Predicting Where 5 Coaches on the Hot Seat Could End Up Next Year

The hot seat is always on, it just depends which coaches are sitting on it

Pro football's coaching carousel has been ever-changing since the 21st century began, because teams, fans and owners alike are getting impatient. In other words: if you're not immediately winning then longevity in one location becomes quite slim.

Andy Reid of the Philadelphia Eagles is currently the NFL's longest-tenured coach having been with the franchise since 1999.

Looking ahead through the 2012 season though, another down year for Philly could be Reid's last straw. After all, the Eagles haven't made it past the NFC's Wild Card round since 2008.

Reid, however, is not alone. And considering the changes we saw occur at the beginning of the 2012 offseason, 2013 has the potential to be similar.

Norv Turner, Chargers (Tennessee Titans, Offensive Coordinator)

Norv Turner got a nice win over the Oakland Raiders in Week 1.

Unfortunately, the San Diego Chargers' offense was consistently shut down when getting inside the red zone.

The Raiders defense stood strong against the Bolts potent attack and concerns are reasonable about San Diego's offense. Also, the Chargers haven't made the postseason since 2009 and only once under Turner have they appeared in the AFC title game.

Winning the AFC West won't be any easier this year either, especially with Peyton Manning in Denver. Nonetheless, the Tennessee Titans need a stronger offensive mind after averaging only 20.3 points per game under Chris Palmer in 2011.

Not to mention Palmer's offense was limited to 13 points in Week 1 of 2012 and accumulated only 284 total yards. If Tennessee is to compete in the AFC South which presents some rough defenses (even the Colts have improved), a guy like Turner can certainly help.

Pat Shurmur, Browns (Oakland Raiders, Offensive Coordinator)

The Cleveland Browns have no legitimate offensive attack and Pat Shurmur serves better as a coordinator.

Last season the Browns were the worst offense from an all-encompassed perspective, so making that head coaching change is needed to compete in the AFC North.

On the bright side, Shurmur turned around the St. Louis Rams offensive fortunes in 2009 and 2010. The bad news was that the improvement wasn't so drastic or consistent enough, and Shurmur leaving for Cleveland was simply too quick of a jump to the head coaching spot.

If it weren't for Dick Jauron and the Cleveland defense, the Browns would be getting blasted every game.

Optimistically, though, Shurmur's West Coast attack bodes well for the Oakland Raiders.

Offensive coordinator Greg Knapp's resume hasn't been impressive since 2003 with the San Francisco 49ers, and every year since 2007 his offenses haven't averaged more than 17.7 points per game (he was only the quarterback coach the past two seasons in Houston).

Shurmur's philosophy fits well in Oakland, however, because all Carson Palmer did was checkdown to Darren McFadden in Week 1. The Raiders also field some explosive receivers, unlike Cleveland, and Run DMC is obviously more proven than Trent Richardson.

Flip to the head coach and Dennis Allen's defense is solid, minus penalties, and all the Raiders need is a sound offense.

From the personnel to the Raiders needing a different offensive approach, Shurmur would be a solid fit.

Lovie Smith, Bears (New Orleans Saints, Defensive Coordinator)

The Chicago Bears may have won in Week 1, but it was at home and over the Indianapolis Colts.

Their Week 2 matchup on the road at Lambeau Field was a significantly different story. The Bears failed to defeat the Green Bay Packers and that can't happen if Chicago wants a postseason bid.

After missing January last season, the Bears made some impressive upgrades but another missed playoff year and it wouldn't be surprising if Love Smith was out. Chicago has just one playoff season in the past five years and a record of only 42-38 since 2007.

Provided that Smith is looking during the 2013 offseason, the New Orleans Saints desperately need a defensive-minded coach. Bountygate aside, Gregg Williams really wasn't that impressive of a defensive coordinator.

The Saints ranked No. 25 in total defense in 2009 and No. 20 in points allowed. Also, New Orleans was No. 30 against the pass in 2011 and recorded just 33 sacks.

Had it not been for Tracy Porter being a playmaker in Super Bowl XLIV, the Saints may not have won a Vince Lombardi Trophy. As for Smith, he's not only fared significantly better than Williams but has faced stronger offenses more recently like the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions.

Rex Ryan, Jets (Miami Dolphins Defensive Coordinator)

Sure it's rare for a coach to change teams within the same division, but Rex Ryan is a great fit for the Miami Dolphins.

For one, we can't get too hyped up about the New York Jets slamming the Buffalo Bills. Since taking over Gang Green in 2009 the Jets are 5-1 against the Bills, so this victory wasn't that unexpected.

But, after losing two straight AFC title games and then failing miserably toward the end of 2011, 2012 has increased pressure. Now factor in that it's New York City and this only enhances Ryan's hot seat.

The Miami Dolphins, though, need a more experienced defensive coach and one of Ryan's stature would suffice. Each of the past three seasons the Jets have ranked inside the top six for total defense and twice for allowing less than 20 points per game.

Pairing him opposite of the offensive-minded coaches of Joe Philbin and Mike Sherman would give Miami a solid coaching staff. In turn, the Dolphins then rebuild quicker and we could finally take Ryan's preseason Super Bowl guarantees more seriously.

Andy Reid, Eagles (Cleveland Browns, Head Coach)

He's been on the hot seat before, but the pressure is on Andy Reid for 2012.

Per Rich Hofmann of Philly.com:

"

Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie made his annual state of the team address Thursday afternoon, prior to the team’s exhibition finale against the New York Jets, and said that another 8-8 season would not be enough to save 14-year head coach Andy Reid.

“No, it would not,” Lurie said.

"

So, for Reid this season is basically now or never.

After having gone to five NFC Championship games and one Super Bowl, a change in Philadelphia would be somewhat surprising. Then again, it is the number of Vince Lombardi Trophies that matters most in pro football.

If Reid does become available in the offseason, though, he would be a great fit for the Cleveland Browns. The Browns need a reputable head coach and lest we forget that Reid assisted under Mike Holmgren from 1992-1998 with the Green Bay Packers.

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