+3) at San Diego
Pittsburgh (-3) at Chicago
New York at Dallas (-3)
Indianapolis (-3.5) at Miami

Analysis:
1) Oakland (+3) at Kansas City: I expect the Raiders to be hungry to get a win after their heart-breaking loss to the Chargers, and I think JaMarcus Russell and the Raiders secondary in particular are going to have big games on their way to a win and a cover.

2) Houston at Tennessee (-7): Lots of people are picking Houston to cover, but I disagree with that based on Tennessee's effort against Pittsburgh two Thursday's ago.

3) New England (-4) at New York: I think the media is really hyping up the Jets based on one effort against a Texans team that severely overachieved. I expect them to play down to earth today, while on the other hand Tom Brady and the Pats' offense should be a lot more polished than it was last Monday.

4) Cincinnati (+9.5) at Green Bay: This is a tough spread, but I think Cincinnati's offense will make enough plays to cover, though in order to do that they're going to need to get Chris Henry involved from the slot.

5) Minnesota (-10) at Detroit: I don't think the Lions are going to have much of an answer for Adrian Peterson or the Vikings' d-line in this game.

6) New Orleans at Philadelphia (-2): I think the Eagles' secondary will play well enough against the Saints' potent offense to cover, and the Eagles O should keep clicking on no matter who plays at quarterback or running back.

7) Carolina at Atlanta (-6.5): I was impressed by Atlanta last week, and I don't think that John Fox and co. will have an answer for their diversified offense in this game.

8) St. Louis at Washington (-10): This is a great game for quarterback Jason Campbell to buy himself some more time as the team's starter, as I really don't like the Rams at the cornerback position, which bodes well for Santana Moss.

9) Arizona (+3)at Jacksonville: I think Kurt Warner's gonna make enough plays for the Cardinals to scrape by Jacksonville, and the Jaguars' poor receiving core will allow Arizona's secondary to play them straight up, thus allowing for a lot of linebacker or safety blitzes.

10) Seattle (+1)at San Francisco: This is a great matchup for Seattle, as their secondary will be able to cover Niners tight end Vernon Davis and the team's receiving core one-on-one, and thus allow for the team to focus on containing Frank Gore.

11) Tampa Bay at Buffalo (-4.5): Tampa Bay will be no match for the Bills so long as their defense shows up.

12) Cleveland at Denver (-3): I'll give this game to Denver because it is being played at Invesco Field.

13) Baltimore (+3) at San Diego: I'd rather get burned with John Harbaugh's 53-man roster than with a team that can't play defense very well, and the Ravens should be able to generate a good pass rush on Philip Rivers throughout the game.

14) Pittsburgh (-3) at Chicago: The Steelers will easily win this game so long as they don't let anybody other than Devin Hester beat them on offense.

15) New York at Dallas (-3): The crowd should will Dallas to a victory, and the Giants' post-Plaxico receiving core didn't play well in Texas last December (and you can add that with the fact that rookie Hakeem Nicks won't play in this game).

Jason Garrett's gonna have to emphasize the running game to win though so as to keep the Giants' defensive line from gunning for Tony Romo on every play.

16) Indianapolis (-3.5) at Miami: The Dolphins are going to have to show me more on offense before I pick them to win or cover a game.

DISCLAIMER: THESE PICKS ARE INTENDED SOLELY FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES. IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO ACCURATELY PREDICT WHO WILL COVER IN A FOOTBALL GAME 100-PERCENT OF THE TIME, AND GAMBLING IS ILLEGAL IN EVERY U.S. JURISDICTION EXCEPT LAS VEGAS AND DELAWARE.

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