
Will the 2015 College Football Playoff Include a 2-Loss Team?
Through six weeks of the 2015 college football season, here's what we know: About nothing.
This time two months ago, Ohio State was a team without a blemish. One month ago, Michigan State was the real deal. Three weeks ago, Ole Miss was the best team in the SEC. Last week, Oklahoma was no longer a Big 12 sleeper, but a legitimate contender.
What statements will we make today that will be disproved later?
A sport based entirely on the results of 18-to-22-year-olds is bound to be eventful. College football, by its nature, is almost not even worth predicting; doing so is for entertainment purposes only.
But this season has taken that unpredictability to a new level. Each week has been so drastically different from the last that it's hard to wrap your head around exactly what happened, when it happened:
Ironically, and as if you needed any more reason to think up is down, the team that's perhaps been the most consistent has been Clemson, a program known for metaphorically fumbling things away under former coach Tommy Bowden. Instead, Dabo Swinney's team, as it has for some time, has taken care of business like few others.
"This football team right here has earned the respect," Swinney said after beating Georgia Tech 43-24. "Ain't nobody giving us anything. Not one ounce of anything. They've earned everything they got."
2015: The year "Clemsoning" was officially put to rest—which was long overdue—while the rest of college football burned in mighty flames.
With such rampant volatility, it feels like it's only a matter of time before real chaos takes over and the losses start piling up around the landscape. And so we ask: What are the odds the playoff features at least one two-loss team? They seem ever in their favor, that's for sure.
The last time a two-loss team from the regular season played for, let alone won, a national championship was 2007 (LSU). Not coincidentally, the '15 season is being compared to its '07 counterpart:
Let it be known that, barring a far more dramatic turn for the silly, 2015 isn't quite to '07's level of insanity. There was a time that year when the BCS Top 25 featured such powerhouses as South Florida, Boston College, Kentucky, Kansas, Hawaii and Virginia.
We may not see another season like that for a long time.
But even then, a sense of normalcy prevailed. Two blue-blood programs, LSU and Ohio State, played for a national championship. For this year to rival college football's craziest season in recent memory, a multi-loss and/or non-traditional team would have to win it all.
The good news for college football anarchists, though, is that's entirely possible. Look at the landscape just before the midpoint in the season. Of the 13 undefeated teams remaining in the coaches' poll Top 25, almost all still have to play at least one other currently undefeated team in the regular season. Math alone dictates the number of undefeated teams will shrink.
| Game | Date |
| LSU vs. Florida | Oct. 17 |
| Clemson vs. Florida State | Nov. 7 |
| TCU vs. Oklahoma State | Nov. 7 |
| Ohio State vs. Michigan State | Nov. 21 |
| Baylor vs. Oklahoma State | Nov. 21 |
| Baylor vs. TCU | Nov. 27 |
| LSU vs. Texas A&M | Nov. 28 |
| Florida vs. Florida State | Nov. 28 |
That's not even including key games between undefeated teams and one- or two-loss teams.
Add in that almost no one has played consistently good football from week to week, and the top of the polls could very well have two-loss teams in late November.
What would happen then? The strength-of-schedule argument proved to not be nearly as important in Year 1 of the playoff as previously thought. Would a two-loss team get in over a one-loss (or undefeated?) team based the slate of games played? Or would there be so many multi-loss teams that six, seven or eight teams could all state a legitimate case for playoff inclusion?
In a season where few things are a given, one thing feels true: We're heading down that road, and no one's quite sure what's going to happen upon arrival.
With that, we say "Dear College Football Playoff selection committee: Good luck making sense of it all, because sometimes, there's no sense to be had."
Ben Kercheval is a lead writer for college football. All quotes obtained firsthand unless noted.
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