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Kentucky Derby Contenders: Breaking Down Best Bets in Louisville

Scott Harris
May 3, 2013

The Kentucky Derby gets going for the 139th time Saturday from the hallowed Churchill Downs.

The derby favorites have struggled to break away from the pack; the last overall favorite to take the roses was Big Brown in 2008. Nevertheless, there are some very good horses atop the betting list in 2013. Here's a breakdown of the three best bets to get the glory in Louisville.

*Post positions via the Kentucky Derby's official website.ย Odds via Kentucky Derby Online. (Note: Black Onyx has been scratched from the race, and it appears the first post position will be left open.)

1Open


2ย Oxbow
Gary Stevens
D. Wayne Lukas
30-1
3Revolutionaryย Calvinย Borelย Toddย Pletcher
10-1
4Golden SoulRobbyย Albaradoย Dallas Stewartย 50-1
5Normandy Invasion
Javierย Castellano
Chad Brown
12-1
6Mylute
Rosieย Napravnik
Tomย Amoss
15-1
7Giant FinishJose L. Espinozaย Anthony W.ย Dutrowย 50-1
8Goldencentsย Kevinย Kriggerย Doug O'Neillย 5-1
9Overanalyzeย Rafaelย Bejaranoย Toddย Pletcherย 15-1
10Palace Maliceย Mike Smithย Toddย Pletcherย 20-1
11Lines of Battleย Ryan Mooreย Aidan O'Brienย 30-1
12Itsmyluckydayย Elvis TrujilloEddieย Plesa, Jr.ย 15-1
13Falling Skyย Luisย Saezย Johnย Terranovaย IIย 50-1
14Verrazano
John R. Velazquez
Toddย Pletcher
4-1
15Charming Kitten
Edgar Prado
Toddย Pletcher
20-1
16OrbJoel Rosario
Claude R.ย McGaugheyย III
7-2
17Will Take ChargeJon Court
D. Wayne Lukas
20-1
18Fracย DaddyVictorย Lebronย Kennyย McPeek
50-1
19Java's Warย Julienย Leparouxย Kennyย McPeekย 15-1
20VyjackGarrett Gomez
Rudy Rodriguez
15-1

Orb (7-2)

Thanks to a dazzling practice run earlier in the week, Orb came from behind to upset Verrazano and become the derby favorite. Orb is on the outside with the No. 16 slot but has the blazing speed to make up the extra ground.ย 

Orb is also a sentimental favorite among fans. Orb's jockey, Hall of Famer Shug McGaughey, has never won the roses. This could be the last best chance for the 62-year-old.


Verrazano (4-1)

Despite not being the favorite, this undefeated three-year-old might be the most well-regarded horse in the 2013 derby field. Verrazano drew the 14th post positionโ€”a pretty plum assignment given there is extra room there, thanks to the gab between slot No. 14 and slot No. 15, where the auxiliary gate begins.

Still, Verrazano will be racing against history, as well as 18 other horses. Verrazano started racing relatively late in life, and Saturday will be looking to become the first horse to win the derby without racing as a two-year-old since Apollo, all the way back in 1882.


Goldencents (5-1)

Goldencents has the best draw of the three top bets with the comfortable eighth slot, which has produced four derby champions since 1990, including 2009 upset winner Mine That Bird.

There is also good mojo on the trainer's side, as Doug O'Neill was also the trainer for last year's winner, I'll Have Another.ย 

Most importantly, though, is the fact that Goldencents is really, really fast. He held off Bob Baffert-trained speedsters Flashback and Super Ninety Nine to win the Santa Anita Derby in April.ย