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HOUSTON, TX- OCTOBER 09: Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts in the pocket against the  Houston Texans in a NFL game on October 9, 2014 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
HOUSTON, TX- OCTOBER 09: Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts in the pocket against the Houston Texans in a NFL game on October 9, 2014 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)Scott Halleran/Getty Images

Fantasy Football Week 7 Rankings: Updated Overview for All Positions

Timothy RappOct 15, 2014

Sanity appears to be returning to fantasy football. Well, as much as sanity can exist within fantasy.

Maybe it's because we're starting to see players separate themselves in positional battles. Maybe after six weeks, the season's trends are simply more apparent. Maybe the players we thought were good are finally starting to play like it, and maybe the players we didn't think were terribly good are living up to those reputations, too.

Whatever the case may be, going into Week 7 the foggy madness from the early portion of the year seems to be lifting. While fantasy is always a bit of a guessing game, we now have six weeks behind us to educate those guesses. Below, I took a stab at ranking the smartest players to start for your lineup this week.

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Let's see if the fog truly has lifted, or if another cloud of confusion is about to descend.

Notes: For a full explanation of the rankings, see here. Abridged version: Startability measures how smart it is to start a given player in a week rather than attempting to project how many points he will score. "Ability" measures a player's overall talent, proficiency at his position and ability to produce fantasy numbers. "Offense" measures how much that team's offense improves his fantasy stock.

The overall "startability" grade is weighted. All point totals and points-against statistics via ESPN standard scoring leagues. 

Schedule

NY Jets at New England8:25 PM
Atlanta at Baltimore1:00 PM
Tennessee at Washington1:00 PM
Seattle at St. Louis1:00 PM
Cleveland at Jacksonville1:00 PM
Cincinnati at Indianapolis1:00 PM
Minnesota at Buffalo1:00 PM
Miami at Chicago1:00 PM
New Orleans at Detroit1:00 PM
Carolina at Green Bay1:00 PM
Kansas City at San Diego4:05 PM
Arizona at Oakland4:25 PM
NY Giants at Dallas4:25 PM
San Francisco at Denver8:30 PM
Houston at Pittsburgh8:30 PM

Quarterbacks

1Aaron Rodgers4916149A+ (88)
2Andrew Luck48151310A (86)
3Peyton Manning5061510A- (81)
4Tom Brady442296A- (81)
5Philip Rivers4510139B (77)
6Jay Cutler4214138B (77)
7Russell Wilson4414118B (77)
8Matt Ryan4511138B (77)
9Matt Stafford451976B (77)
10Colin Kaepernick4315107B- (75)
11Drew Brees49212972
12Cam Newton47109672
13Kirk Cousins381511671
14Tony Romo42911668
15Carson Palmer361610668
16Andy Dalton401011667
17Joe Flacco40148466
18Eli Manning4079662
19Ben Roethlisberger4177562
20Ryan Tannehill36117559

Quarterback is a fascinating position this week.

How much can you trust Drew Brees if Jimmy Graham doesn't play (and against a Detroit defense giving up just 9.7 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks per week, tops in the NFL)? How much can you trust Matt Stafford without Calvin Johnson or with a hobbled, decoy Megatron? How about Andy Dalton if he doesn't have A.J. Green again this week? Should you be worried about Peyton Manning against the tough San Francisco defense? Can we trust Tom Brady and Cam Newton again? Here are some answers:

  1. Not much. Brees has earned QB1 consideration every time he steps onto the field, but his upside seems pretty low this week. 
  2. It's hard to say. Stafford has now posted back-to-back weeks of 11 fantasy points with Johnson leaving the first game and missing the second. The Lions simply aren't as compelling with Megatron around. The saving grace for Stafford this week is a favorable matchup, keeping him in the QB1 discussion.
  3. Dalton's upside isn't as high as it was a year ago anyway now that the Bengals are running the ball more efficiently, though Mohamed Sanu certainly looked pretty good last week. In other words, he's a QB2 with or without Green in the lineup.
  4. No. Manning is the only player in fantasy to score 20 or more points in every game this season. That included a trip to Seattle. He'll produce.
  5. Brady seems to be back on his game, with 50 total fantasy points in the past two games. With Rob Gronkowski fully healthy and Timothy Wright further implemented in the passing game, Brady's able to rely on his tight ends again. As for Newton, until we see a consistent willingness to allow him to run the ball, he's a risk—a risk with an extremely high upside, of course.

I can't believe I'm about to say this, but Jay Cutler has become one of the safer quarterbacks in fantasy football. It's hard to argue with six straight weeks of 16 fantasy points or better, and given the team's offense and the weapons he's surrounded by it seems sustainable. 

Up is down; left is right. Cutler is reliable (at least in fantasy circles). The world has turned and left fantasy owners here.

Running Backs

1DeMarco Murray48201510A+ (93)
2Matt Forte48131410A (85)
3Jamaal Charles49101410A (83)
4Le'Veon Bell4714139A (83)
5Giovani Bernard4418128A (82)
6Marshawn Lynch4971510A- (81)
7Arian Foster4712139A- (81)
8Andre Ellington4321107A- (81)
9Eddie Lacy4223105A- (80)
10Alfred Morris4415137B+ (79)
11Justin Forsett362497B (76)
12Fred Jackson392287B (75)
13Ben Tate3918116B (74)
14Frank Gore4014107B (71)
15Ahmad Bradshaw4011118B (70)
16Lamar Miller3911127B- (69)
17C.J. Spiller392253B- (69)
18Joique Bell401674B- (67)
19Reggie Bush401674B- (67)
20Chris Ivory381397B- (67)
21Branden Oliver369146C+ (65)
22Trent Richardson381184C (61)
23Andre Williams3710115C (61)
24Jeremy Hill351843C (60)
25Ronnie Hillman375125C (59)
26Jerick McKinnon363146C (59)
27Zac Stacy36797C (59)
28Shane Vereen36794C- (56)
29Darren McFadden37476C- (55)
30Pierre Thomas37864C- (55)
31Mark Ingram37864C- (55)
32Khiry Robinson37864C- (55)
33Bishop Sankey36555D (51)
34Steven Jackson34353D- (45)
35Antone Smith36333D- (45)

Due to a few unforeseen/unfortunate injuries and a few players simply outplaying their competition, the running back position is actually starting to clear up a bit for fantasy owners.

Shane Vereen is the back to own in New England after Stevan Ridley was lost for the year. Ditto for Lamar Miller in Miami, as Knowshon Moreno is also done for the season. Ahmad Bradshaw just keeps outplaying Trent Richardson, even if the latter is good for a flex start on a weekly basis. Justin Forsett is the guy to own in Baltimore. Chris Ivory has left Chris Johnson in the dust. Despite C.J. Spiller's superior talent, Fred Jackson keeps producing more.

There are also certain teams to avoid altogether. The Jacksonville Jaguars couldn't block a fly with a windshield. The Carolina Panthers backfield is a mess. The New Orleans Saints backfield is like playing roulette—you don't know where to place your bet, but you know something is going to hit.

Last week's waiver darlings—Branden Oliver, Andre Williams and Ronnie Hillman—are nothing more than flex considerations this week due to some tough matchups and Williams failing to produce against the Philadelphia Eagles. Of these players, Oliver is the one you want—he's rushed for 215 total yards the last two weeks, accumulating 47 fantasy points along the way. This kid is here to stay, folks.

If speeches had fantasy value, Joique Bell would be the top player in the game this week.

They don't, however, but Bell and Reggie Bush continue to be boom-or-bust RB2s. Bell proved as much with 18 carries for 74 yards and a touchdown in Week 6.

I'm not sure that DeMarco Murray's current pace and usage is sustainable—in fact, I know it isn't—but what he's done thus far is simply absurd. Just consider some of the statistics out there as they pertain to Murray. 

These two from ESPN Stats & Information will blow you away:

So will this one from Sam Monson of Pro Football Focus:

Just consider that Murray has more rushing yards than all but four teams! No, this pace and production isn't sustainable. But man alive, you sure should enjoy the ride while you can.

Wide Receivers

1Julio Jones4919139A+ (90)
2Jordy Nelson4819148A- (89)
3Dez Bryant4915139A (86)
4Antonio Brown47161210A (85)
5Randall Cobb4519138A (85)
6Brandon Marshall4813128A (81)
7Demaryius Thomas4710148A (79)
8Mike Wallace4414128A- (78)
9Steve Smith4115128A- (76)
10Alshon Jeffery4413127A- (76)
11Golden Tate3920116A- (76)
12DeSean Jackson4513116B+ (75)
13Emmanuel Sanders4310157B+ (75)
14Calvin Johnson*4020105B+ (75)
15Terrance Williams4015107B (72)
16Julian Edelman3717107B (71)
17James Jones372086B (71)
18T.Y. Hilton418127B- (68)
19Pierre Garcon4013105B- (68)
20A.J. Green*4051310B- (68)
21Percy Harvin432232B- (68)
22Roddy White381974B- (68)
23Kelvin Benjamin4010107C+ (67)
24Torrey Smith3815104C+ (67)
25Andre Johnson427107C (66)
26Reggie Wayne408116C (65)
27Sammy Watkins411455C (65)
28DeAndre Hopkins40797C (64)
29Brandon LaFell3217105C (64)
30Mohamed Sanu**385126C- (61)
31Michael Floyd401253C- (61)
32Larry Fitzgerald401253C- (61)
33Malcom Floyd351286C- (61)
34Wes Welker381085C- (61)
35Michael Crabtree405105D+ (60)
36Brian Quick36896D+ (59)
37Keenan Allen381254D+ (59)
38Kendall Wright361552D+ (58)
39Eddie Royal301285D (55)
40Marques Colston373104D (54)
41Eric Decker38556D (54)
42Brandin Cooks373104D (54)
43Anquan Boldin37584D (54)
44Rueben Randle35594D- (53)
45Odell Beckham Jr.35594D- (53)

Even if Megatron and Green play this week (I very highly doubt we'll see Green, for what that's worth), keep in mind that neither one of them seems likely to be at full strength. While I don't think Johnson would return to be a decoy, I don't think you should assume he'll offer WR1 production upon his return.

I'm not sure Golden Tate's fantasy value really waxes or wanes all that much depending on Megatron's status. He's a nice play for fantasy owners either way. Sanu is absolutely a WR2 if Green can't go and a nice flex play if Green is in the lineup. Very quietly, Sanu has accumulated eight or more fantasy points in fours straight games.

But without Green in the lineup, he went off for 18 fantasy points. If he's somehow still available in your league, well, it's your lucky day. Get him in those starting lineups.

More so than any other position, wide receiver has been pretty predictable this year. While there have been a few surprises—the revitalization of Steve Smith Sr., Kelvin Benjamin becoming a solid WR2 almost every week—the players you would have expected to perform at the position have almost done so across the board. 

Take away Johnson and Green's injuries, and most of the players projected to be at or near the top of the rankings—Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Jordy Nelson, Brandon Marshall, Randall Cobb, Alshon Jeffery, Dez Bryant, Antonio Brown, etc.—have lived up to the hype. Traditionally one of the least predictable positions, wide receiver has provided far less headaches this season, at least near the top.

Two players to keep an eye on, as breakouts seem forthcoming: Rueben Randle and Odell Beckham Jr. in New York. With Victor Cruz done for the season, these two will be the top targets in the passing game. Both are pretty talented, so they could quickly become reliable options for Eli Manning.

Tight Ends

1Rob Gronkowski4821128A+ (89)
2Julius Thomas49121510A (86)
3Jimmy Graham*50131310A (86)
4Jordan Cameron4422107A (83)
5Martellus Bennett4114137B+ (75)
6Antonio Gates4013127B (72)
7Jordan Reed401894B (71)
8Dwayne Allen3717107B (71)
9Greg Olsen455128B- (70)
10Vernon Davis4012108B- (70)
11Larry Donnell3717106B- (70)
12Travis Kelce4210107C (69)
13Delanie Walker391586C (68)
14Jason Witten401156C- (62)
15Owen Daniels36585D+ (54)

Julius Thomas has nine receiving touchdowns this season, which is more than 15 teams. Just let that one sink in for a moment.

Is his touchdown pace sustainable? Probably not. Could he potentially get to 20 touchdowns this season? It's very possible. It's concerning that he's been targeted just 29 times on the season, but as long as a large chunk of those targets keep coming in the red zone, it shouldn't be too much of a problem.

I'd argue that Thomas' trade value would probably never be higher, and it won't, but if you have him on your team you have such a major advantage at the position that you probably should just enjoy this ride while it lasts. Even when he isn't on pace for 28 touchdowns in a season, he's still an excellent option for fantasy owners.

If Graham plays, I think you have to start him. No, he won't be 100 percent. Yes, it's possible he'll be a decoy. But here's the thing: Given his immense upside, is it worth sitting him for some mediocre player whose upside is about seven fantasy points? Or would you rather take the risk on Graham nabbing two touchdown passes?

I'll take the risk in that case. Graham doesn't appear likely to play, but if he does you'd be wise to stick with him unless you have another top option at the position.

Defense/Special Teams

1New England Patriots
2Buffalo Bills
3San Francisco 49ers
4Arizona Cardinals
5Seattle Seahawks
6Chicago Bears
7Houston Texans
8Detroit Lions
9Dallas Cowboys
10Minnesota Vikings

Kickers

1Stephen Gostkowski
2Dan Bailey
3Justin Tucker
4Chandler Catanzaro
5Phil Dawson
6Adam Vinatieri
7Nick Novak
8Dan Carpenter
9Matt Bryant
10Josh Brown

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy questions and make some corny jokes, too. It's more fun than math class with Jason Pierre-Paul.

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