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San Diego Padres' Ian Kennedy works against the Oakland Athletics in the first inning of a baseball game Thursday, June 18, 2015, in Oakland, Calif. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)
San Diego Padres' Ian Kennedy works against the Oakland Athletics in the first inning of a baseball game Thursday, June 18, 2015, in Oakland, Calif. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)Ben Margot/Associated Press

Daily Fantasy Baseball 2015: MLB DraftKings Studs and Duds for June 24

Tyler ConditJun 24, 2015

ESPN.com has a stat that measures the scoring impact of each ballpark in the league. The equation (written out at the bottom of the linked page) is relatively simple. It compares the amount of runs each team scores and allows per game at home to that same team's runs scored and allowed per game on the road.

We're now a little more than 70 games through the season, and it's no surprise which park has taken a commanding lead as the best hitter's park in the league.

It's Coors Field in Denver. The Rockies and their opponents have scored nearly 1.4 times as many runs in the altitude than in Rockies road games. Shocking.

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No. 2 on the list is less obvious. It's Miller Park in Milwaukee, where the Brewers and their foes amass 1.31 times as many runs as they do in Brewers road bouts.

Pretty weird that the top two parks for offense are both named for the United States' second-largest beer manufacturer MillerCoors. Are they trying to tell (or sell) us something? Would MillerCoors brass prefer baseball to turn into a professional soft-pitch beer league?

We may never know.  

Anyway, the point is, though it's never an exact science, park factors are usually helpful indicators in picking fantasy players. If you have two position players with the exact same numbers, you'd rather start the one playing at Coors Field than in San Francisco. The inverse is true for pitchers. 

With that in mind, let's dive into today's studs and duds.

StudsOpp.PriceDudsOpp.Price
Chris Sale@ Min$12,600Cole Hamels@ NYY$10,300
Gerrit Colevs. Cin$10,500Carlos Carrascovs. Det$9,100
Jaime Garcia@ Mia$8,800Justin Verlander@ Cle$8,000
Shelby Miller@ Was$8,400Bartolo Colon@ Mil$6,900
Ian Kennedy@ SF$8,100Nathan Karnsvs. Tor$6,700
Roenis Eliasvs. KC$7,400Wandy Rodriguezvs. Oak$6,000
Ryan Vogelsongvs. SD$6,200Allen Webster@ Col$5,200

Despite enjoying a monstrous amount of success on the road, the San Francisco Giants bats have dropped dead at home this season. Per fangraphs.com, the Giants are 23rd league-wide in team batting average at home and dead last in runs scored.

This is mostly due to a dearth in power. San Fran has hit just 19 home runs as a team in their 36 home games this season. They've dropped into last place in the league in isolated power at home.

Ian Kennedy is not a stud pitcher by any stretch, but he has been consistent over his last four starts. He gets to throw in SF tonight, where the long ball, like an early summertime heatwave, is a relative myth. 

His opponent, Ryan Vogelsong, might even be a better play. Despite some recent turmoil, Vogie has had a solid season as the Giants' fifth starter. His price tag is low and his ceiling is high enough that he should finish above value. Plus numberFire.com projects Vogelsong as the top value start tonight. 

I don't love Chris Sale tonight, but how can I not include the man who, per draftkings.com, has posted six straight double-digit-strikeout games and five straight 12-strikeout games. 

PositionStudsOpp.PriceDudsOpp.Price
CBrian McCannvs. Phi$3,800Jeff Mathisvs. Stl$2,300
1BMark Reynolds@ Mia$2,900Albert Pujolsvs. Hou$5,100
2BDJ LeMahieuvs. Ari$4,000Dustin Pedroiavs. Bal$4,100
3BMaikel Franco@ NYY$4,200Miguel Cabrera@ Cle$5,000
SSRuben Tejada@ Mil$2,700Erick Aybarvs. Hou$3,500
OFBen Paulsenvs. Ari$3,400Billy Hamilton@ Pit$4,000
OFChris Parmelee@ Bos$3,100Joc Pederson@ CHC$4,300
OFJake Elmorevs. Tor$2,000Mark Trumbovs. KC$3,900

The Rockies and Diamondbacks should tee off tonight in Denver. 

NumberFire.com loves DJ Lemahieu and Ben Paulsen for Colorado tonight. They're both underpriced and undervalued. 

You can also make a strong case for almost anyone on the Diamondbacks, yet I'm avoiding the egregious $6,600 price tag on Paul Goldschmidt. That might backfire, but I just can't shell out mid-level pitcher money for a first baseman. 

You might also notice Albert Pujols in the "duds" column. He has been absolutely raking of late, but his price on draftkings.com jumped $700 in the past two days. On a day with zero stud pitchers taking the hill, I'd like both Pujols and Goldschmidt, but it might be a day to save on position players. 

The only guy hotter than Maikel Franco right now is Max Scherzer, and he's off today. I'm willing to ride out Franco's incredible series against the Bronx Bombers. 

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