2013 NFL Mock Draft: Buying or Selling Expert Picks
The NFL draft is just a couple months away, and experts are making their picks for whom they think the teams will select. However, with the combine, pro days and individual workouts still to come, it's hard to be accurate.
So we'll go through some of the top NFL draft analysts' mock drafts and figure out which picks make the most sense.
We'll be using mock drafts from Matt Miller of Bleacher Report, Walter Cherepinsky of Walterfootball, and Scott Wright of Draft Countdown. As we go through each selection for the different teams, we'll explore who gave the best pick based on needs, scheme and off-the-field fit.
1. Kansas City Chiefs
1 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
Matt Miller's Pick: QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
Scott Wright's Pick: QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
Buying or selling the picks
If your team needs a franchise quarterback and doesn't have one, you take one. Kansas City's biggest holes in 2012 were their head coach and quarterback. Bringing in Andy Reid as a head coach and Geno Smith as a quarterback would be the best thing that they could do. So I'm buying this pick.
Who the selection should be: QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
2. Jacksonville Jaguars
2 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE Jarvis Jones, Georgia
Matt Miller's Pick: DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State
Scott Wright's Pick: DE Jarvis Jones, Georgia
Buying or selling the picks
The idea here is that once you have a quarterback, you need a good pass rush. I find it tough to disagree. I love the idea of Jarvis Jones early, but Bjoern Werner makes the most sense for the 4-3 that the Jaguars run under Mike Mularkey. I'll buy the idea of a defensive end and go with Matt Miller's pick here.
Who the selection should be: DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State
3. Oakland Raiders
3 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
Matt Miller's Pick: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
Scott Wright's Pick: DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State
Buying or selling the picks
The Raiders have a few holes and honestly they should go with the best player available. Both Star Lotulelei and Bjoern Werner would be the best player available, and I would definitely buy either one as the pick. Considering Werner would have been selected No. 2 in this exercise, we'll go with Star here.
Who the selection should be: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
4. Philadelphia Eagles
4 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
Matt Miller's Pick: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
Scott Wright's Pick: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
Buying or selling the picks
Philadelphia has a ton of potential. However, the Eagles' offensive line was their Achilles heel in 2012. When Jason Peters and Jason Kelce went down, so did the Eagles' hopes for any sort of winning season. By bringing in the supremely talented Joeckel and getting Kelce back, the Eagles should have a great offensive line. I definitely buy this pick.
Who the selection should be: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
5. Detroit Lions
5 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE/OLB Damontre Moore, Texas A&M
Matt Miller's Pick: DE/OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia
Scott Wright's Pick: CB Dee Milliner, Alabama
Buying or selling the picks
The Lions have a tendency to go to the best player available in the front seven or offensive line for their first-round pick. This means I would have to sell the idea of both Damontre Moore and Dee Milliner, as Jarvis Jones is the best player available in the defensive front seven.
Who the selection should be: DE/OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia
6. Cleveland Browns
6 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: LB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame
Matt Miller's Pick: DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M
Scott Wright's Pick: DE Sam Montgomery, LSU
Buying or selling the picks
While the idea of a right defensive end makes a ton of sense, Cleveland would be wise to bring in the best possible pass-rusher it could. At this point in the draft, I couldn't see Sam Montgomery or Manti Te'o being good picks and will sell those ideas. But I completely buy Matt Miller's idea of Damontre Moore.
Who the selection should be: DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M
7. Arizona Cardinals
7 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan
Matt Miller's Pick: OT Jake Matthews, Texas A&M
Scott Wright's Pick: QB Matt Barkley, USC
Buying or selling the picks
Despite having some talent at quarterback in Kevin Kolb, Scott Wright thinks Matt Barkley makes sense. I will sell that idea right now. Kolb is good when he isn't sitting injured on the sideline and Barkley is a third-round talent. I'll buy the idea of taking the best left tackle available and go with Jake Matthews here.
Who the selection should be: OT Jake Matthews, Texas A&M
8. Buffalo Bills
8 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: QB Mike Glennon, N.C. State
Matt Miller's Pick: QB Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
Scott Wright's Pick: LB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame
Buying or selling the picks
Buffalo has a very good defense talent wise. However, it does need some linebackers. With the amount of talent in this year's class, the Bills can afford to wait. Quarterback is their biggest need now, and Tyler Wilson is the pick that I would be buying if push came to shove.
Who the selection should be: QB Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
9. New York Jets
9 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State
Matt Miller's Pick: QB Mike Glennon, N.C. State
Scott Wright's Pick: DE/OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
Buying or selling the picks
If you don't have a quarterback, it doesn't matter who your pass-rushers are. So I sell the idea of getting a pass-rusher and buy the idea of taking Mike Glennon. He's not the best quarterback in the draft, but he has a lot of talent and reminds me quite a bit of Matt Ryan.
Who the selection should be: QB Mike Glennon, N.C. State
10. Tennessee Titans
10 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: CB Dee Milliner, Alabama
Matt Miller's Pick: CB Dee Milliner, Alabama
Scott Wright's Pick: DE DaMontre Moore, Texas A&M
Buying or selling the picks
Tennessee has some talent on its defense. But the idea of bringing in a pass-rusher would make sense—as would bringing in a guy like Dee Milliner who can play the nickel corner or start at right corner. I will be buying this pick of Milliner because DaMontre Moore has already been selected.
Who the selection should be: CB Dee Milliner, Alabama
11. San Diego Chargers
11 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE/OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
Matt Miller's Pick: OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan
Scott Wright's Pick: OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan
Buying or selling the picks
While a pass-rusher makes sense for everyone, I can't see San Diego doing that after taking Melvin Ingram last year. So I would sell the idea of Dion Jordan. However, a true left tackle is definitely needed and buying the Taylor Lewan pick only makes sense.
Who the selection should be: OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan
12. Miami Dolphins
12 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
Matt Miller's Pick: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
Scott Wright's Pick: DE/OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU
Buying or selling the picks
I'm going to sell the idea of Barkevious Mingo and Eric Fisher. Both players only make sense if Jake Long or Cameron Wake wind up not playing for Miami. However, Chance Warmack should be the pick for sure. He's a beast as a guard, and lining him up between Long and Mike Pouncey would create a very good offensive line for the Dolphins.
Who the selection should be: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State
Matt Miller's Pick: CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State
Scott Wright's Pick: CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State
Buying or selling the picks
Tampa Bay had the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Its starting corners are E.J. Biggers and Eric Wright. That probably had a lot to do with it. The Bucs need at least three talented corners this offseason, and with Johnthan Banks they can easily have their No. 1 corner. Definitely buying this pick.
Who the selection should be: CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State
14. Carolina Panthers
14 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: NT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
Matt Miller's Pick: NT Jesse Williams, Alabama
Scott Wright's Pick: NT Star Lotulelei, Utah
Buying or selling the picks
The Panthers' biggest need since Ron Rivera showed up has been their defensive tackle spots. While he failed big with Sione Fua and Terrell McClain, it's still a good idea for them to bring in a defensive tackle. I buy any one of these three picks if they are there, but in this case Johnathan Hankins is the best available.
Who the selection should be: NT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
15. New Orleans Saints
15 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
Matt Miller's Pick: DE Dion Jordan, Oregon
Scott Wright's Pick: NT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
Buying or selling the picks
Despite finishing with the NFL's worst defense, there is still some hope. While I sell the idea of a defensive tackle because the Saints like the rotation of Broderick Bunkley, Akiem Hicks and Sedrick Ellis at tackle, I completely buy the idea of them taking the best available outside pass-rusher here in Dion Jordan.
Who the selection should be: DE Dion Jordan, Oregon
16. St. Louis Rams
16 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
Matt Miller's Pick: WR Keenan Allen, California
Scott Wright's Pick: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
Buying or selling the picks
If Chance Warmack was available, I would have said buy faster than a stockbroker who sees a top stock at just a dollar. However, he's not available, so the second idea is a big-name, big-threat wide receiver in Keenan Allen. This is a pick that I also would buy. St. Louis needs a No. 1 and Allen can be that in a heartbeat.
Who the selection should be: WR Keenan Allen, California
17. Pittsburgh Steelers
17 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU
Matt Miller's Pick: LB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame
Scott Wright's Pick: NT John Jenkins, Georgia
Buying or selling the picks
Both Barkevious Mingo and John Jenkins make a ton of sense here as the defensive front seven is the biggest need for Pittsburgh. However, Manti Te'o is just too good to fall anymore, and the need at inside linebacker next to Lawrence Timmons would be shored up with this pick.
Who the selection should be: LB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame
18. Dallas Cowboys
18 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DT John Jenkins, Georgia
Matt Miller's Pick: FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Scott Wright's Pick: FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Buying or selling the picks
Gerald Sensabaugh is an average free safety. Barry Church is an average strong safety. Nose tackle is definitely a need too, so both picks are what I would buy. However, safety looks like a bigger need than nose tackle, and this year's class at safety is not very deep. Kenny Vaccaro is the pick here.
Who the selection should be: FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
19. New York Giants
19 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE Ezekial Ansah, BYU
Matt Miller's Pick: DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio State
Scott Wright's Pick: DE Ezekial Ansah, BYU
Buying or selling the picks
Either spot on the defensive line would make sense for the Giants' pick. So both Johnathan Hankins and Ezekial Ansah are picks that I could buy. However, Hankins has already been selected at this point. So Ansah is the pick as a Justin Tuck clone.
Who the selection should be: DE Ezekial Ansah, BYU
20. Chicago Bears
20 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Matt Miller's Pick: ILB Arthur Brown, Kansas State
Scott Wright's Pick: OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
Buying or selling the picks
Considering Brian Urlacher is a free agent and Lance Briggs has said that he would never play middle linebacker, picking Arthur Brown and Alec Ogletree make a ton of sense. However, the Bears offensive line has been suspect for years now and drafting a true left tackle would help it long term. I'm going to buy the pick of Eric Fisher and sell the other two.
Who the selection should be: OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
21. Cincinnati Bengals
21 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DE Sam Montgomery, LSU
Matt Miller's Pick: DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
Scott Wright's Pick: ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Buying or selling the picks
With how deep the Cincinnati line is, I have a hard time buying either of the defensive line picks. So in selling those, the biggest need looks to be inside linebacker. Alec Ogletree is the pick I buy here as he fits Mike Zimmer's defense much better than Arthur Brown does.
Who the selection should be: ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
22. St. Louis Rams (From Washington Redskins)
22 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: S Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Matt Miller's Pick: OL Dallas Thomas, Tennessee
Scott Wright's Pick: OT Jake Matthews, Texas A&M
Buying or selling the picks
With Jake Matthews and Kenny Vaccaro already taken, Dallas Thomas looks like the pick that should be taken by default. Unfortunately, I'll be selling that pick as well as I don't find Thomas to be more impressive than Alabama offensive lineman Barrett Jones.
Jones could jump right in at any of the five spots on the offensive line. And with Harvey Dahl, Scott Wells and Roger Saffold looking solid, Jones helps give the Rams four good offensive linemen.
Who the selection should be: OL Barrett Jones, Alabama
23. Baltimore Ravens
23 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee
Matt Miller's Pick: S Eric Reid, LSU
Scott Wright's Pick: S Eric Reid, LSU
Buying or selling the picks
Eric Reid is the pick that is easiest to buy here. I love how Cordarrelle Patterson plays and think when all is said and done, he could be the top receiver off of the board. I just think this would be a bad fit for him as the Ravens need someone who can take over for Ed Reed.
Who the selection should be: S Eric Reid, LSU
24. Minnesota Vikings
24 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: DT Bennie Logan, LSU
Matt Miller's Pick: DT John Jenkins, Georgia
Scott Wright's Pick: WR Keenan Allen, California
Buying or selling the picks
With Keenan Allen off of the board already and Bennie Logan looking like a reach at this point, John Jenkins looks like the pick by default. He's an easy one to buy though as the Vikings need someone who can force double-teams on the inside and take pressure off of Kevin Williams.
Who the selection should be: DT John Jenkins, Georgia
25. Indianapolis Colts
25 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: NT Jesse Williams, Alabama
Matt Miller's Pick: OLB Adrian Hubbard, Alabama
Scott Wright's Pick: OL Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina
Buying or selling the picks
These three picks all make sense and are all ones that I would buy. However, when it comes to the biggest need on the Indianapolis defense right now, I have to go with Jesse Williams. He can play the nose or the 5-technique. It wouldn't surprise me to see him as the pick despite Josh Chapman already in the middle of that defense.
Who the selection should be: NT Jesse Williams, Alabama
26. Seattle Seahawks
26 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: WR Terrance Williams, Baylor
Matt Miller's Pick: WR Terrance Williams, Baylor
Scott Wright's Pick: DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
Buying or selling the picks
While Sheldon Richardson is a personal favorite of mine, it's tough to not buy the idea of Terrance Williams wearing a Seahawks jersey in 2013. He's a perfect fit for the offense they run there and would be a good fit as a No. 1 option with Sidney Rice and Golden Tate there as secondary options.
Who the selection should be: WR Terrance Williams, Baylor
27. Green Bay Packers
27 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: WR Keenan Allen, California
Matt Miller's Pick: OL Barrett Jones, Alabama
Scott Wright's Pick: TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
Buying or selling the picks
I'm going to have to sell both the idea of Keenan Allen and Tyler Eifert right now. Jermichael Finley has posted a great second half of the season and I don't see wide receiver as a need in Green Bay. With Barrett Jones off the board at this point, I have to sell all three picks. Jonathan Cooper is the pick here.
Who the selection should be: OG Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina
28. Houston Texans
28 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: ILB Kevin Minter, LSU
Matt Miller's Pick: ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Scott Wright's Pick: NT Jesse Williams, Alabama
Buying or selling the picks
The idea of a nose tackle would make more sense if Wade Phillips required a top-notch one. So I'd sell the Jesse Williams pick from the get-go. However, an inside linebacker is definitely needed. I just don't think Kevin Minter is the right fit and Alec Ogletree is unavailable. So I'd sell all three picks. Arthur Brown is the pick that I would take here.
Who the selection should be: ILB Arthur Brown, Kansas State
29. San Francisco 49ers
29 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: S Matt Elam, Florida
Matt Miller's Pick: CB Jordan Poyer, Oregon State
Scott Wright's Pick: DL Sylvester Williams, North Carolina
Buying or selling the picks
Call me a bit of a purist, but when you have one of the best defenses in the NFL, I'm going to sell any defensive pick made. The biggest problem on the 49ers is offensively. It's at wide receiver where there is a complete void of talent. Especially with last year's first-round pick. So I have them taking a true No. 1 and a Julio Jones clone here in Cordarrelle Patterson.
Who the selection should be: WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee
30. New England Patriots
30 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia
Matt Miller's Pick: CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State
Scott Wright's Pick: CB David Amerson, N.C. State
Buying or selling the picks
I don't see Tavon Austin as a need for the Patriots or David Amerson as worth the value, so I sell both of those picks. However, Xavier Rhodes is more than worth it here and would easily fit one of New England's biggest needs at corner.
Who the selection should be: CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State
31. Atlanta Falcons
31 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
Matt Miller's Pick: DE Barkevious Mingo, LSU
Scott Wright's Pick: TE Zach Ertz, Stanford
Buying or selling the picks
Barkevious Mingo isn't someone who truly fits the character profile of Atlanta's players. Zach Ertz is also someone who just isn't worth the value in the first round. The best possible pick here is Tyler Eifert. He's the top-rated tight end in the draft and would fit right into the culture in Atlanta. I sell the Mingo and Ertz picks but buy the Eifert one all day.
Who the selection should be: TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
32. Denver Broncos
32 of 32Walter Cherepinsky's Pick: OG/C Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina
Matt Miller's Pick: DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida
Scott Wright's Pick: DT Kawann Short, Purdue
Buying or selling the picks
While the idea of a top-rated guard or defensive tackle is very easy to buy. The question of who the best pick would be is tougher. However, Sharrif Floyd makes the most sense of the three picks shown and would be an excellent fit next to Elvis Dumervil or Derek Wolfe.
Who the selection should be: DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida
All stats used are either from Pro Football Focus's Premium Stats, ESPN.com, CFBStats.com or NFL.com.
Scott Carasik is a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report. He covers the Atlanta Falcons, NFL and NFL draft. He is also the Falcons analyst at Drafttek, runs the NFL draft website ScarDraft.com and hosts Kvetching Draftniks Radio.
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)




.png)

.jpg)
