MLB Predictions 2025: Updated Win-Loss Projections for Every Team
In 2024, no MLB team won 100 games. The Los Angeles Dodgers led the sport with 98 wins, marking the first time since 2014 that no team won 100 or more games over a full 162-game season.
Will that change this year? We're guessing yes, and you probably know which team we have in mind.
To find that out and more, here are our updated win-loss projections for every MLB team heading into Opening Day.
AL East
1 of 6
Baltimore Orioles' DraftKings Over/Under: 87.5
The Orioles won 91 games last year, 10 less than they did in 2023 when they won the AL East. They did lose Corbin Burnes and Anthony Santander in free agency this offseason, but the return of closer Félix Bautista from Tommy John surgery should make Baltimore's bullpen drastically better in 2025.
Even if the starting rotation takes a step back without Burnes, the mix of an improved bullpen and a lineup that's still littered with young talents should make the O's the favorites to win the AL East in 2025.
Prediction: 94-68 (Over)
Boston Red Sox's DraftKings Over/Under: 86.5
The Red Sox haven't won the AL East since 2018, when they finished with a franchise-record 108 victories and won the World Series. After adding Garrett Crochet, Alex Bregman and Walker Buehler, they should be a wild-card team at a minimum, if not AL East winners.
Top prospect Kristian Campbell will be the Opening Day second baseman, while both Roman Anthony and Marcelo Mayer could debut at some point in 2025. Boston has a bright present and perhaps an even brighter future.
Prediction: 92-70 (Over)
Toronto Blue Jays' DraftKings Over/Under: 78.5
It feels like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be playing elsewhere next season, and Bo Bichette is also entering a contract season. Still, both are in Toronto for now, and the Blue Jays added Santander along with Jeff Hoffman, Max Scherzer and Andrés Giménez this offseason.
Even with the cloud of long-term uncertainty hanging over them, the Blue Jays should easily clear their 78.5 win total in 2025.
Prediction: 87-75 (Over)
New York Yankees' DraftKings Over/Under: 89.5
It's hard to feel good about the Yankees coming off of a spring where they lost Gerrit Cole to Tommy John surgery and have Giancarlo Stanton dealing with season-threatening discomfort in both elbows.
The Yankees added Max Fried, Paul Goldschmidt, Devin Williams and Cody Bellinger in the offseason, but they lost Juan Soto and essentially Cole, and there's a chance that Stanton—last year's ALCS MVP—doesn't play in 2025. They aren't going to be a disaster, but a step back seems likely.
Prediction: 86-76 (Under)
Tampa Bay Rays' DraftKings Over/Under: 81.5
Former All-Star lefty Shane McClanahan was supposed to be the Opening Day starter for the Rays, but he now has a nerve problem in his left triceps that will have him begin the season on the injured list. Junior Caminero has breakout potential, but he's part of what's one of the more underwhelming lineups in MLB on paper.
Between roster concerns and having to spend almost all of July and August on the road because they are now playing their home games outside at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, the Rays' chances in a loaded division don't seem great.
Prediction: 77-85 (Under)
AL Central
2 of 6
Kansas City Royals' DraftKings Over/Under: 83.5
The Royals probably remain too reliant on the one-two punch of Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez offensively, but that's one of the better duos in MLB. Ditto for their starting rotation pairing of Cole Ragans and Seth Lugo.
With the addition of Carlos Estévez to the back end of the bullpen with Lucas Erceg, the Royals have enough to win a division that has a lot of good-but-not-great teams. However, they need to add a big outfield bat in the summer to have a chance to make a deep run in October.
Prediction: 88-74 (Over)
Detroit Tigers' DraftKings Over/Under: 83.5
The Tigers have an elite starting rotation duo of their own in reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal and Jack Flaherty. The rotation as a whole has a chance to be special if any of Reese Olsen, Casey Mize or Jackson Jobe take a major step forward. But even with the addition of Gleyber Torres, the lineup still seems underwhelming.
Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene are building blocks, but Detroit's expected Opening Day lineup includes four players—Wenceel Pérez, Trey Sweeney, Javier Báez and Jake Rogers—who are projected to finish the season with an OPS under .685. We have them going over their projected win total, but not by enough to make the postseason for a second year in a row.
Prediction: 84-78 (Over)
Cleveland Guardians' DraftKings Over/Under: 82.5
The Guardians were one of the final four teams standing last year, but they traded away the right side of their infield in the winter in Josh Naylor and Giménez. There also remains little certainty behind Tanner Bibee in the starting rotation.
Cleveland's bullpen again figures to be one of the best in baseball. But if the quartet of Emmanuel Clase, Hunter Gaddis, Cade Smith and Tim Herrin is mortal this season, the Guardians figure to regress from the AL Central-best 92 wins they finished with last year.
Prediction: 82-80 (Under)
Minnesota Twins' DraftKings Over/Under: 84.5
The Twins have a talented lineup when healthy, but they've built around three injury-prone players in Carlos Correa, Royce Lewis and Byron Buxton. Buxton led the trio last year with 102 games played, which is not exactly a ringing endorsement. Meanwhile, Lewis is starting the year on the IL with a left hamstring strain.
If the Twins disappoint the way that we expect in 2025, they'll need to take a hard look at whether they want to continue to build around that trio.
Prediction: 76-86 (Under)
Chicago White Sox's DraftKings Over/Under: 53.5
Just by showing up, the White Sox should be better than last year's historically bad 41-121 team. And they probably will, as we're predicting a nine-win improvement from last year. However, it's hard to bump them up much more than that after they lost Crochet, who had 209 strikeouts in 146 innings for them last season.
Sean Burke—who has pitched 19 innings in MLB to this point—will get the ball for the White Sox on Opening Day this year. They may have young talent that could guide them back to the playoffs one day, but it figures to be another painful season on the South Side in the meantime.
Prediction: 50-112 (Under)
AL West
3 of 6
Texas Rangers' DraftKings Over/Under: 85.5
The Rangers had a World Series hangover last season, regressing to 78 wins a year after winning their first title in 2023. They certainly don't have a roster of ironmen, but it stands to reason they'll get more availability out of Jacob deGrom, Evan Carter and Josh Jung than they did last season.
Texas also added Joc Pederson and Jake Burger to a lineup that already included Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Adolis García. The injury concerns with this roster give them a real floor, but their ceiling is winning the AL West and making a deep playoff run.
Prediction: 93-69 (Over)
Seattle Mariners' DraftKings Over/Under: 84.5
Seattle's offense scored the fourth-most runs in MLB last September, but it was too little, too late. So, how did the Mariners respond to wasting probably the best starting staff in baseball last year? By making no impact additions this offseason.
Instead, the Mariners are hoping that Julio Rodríguez, J.P. Crawford and Randy Arozarena will bounce back, helping Cal Raleigh hit enough to get to the postseason. Apologies to Logan Gilbert, Luis Castillo, Bryce Miller and Bryan Woo, but the over on the wins total here will once again leave you at home in October.
Prediction: 85-77 (Over)
Houston Astros' DraftKings Over/Under: 87.5
The Astros added Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker this offseason, but they saw Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman (among others) depart. Houston is high on rookie outfielder Cam Smith, who was part of the return from the Chicago Cubs for Tucker.
However, there's quite a bit of uncertainty in their starting rotation. While they did backfill the lineup nicely, it's still worse than what they finished the season with. We're taking the under and the first missed postseason since 2016 for the Astros.
Prediction: 83-79 (Under)
Athletics' DraftKings Over/Under: 71.5
The A's quietly went 32-32 after the All-Star break last year, led by a lineup that has some real thump with the likes of Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler and JJ Bleday. The Athletics also improved their starting rotation in a major way this offseason, signing Luis Severino and trading for Jeffrey Springs.
When you also factor in electric closer Mason Miller, the A's have a real shot to clear their win total. The playoffs might be a bit ambitious, but things are finally looking up for the A's again.
Prediction: 75-87 (Over)
Los Angeles Angels' DraftKings Over/Under: 71.5
There's some positivity surrounding the Angels following an offseason where they added veterans like Yusei Kikuchi, Jorge Soler, Travis d'Arnaud and Kenley Jansen to their roster. Ultimately, though, positivity has to subside for some teams once the season gets going.
There's no reason to believe that Mike Trout, who played in only 266 of a possible 648 games over the last four seasons, is suddenly going to stay healthy again. And there was a reason why veterans like Yoán Moncada, Tim Anderson and Kyle Hendriks were available in the first place.
Prediction: 64-98 (Under)
NL East
4 of 6
Atlanta Braves' DraftKings Over/Under: 93.5
The Braves had horrific injury luck last year, and they still managed to win 89 games. There's no guarantee that Chris Sale matches the 177.2 innings he pitched in 2024, but Atlanta has Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuña Jr. set to return from major injuries relatively early in the season, rejoining one of the most loaded rosters in baseball.
In addition to Acuña, Matt Olson, Austin Riley and Michael Harris II are all capable of putting up MVP numbers. After their streak of six straight NL East titles was snapped last year, expect the Braves to start a new one in 2025.
Prediction: 95-67 (Over)
Philadelphia Phillies' DraftKings Over/Under: 91.5
We're going with the under on the Phillies, but only by a half-game. Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, Cristopher Sánchez and Jesús Luzardo are key cogs in potentially the best rotation the NL has to offer. The lineup has had flaws exposed in the postseason, but it is still a borderline top-five group, led by Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner.
The clock is ticking on an aging roster, but the Phillies should be a playoff team for the fourth time in as many years.
Prediction: 91-71 (Under)
New York Mets' DraftKings Over/Under: 90.5
The Mets reeled in the biggest fish of the offseason by signing Juan Soto, and they still managed to bring Pete Alonso back to a lineup that has Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos. Where the Mets fall short of both the Braves and Phillies is in their starting rotation.
They should get Sean Manaea back from a strained oblique early in the season, but their rotation to begin the year will be Clay Holmes, Tylor Megill, Griffin Canning, David Peterson and Kodai Senga. Without enough arms, the Mets will still be a playoff contender, albeit one that falls short of their over/under.
Prediction: 87-75 (Under)
Washington Nationals' DraftKings Over/Under: 72.5
The Nationals are a year—and probably an ownership change—away from re-emerging as contenders. They have lots of young pieces in the lineup to be excited about, including James Wood, CJ Abrams, Luis García Jr. and Dylan Crews. But they opted for more modest veteran winter additions to augment that group with Josh Bell and Nathaniel Lowe.
With Josiah Gray likely to miss the entirety of the season after undergoing Tommy John surgery, MacKenzie Gore is the only arm in the rotation who's projected to post an ERA under 4.25 this season. The worst of the rebuild is in the rear-view mirror, but with three teams who have World Series aspirations above them, their record might not be much different than the 71-91 mark from last year.
Prediction: 72-90 (Under)
Miami Marlins' DraftKings Over/Under: 63.5
Former NL Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcántara is back after missing last year recovering from Tommy John surgery, but the clock already appears to be ticking toward when he'll be traded. Luzardo and Burger were big additions for their new teams, but they were perplexing offseason trades from the perspective of the Marlins, as neither were entering a contract year.
Alcántara may make every five days watchable for a few months, but this is one of the most nondescript teams in MLB. They are likely headed for 100-plus losses.
Prediction: 56-106 (Under)
NL Central
5 of 6
Chicago Cubs' DraftKings Over/Under: 85.5
The Cubs had some very good players in their lineup with Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ, but they needed a superstar. The addition of Kyle Tucker should give them that. Meanwhile, they have a tremendous one-two punch in their starting rotation with Justin Steele and Shota Imanaga.
For as disappointing as Craig Counsell's first season on the job was, the Cubs feel like a good bet both for the over and to win the wide-open NL Central.
Prediction: 88-74 (Over)
Cincinnati Reds' DraftKings Over/Under: 78.5
If there's anyone who's capable of getting the most out of a talented roster, it's future Hall of Famer Terry Francona, whom the Reds this hired offseason. But for as much as there is to like about the high-end pieces on Cincinnati's roster—like Elly De La Cruz and Hunter Greene—there's a bit too much uncertainty.
Matt McLain is coming back after missing all of last season recovering from shoulder surgery. Brady Singer seems like an odd fit for Great American Ballpark. Nick Lodolo has shown flashes, but he hasn't been able to stay on the mound. Austin Hays, Gavin Lux and Christian Encarnacion-Strand are all major question marks in the lineup.
We'll take the over on the Reds, but we'll stop short of predicting them to be a playoff team.
Prediction: 83-79 (Over)
Milwaukee Brewers' DraftKings Over/Under: 83.5
The Brewers overcame the loss of Corbin Burnes via trade and Christian Yelich/Brandon Woodruff to injuries to win 93 games last year. Yelich and Woodruff are now back, but Milwaukee saw Willy Adames leave in free agency in the offseason and traded Devin Williams to the Yankees. We also don't know if Trevor Megill is going to be able to match his career-year last season in the bullpen.
Eventually, losing so much talent has to catch up to you. While the Brewers still have some nice pieces on their roster, they feel like an obvious regression candidate in 2025.
Prediction: 82-80 (Under)
St. Louis Cardinals' DraftKings Over/Under: 76.5
The Cardinals didn't have the offseason sell-off that many anticipated, as Ryan Helsley, Nolan Arenado, Sonny Gray and Willson Contreras all still remain. Perhaps we're underestimating what St. Louis could do in 2025 since the organization has been open about looking toward 2026.
However, the starting rotation falls off in a hurry after Gray and Erick Fedde. And if the Cardinals are on the fringes of contention this summer, they might decide to sell off pieces like Helsley and Arenado as they plan for the future.
Prediction: 74-88 (Under)
Pittsburgh Pirates' DraftKings Over/Under: 77.5
Dejan Kovacevic of DK Sports Pittsburgh reported last week that Pirates owner Bob Nutting is losing quite a bit of money. If that's indeed the case, he should sell the team, because the Pirates are at risk of wasting their window with Paul Skenes.
Re-signing Andrew McCutchen, signing Tommy Pham and trading for Spencer Horwitz didn't move the needle for a team that needed to make major offensive upgrades to compete even in a division that doesn't have a powerhouse.
Prediction: 71-91 (Under)
NL West
6 of 6
Los Angeles Dodgers' DraftKings Over/Under: 103.5
As wild as it may seem, we're going to hammer the over on the Dodgers. The defending World Series champions are a better team now than they were last October, having added Roki Sasaki, Blake Snell, Tanner Scott, Kirby Yates and Michael Conforto in the winter.
Shohei Ohtani will pitch again this season, while Tyler Glasnow and Dustin May are back from injuries as well. Assuming Mookie Betts gets over the early-season illness that sidelined him in Japan, he, Ohtani and Freddie Freeman will lead what could be one of the greatest regular-season teams we've ever seen.
Prediction: 108-54 (Over)
Arizona Diamondbacks' DraftKings Over/Under: 86.5
If the Diamondbacks were in any other division, we'd probably pick them to win it. Even though they are stuck in one with the Dodgers, we're going to bet they blow past their over/under total and claim the top wild-card spot in the NL.
With the addition of Naylor, the Diamondbacks should have a top-five offense. And that's not even the best part of their team, as Corbin Burnes has joined a starting rotation with Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Eduardo Rodríguez, Brandon Pfaadt and Jordan Montgomery in the mix.
If injuries don't decimate their pitching like they did last season, the Diamondbacks might be the biggest threats to the Dodgers winning a second straight NL pennant.
Prediction: 93-69 (Over)
San Diego Padres' DraftKings Over/Under: 85.5
There's an element of math here. If the Dodgers and Diamondbacks combine for 201 wins, the third-place team in the division probably has to take a bit of a dip.
The Padres still have quite a bit of talent with Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr. Jackson Merill and Dylan Cease, but they lost Jurickson Profar, Ha-Seong Kim and Scott in the offseason. They are still a playoff-caliber roster, but they're worse than the group that won 93 games last season.
Prediction: 85-77 (Under)
San Francisco Giants' DraftKings Over/Under: 80.5
This is an over, but probably not one that will excite Giants fans. Again, though, math comes into play.
San Francisco improved its offense with the addition of Adames in the winter, but it still feels like it's a few bats away. There's also a bit too much uncertainty in the starting rotation with Robbie Ray in his first full year back from Tommy John surgery and Justin Verlander, well, 42 years old.
Bob Melvin's squad should be competitive, but they seem clearly worse than the Padres, who fall short of being in the same class as the Dodgers or Diamondbacks.
Prediction: 81-81 (Over)
Colorado Rockies' DraftKings Over/Under: 58.5
Under owner Dick Monfort, the Rockies seem content to just participate. This isn't to say it's his fault, but the Rockies have lost 100-plus games in each of the past two years and manager Bud Black has survived.
In response to such embarrassing campaigns, Colorado didn't make any major offseason additions. Thairo Estrada, a rebound candidate whom they signed from the Giants, is going to open on the IL with a fractured wrist. Meanwhile, they sold low on outfielder Nolan Jones over the weekend, dealing him off a down year to the Guardians for second baseman Tyler Freeman.
At least Coors Field is nice in the summer.
Prediction: 57-105 (Under)
