NFL Point Spread Winners and Losers Plus Week Two Picks By NFL Mikee
Week One is over and there were surprises, and a shocker at the end of one game. Let's look at the action and pick next weeks movers and shakers.
Piitsburgh beat Tennessee in a physical contest and as expected it was close. I had Tennessee to cover the five and a half, which they did.
Pittsburgh plays Chicago in the windy city and the Middle linebacker is out for the season. I think the Steelers will cover the two and a half points.
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Tennessee travels to Houston, who had a terrible first game against the Jets. I had Houston to win at home. and I admit, the Jets shocked me in that one. A bad pick.
None the less, I think Steve Slaton will wake up this week, along with Matt Schaub, and Andre Johnson. The line is seven and I will take Houston to cover,
Green Bay looked great on defense but sporatic on offense last week against the Bears.
They are at home and are favored by nine. I had the Bears last week, and they had a chance, but Cutler was horrible and Green Bay escaped. Nine points just seems like too many. I will take the underdog and the nine points.
The Vikings covered nicely last week over Cleveland with Adrian Peterson making things easy, and this week should be no different. Minnesota by 10 over the Detroit Lions. I did have the Vikings last week.
New Orleans travels to Philadelphia to take on Jeff Garcia most likely and that Philadelphia defense. Drew Brees threw six touchdowns last week. I would think four would be plenty this week, with McNabb out. I will take New Orleans to win. No line at the present time. McNabb might play.
I had New Orleans over Detroit last week giving the points. Philadelphia crunched Carolina last week and another bad pick, with the Panthers at home. Oops!
Cleveland travels to Denver and Denver was plain lucky last week, with a tipped pass 87 yard touchdown. I am not sold on Denver at all, and will take Cleveland and the three points. Not many points for a home game in Denver. Oh, how the mighty have fallen.
Kansas City plays Oakland for their home opener and I like Kansas City by two and a half. This is always a three point game, going years and years back. Any more than three points and I would switch to the Raiders.
I had the Ravens last week, who covered against Kansas City after a close contest for most of the game.
New England escaped against Buffalo, but did not cover the ten at all. New England plays the Jets in New York, and this is a very interesting division match-up all of a sudden. I have the Patriots to win a close one, and I would take New England up to 4-5 points.
Miami looked terrible turning the ball over four times against Atlanta, but i think they should get it together against the Colts this week. Indy is favored by three in Miami, and I'm taking the Dolphins at home. I had the Falcons over Miami and they covered.
Washington has the Rams at home, and this is a revenge game for the Rams beating the Redskins last season in thier own house. Washington by ten. I had the Giants to cover by six and a half last week, so of course they won by six.
This happens more times than you would think during the season. Those half points are killers.
Jacksonville is favored over Arizona by three and a half points at home. I think Arizona will bounce back this week, after a poor showing against their rival Forty-Niners. I lost that one picking Arizona, but I was happy for my home town Niners. Arizona to cover the three and a half. I think they will win outright this week.
San Francisco hosts Seattle who cruised over the Rams last week 28-0. I picked the Rams and that just seems dumb at this point. The line was seven, and the Rams could not even score seven. The Niners are favored by a point and a half. I will take the up-start Niners.
Atlanta plays Carolina and is favored by six and a half. After last week, watching both teams, It's pretty obvious who's going to win. Go Birds.
Tampa Bay travels to Buffalo and I like the Bills at home. Tampa will struggle this season. The line should not be much, so take the home team.
The Ravens travel to San Diego and the travel is always a problem when you go that far from home, east to west. San Diego will be favored by 3-5 points I imagine. Take the home team in this one.
The Cowboys play the Giants at home and they are always hot early in the season. Only three points, and Romo has some confidence going, spreading the ball around. I'll take Dallas at home. They covered for me last week against Tampa.
Last week I was 7-9 against the spread and hope to get going this week.
If you gamble, it's best to play as many games as possible, with the same amount bet on all the games. That sure thing big bet, will jump up and bite your ass, quite a bit.
Over the course of a season, if i was gambling, I seldom come out behind at the end of a season with this formula. Last week. however, you would have lost a little at 8-8.
Seven wins at a 100 dollar bet per game would get you back 630 bucks. Nine losses loses 900 dollars. Bookies, or a casino rake ten percent for the action.
Theoreticllay. I would be down 270 dollars this week.
ITry to play all the games possible, with intelligent picks. You'll usually do all right, if you stick to decent high percentages. Home teams have an edge, and division rivals play closer games than non-division teams for some reason.
I like taking the home teams especially in the NFC East. The Giants, Washington. Philadelphia, and Dallas all play well at home. I have Dallas and Washington at home this week, but the injury to Mcnabb has me apprehensive against the high powered offense of Drew Brees and the Saints.
Have a great week and good luck to all your teams.
Thomas [NFL Mikee ]Moreland

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