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ST. LOUIS, MO - SEPTEMBER 21: William Hayes #95 of the St. Louis Rams tackles DeMarco Murray #29 of the Dallas Cowboys in the first quarter at the Edward Jones Dome on September 21, 2014 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Michael B. Thomas/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS, MO - SEPTEMBER 21: William Hayes #95 of the St. Louis Rams tackles DeMarco Murray #29 of the Dallas Cowboys in the first quarter at the Edward Jones Dome on September 21, 2014 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Michael B. Thomas/Getty Images)Michael B. Thomas/Getty Images

Fantasy Football Week 4: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players

Timothy RappSep 25, 2014

I've always been a proponent of patience early in the season for fantasy owners, but after Week 3 we start to have a pretty good idea of the players on our roster. Trends are emerging, sleepers are becoming steady performers or busts and we have enough context clues to understand why a player might be struggling and how likely those struggles are to continue.

In other words, after Week 3 is when I start to seriously consider any trade offers I get and mull over possible deals I would be willing to make to strengthen a position on my team. While I would love to wait until October for all of that, sometimes you simply can't wait to make some adjustments.

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I'm sure you're the same, and hopefully, my weekly trade value chart will help you in any potential dealings. As always, you should be taking into account your team needs and league format, but the following is a guide to help you determine just how valuable your players are (or aren't). 

Happy dealings, folks!

Quarterbacks

17Peyton ManningDenver Broncos29
214Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints26
315Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers26
422Matt StaffordDetroit Lions24
523Andrew LuckIndianapolis Colts24
632Cam NewtonCarolina Panthers20
761Matt RyanAtlanta Falcons12
865Nick FolesPhiladelphia Eagles11
983Russell WilsonSeattle Seahawks5
1091Jay CutlerChicago Bears3
1195Kirk CousinsWashington2
1298Colin KaepernickSan Francisco 49ers2
1399Philip RiversSan Diego Chargers2

Well, it has finally happened: Both Tom Brady and Tony Romo—QB1 mainstays throughout their careers—have fallen firmly into the land of the QB2 and therefore have also fallen off of my trade value chart, as neither player holds much value at this point. 

For Brady, we saw this coming last year, and his lack of vertical threats in the passing game has turned New England into an offense that runs the ball well and dinks and dunks in the passing game. For Romo, the game plan this year—at least thus far—has been to rely on a strong running game and the talents of DeMarco Murray

There will be weeks where either player ascends to the realm of the QB1 again. But until they do, neither player holds much value. 

Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins shows up on this list with back-to-back strong showings, and right now he's the type of player you can get on the cheap. It wouldn't be shocking if Cousins was this year's breakout star a la Nick Foles a year ago. Don't be afraid to target him in a deal while his price is low. 

Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers have been devalued ever so slightly this week, though that's a testament to the true value of the top running backs more than anything else. Still, some owners out there are probably panicking because Brees hasn't hit 20 points in a game yet or because Rodgers has scored 10 points or less in two games.

I'd tell those people to calm down—they're No. 7 and 8 on the quarterback rankings, for starters. And history suggests that both will produce. But if somebody is dangling out out either player, what is the absolute most you should be willing to give up for either player?

Here are a few examples:

  • Andre Ellington and Trent Richardson
  • Eddie Lacy and Brandin Cooks
  • Julius Thomas and Pierre Thomas
  • Rashad Jennings and Sammy Watkins
  • Doug Martin and Keenan Allen

Those are all pretty solid deals if you're getting a Brees or Rodgers in return, and it's hard to imagine a better week to try to get a bargain on either. Chances are each will soon enough be considered among the most valuable players in fantasy. 

Running Backs

11LeSean McCoyPhiladelphia Eagles30
22Matt ForteChicago Bears30
33Marshawn LynchSeattle Seahawks30
44DeMarco MurrayDallas Cowboys30
58Jamaal CharlesKansas City Chiefs28
69Arian FosterHouston Texans28
710Le'Veon BellPittsburgh Steelers27
811Alfred MorrisWashington27
912Giovani BernardCincinnati Bengals27
1013Montee BallDenver Broncos27
1129Eddie LacyGreen Bay Packers21
1230C.J. SpillerBuffalo Bills20
1331Andre EllingtonArizona Cardinals20
1436Reggie BushDetroit Lions19
1537Joique BellDetroit Lions19
1639Rashad JenningsNew York Giants17
1740Darren SprolesPhiladelphia Eagles17
1843Zac StacySt. Louis Rams17
1945Doug MartinTampa Bay Buccaneers16
2047Frank GoreSan Francisco 49ers16
2157Bernard PierceBaltimore Ravens13
2258Stevan RidleyNew England Patriots13
2359Ahmad BradshawIndianapolis Colts13
2462Ben TateCleveland Browns12
2570Donald BrownSan Diego Chargers8
2675Shane VereenNew England Patriots7
2776Matt AsiataMinnesota Vikings7
2877Chris IvoryNew York Jets7
2978Chris JohnsonNew York Jets6
3079Trent RichardsonIndianapolis Colts6
3180Lamar MillerMiami Dolphins6
3285Khiry RobinsonNew Orleans Saints4
3386Pierre ThomasNew Orleans Saints4
3487Fred JacksonBuffalo Bills4
3590Toby GerhartJacksonville Jaguars3
3692DeAngelo WilliamsCarolina Panthers3
3793Knile DavisKansas City Chiefs3
3894Knowshon MorenoMiami Dolphins3

More than ever, the top running backs in fantasy football are incredibly valuable. In a year rife with injuries, scandals and committees, an elite RB1 is worth his weight in gold. At this point, I simply don't recommend you sell off any of the top 10 players on the chart. 

But now is a pretty good time to buy, especially if you have an owner experiencing buyer's remorse over Lacy, who was generally a first-round selection. Folks are having a little bit of a hard time seeing the forest for the trees when it comes to Lacy, who opened the season against one of the best defenses in the league in their home digs, the Seattle Seahawks, then faced the best run defense in the NFL, the New York Jets, before taking on one of the better defensive lines in the league, the Detroit Lions.

Put another way, the Jets are giving up the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs per week, the Seahawks are third on that list and the Lions are sixth. You can't open your season with a more difficult slate, in other words, and things should get far better this week against the Chicago Bears.

But if someone in your league is willing to move Lacy, by all means, pick their pocket. Here are some of the deals you can probably do to bring aboard the talented running back:

Not too shabby for a player that still has RB1 potential, right?

DETROIT, MI - SEPTEMBER 21: Eddie Lacy #27 of the Green Bay Packers participates in pre game warmups prior to playing the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on September 21, 2014 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Generally speaking, I think you should be looking to buy at running back right now, not selling. There's just too much upheaval at the position, and it's really difficult to gauge the value of certain players who are hurt at the moment but should be returning. If you have two or three running backs you trust, hold on to them for dear life. 

Most folks don't have that luxury this season, which gives you a major edge. 

Wide Receivers

16Calvin JohnsonDetroit Lions29
216A.J. GreenCincinnati Bengals25
317Dez BryantDallas Cowboys25
418Brandon MarshallChicago Bears25
519Julio JonesAtlanta Falcons25
620Antonio BrownPittsburgh Steelers25
721Jordy NelsonGreen Bay Packers25
824Demaryius ThomasDenver Broncos23
925Randall CobbGreen Bay Packers23
1027Alshon JefferyChicago Bears21
1133DeSean JacksonWashington19
1234Jeremy MaclinPhiladelphia Eagles19
1335Percy HarvinSeattle Seahawks19
1441Andre JohnsonHouston Texans17
1542Pierre GarconWashington17
1644Victor CruzNew York Giants16
1746Vincent JacksonTampa Bay Buccaneers16
1848Cordarrelle PattersonMinnesota Vikings15
1949Mike WallaceMiami Dolphins15
2050DeAndre HopkinsHouston Texans15
2151Emmanuel SandersDenver Broncos15
2252Roddy WhiteAtlanta Falcons15
2353Michael CrabtreeSan Francisco 49ers15
2454Julian EdelmanNew England Patriots14
2555Michael FloydArizona Cardinals14
2656Wes WelkerDenver Broncos13
2760Kelvin BenjaminCarolina Panthers12
2863Reggie WayneIndianapolis Colts11
2964Larry FitzgeraldArizona Cardinals11
3067Eric DeckerNew York Jets10
3168Keenan AllenSan Diego Chargers10
3269Sammy WatkinsBuffalo Bills9
3371Kendall WrightTennessee Titans8
3472T.Y. HiltonIndianapolis Colts8
3573Steve SmithBaltimore Ravens7
3681Brandin CooksNew Orleans Saints5
3782Marques ColstonNew Orleans Saints5
3884Brian QuickSt. Louis Rams5

There aren't too many surprises at wide receiver.

Sure, Brian Quick and Steve Smith getting pretty serious bumps in value might turn a few heads, but the former is the only worthwhile target in an inept passing game and the latter has been tearing it up for three weeks now, something that shouldn't be ignored. Larry Fitzgerald and Marques Colston are free-falling in value, meanwhile, and a touchdown here or there isn't going to be enough to save that from stopping.

GLENDALE, AZ - SEPTEMBER 21:  Wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald #11 of the Arizona Cardinals watches from the sidelines during the NFL game against the San Francisco 49ers at the University of Phoenix Stadium on September 21, 2014 in Glendale, Arizona. The C

Generally in these sections I pick out a player and give you an idea of what you might be able to get or what you might have to give up to get him, but this year I believe what you're are giving up should generally be receivers and what you are getting should be a running back or high-end tight end.

The receiver position is pretty deep, folks, and you can survive without having an elite option. Yes, it's nice to have players who can safely be kept in lineups every week despite the matchup, but having an elite receiver feels far less important than it did in years past. I'd much rather be solid at running back and tight end this year and play matchups at receiver.

It's risky, sure, but when guys like Quick, Smith, Allen Hurns, Kelvin Benjamin and James Jones have all performed admirably thus far, you can get value at receiver without paying a huge price for it.

So consider this week's list at the position a reminder on how you should value the receivers you have if you're considering a trade to bring back an RB1 or elite tight end. Right now, that's how I would be allocating my resources.  

Tight Ends

15Jimmy GrahamNew Orleans Saints29
226Julius ThomasDenver Broncos22
328Rob GronkowskiNew England Patriots21
438Vernon DavisSan Francisco 49ers18
566Jordan CameronCleveland Browns10
674Greg OlsenCarolina Panthers7
788Martellus BennettChicago Bears3
889Zach ErtzPhiladelphia Eagles3
996Antonio GatesSan Diego Chargers2
1097Jason WittenDallas Cowboys2
11100Delanie WalkerTennessee Titans2

Did you know that after three weeks, Julius Thomas and Calvin Johnson have the same number of fantasy points (44)? Or that only three receivers (Julio Jones, Antonio Brown and Jeremy Maclin) have more fantasy points than Thomas? 

We talk a lot about Jimmy Graham at the position, but Thomas is a player that may soon need to be valued even higher than he is now. He is clearly a favorite of Peyton Manning and should continue to flourish. 

There's a pretty big drop-off after the first four tight ends, however, and justifiably so. One player who I think is being underrated and therefore could be a value buy for you is Greg Olsen. 

CHARLOTTE, NC - SEPTEMBER 21: Greg Olsen #88 of the Carolina Panthers breaks away from Cortez Allen #28 of the Pittsburgh Steelers for a touchdown during their game at Bank of America Stadium on September 21, 2014 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by G

Very quietly, Olsen is averaging 11 fantasy points per week and is on an offense where the only other quality target for Cam Newton is Kelvin Benjamin. That makes Olsen—long a favorite of Newton—all the more valuable. 

And you can probably get him for an absolute steal. Here's what you might have to give up to bring aboard the steady TE1 option:

  • Steve Smith
  • Brian Quick and Philip Rivers
  • Jay Cutler and Fred Jackson
  • Toby Gerhart and Khiry Robinson

In other words, you don't have to give up much. 

All point totals and points-against statistics via ESPN standard scoring leagues.  

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy questions and make some corny jokes, too. It's more fun than Andy Dalton and Johnny Manziel playing receiver.

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