Week 10 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

If you’re a fantasy owner who’s looking for a quarterback–whether he’s for immediate use or insurance for your starter–then you’re in luck. Nick Foles, along with Jason Campbell and Case Keenum, all had great performances this past Sunday, and are undoubtedly three of the hottest prospects on the waiver wire. 

Aside from this trio of passers, Tampa Bay running back Mike James exploded for 158 yards on the ground and jump-pass for a touchdown a la Tim Tebow. 

Out of all the pleasant surprises on Sunday, none were more relieving (or terrifying, for some) than seeing Tom Brady have his first big game of the season. Tom Terrific threw for 432 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions against a gritty Pittsburgh defense, portending a red-hot home stretch to 2013 for the Patriots. 

Especially now that Rob Gronkowski is back and Danny Amendola is making an impact, Brady is just getting started terrorizing defenses. Fortunately for the fantasy owners who have yet to go against Brady and Gronk, the Patriots are on a bye week.

Of course, Brady’s not the only player who’s putting numbers on the boards; check out the complete stat projections for the top 100 players in Week 10.

*All stats courtesy of Pro Football Reference*

Quarterbacks

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Everything is in place for Aaron Rodgers to have a big game in Week 10.

Rank	Player	Passing Yards	Passing TDs	Interceptions	Rushing Yards
1	Drew Brees, NO	320	3	0	0
2	Peyton Manning, DEN	315	3	0	0
3	Matthew Stafford, DET	290	3	0	0
4	Robert Griffin III, WAS	262	3	0	65
5	Russell Wilson, SEA	260	2	0	48
6	Case Keenum, HOU	275	2	1	0
7	Tony Romo	260	2	1	8
8	Eli Manning, NYG	240	3	0	0
9	Andrew Luck, IND	250	2	1	14
10	Jake Locker, TEN	230	2	0	24
11	Ryan Tannehill, MIA	240	2	1	8
12	Terrell Pryor, OAK	225	1	0	68
13	Nick Foles, PHI	235	2	1	0
14	Mike Glennon, TB	220	2	0	7
15	Andy Dalton, CIN	230	2	1	4

As I mentioned earlier, Nick Foles and Case Keenum are coming off of impressive performances, and should be quality starts this week. Don’t expect Foles to throw for another seven touchdowns, but he should have another respectable stat line.

Robert Griffin III is someone who could have bigger numbers than expected; he’s been on a roll lately and the Vikings are in a pure state of disarray. It should also be noted that the last time these two teams played, RG3 had one of his best games statistically (326 total yards and three touchdowns).
 

Running Backs

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Trent Richardson looks to have a big game against the Rams' defense this weekend.

Rank	Player	Rushing Yards	Rec.	Rec. Yards	Total TDs
1	Marshawn Lynch, SEA	124	2	21	2
2	Adrian Peterson, MIN	112	2	12	2
3	Chris Johnson, TEN	109	1	9	2
4	DeMarco Murray, DAL	102	4	38	1
5	LeSean McCoy, PHI	94	4	41	2
6	Pierre Thomas, NO	99	2	71	1
7	Trent Richardson, IND	102	0	0	1
8	Eddie Lacy, GB	91	3	24	1
9	Le'Veon Bell, PIT	90	2	22	1
10	Alfred Morris, WAS	92	2	29	1
11	Zac Stacy, STL	86	2	14	1
12	Giovanni Bernard, CIN	80	4	51	1
13	Knowshon Moreno, DEN	78	2	24	1
14	Mike James, TB	76	3	28	1
15	Frank Gore, SF	83	4	37	0
16	DeAngelo Williams, CAR	74	4	34	1
17	Ray Rice, BAL	65	3	14	2
18	Rashad Jennings, OAK	69	4	24	0
19	Ben Tate, HOU	63	2	11	0
20	Fred Jackson, BUF	58	3	32	0

Two of the league’s best running backs will take the field on opposing sides this Thursday as Adrian Peterson and the Vikings host Alfred Morris and the Redskins. Peterson hasn’t been putting up the numbers that we’re used to seeing from him, but he should be good for a solid performance against an iffy Redskins run defense.

On the other side of things, Morris has been picking up some steam as he’s averaged 103 yards in his last three games as opposed to the 75.4 he averaged in his first five games.

Trent Richardson has (for the most part) been underwhelming since being traded to the Colts, but a coming out party is in order against the St. Louis Rams. They’ve allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns this season (11) and their opponents have averaged 125 rush yards per game, setting T-Rich up for a monster game.

Wide Receivers

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Jordy Nelson has been a big lifesaver for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.

Rank	Player	Rec.	Rec. Yards	Rec. TDs
1	Jordy Nelson, GB	7	120	2
2	Calvin Johnson, DET	7	114	1
3	Brandon Marshall, CHI	6	106	1
4	Wes Welker, DEN	8	103	1
5	Larry Fitzgerald, ARI	5	90	1
6	DeSean Jackson, PHI	4	90	1
7	A.J. Green, CIN	4	87	1
8	Andre Johnson, HOU	6	84	1
9	Pierre Garcon, WAS	5	83	1
10	Dez Bryant, DAL	5	79	1
11	Riley Cooper, PHI	4	75	1
12	Harry Douglas, ATL	6	72	1
13	T.Y. Hilton, IND	4	70	1
14	Torrey Smith, BAL	5	72	0
15	Demaryius Thomas, DEN	5	68	1
16	Victor Cruz, NYG	6	71	0
17	Percy Harvin, SEA*	5	65	0
18	Eric Decker, DEN	4	62	0
19	Rod Streater, OAK	4	58	1
20	Leonard Hankerson, WAS	5	60	0
21	Keenan Allen, SD	6	54	1
22	Jarrett Boykin, GB	3	57	0
23	Cecil Shorts III, JAX	4	56	0
24	Terrence Williams, DAL	5	55	0
25	Antonio Brown, PIT	4	48	1
26	Kenny Stills, NO	4	50	0
27	Emmanuel Sanders, PIT	3	48	0
28	Alshon Jeffery, CHI	3	45	0
29	Mike Wallace, MIA	4	42	0
30	Marvin Jones, CIN	3	40	0

Jordy Nelson is another member of the Green Bay Packers set for a huge game against the Eagles. He’s been Aaron Rodgers’ security blanket with James Jones and Jermichael Finley hurt, and he should be able to run all over the defense of Philadelphia.

Riley Cooper had the best game of his career last weekend against the Raiders, and while he definitely won’t mirror his three touchdown performance, he’ll be good for a solid chunk of yards and score.

As the weeks pass by, the whispers of Percy Harvin’s return have been getting louder and louder, and this may be the week he makes his debut for the Seahawks. If he does return to the field, expect him to pick up right where he left off.

Tight Ends

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Coby Fleener has been a reliable target all year long.

Rank	Player	Rec.	Rec. Yards	Rec. TDs
1	Jimmy Graham, NO	6	78	2
2	Jordan Reed, WAS	7	98	1
3	Coby Fleener, IND	5	87	1
4	Jason Witter, DAL	6	84	1
5	Martellus Bennett, CHI	5	80	1
6	Julius Thomas, DEN	6	76	1
7	Tony Gonzalez, ATL	4	72	1
8	Timothy Wright, TB	5	68	1
9	Greg Olsen, CAR	5	61	0
10	Heath Miller, PIT	4	54	0
11	Antonio Gates, SD	3	43	0
12	Tyler Eifert, CIN	3	37	1
13	Ed Dickson, BAL	4	34	0
14	Charles Clay	3	31	0
15	Garrett Graham	4	28	0

Jimmy Graham has been a model player his whole career, but he’s gaining even more respect throughout the league by playing through his most recent injury. With a torn plantar fascia, Graham still recorded nine catches for 116 yards and a pair of touchdowns against a pretty solid Jets defense.

Between his perseverance and Drew Brees’ trust in him, he could very well score another couple of touchdowns against the Cowboys.

The Redskins didn’t necessarily have a need at tight end when they drafted Jordan Reed this past April, but now they’re glad they did. Reed has been a consistent target for RG3 and has been a major component the past few weeks. He should be able to catch a few balls and a touchdown this week against a spotty Minnesota secondary.

Kickers

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Mason Crosby is up for a big day on Sunday.

Rank	Player	Makes	40+	XP
1	Mason Crosby, GB	3	1	5
2	Sebastian Janikowski, OAK	3	2	2
3	Dan Bailey, DAL	4	2	2
4	Steven Hauschka, SEA	3	1	3
5	Graham Gano, CAR	2	1	3
6	Adam Vinatieri, IND	2	1	3
7	Nick Novak, SD	2	0	2
8	Garrett Hartley, NO	2	1	4
9	Mike Nugent, CIN	1	0	3
10	Justin Tucker, BAL	1	0	2

Through nine weeks, Chargers kicker Nick Folk has yet to miss a field goal or extra point (23-23, 14-14). He's been able to salvage some of San Diego's drives by nailing long field goals; Folk has made 12 kicks of 40+ yards.

Defenses

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Richard Sherman is one of the leaders on Seattle's vaunted defense.

Rank	Team	Points Allowed	Sacks	Turnovers
1	Seattle Seahawks	10	6	3
2	Carolina Panthers	14	5	2
3	Cincinnati Bengals	14	3	2
4	New Orleans Saints	17	2	3
5	Tennessee Titans	17	2	2
6	Indianapolis Colts	13	1	2
7	Denver Broncos	17	2	1
8	Pittsburgh Steelers	21	2	1
9	Houston Texans	24	2	1
10	San Francisco 49ers	27	3	1

It's hard to see much of a dominant week in defense this week as most of the league's best defenses are either on a bye or facing an offense that could score as virtually any time. However, that doesn't mean we won't see some great defensive battles.

The Panthers and 49ers will each have the unenviable task of facing each other's defense, a game that will be determined by which defense stands tallest against the other's potent offense. Both of these teams can score and score lots, but it will be matter of which defense can sway and keep the momentum going their own way.