UFC 150 Prelims: Final Breakdown of the Preliminary Card Odds
With UFC 150 just about ready to get underway, we'll take one last look at the betting odds available for the night's preliminary action.
Note that the odds provided for each fighter are at or near the middle of the range out there on various sportsbook websites. You will be able to find both better and worse if you look around, but what's on the slide is just to ballpark the odds for each guy.
Also note that this slideshow is not meant to offer any gambling advice, but instead provides my personal opinion on how the chances of each fighter align with the odds they have been given.
Do with the information what you will, but this is designed as an overview, not an investment model.
Eiji Mitsuoka vs. Nik Lentz
1 of 5Eiji Mitsuoka: 3.85 to 1
Nik Lentz: 1.25 to 1
The odds on Mitsuoka that I've come across range from 3.75-4.00 to 1. While that is an attractive number, backing the Japanese veteran is a considerable risk. Lentz is not a world-beater in any sense, but he does have the ideal style to defeat Mitsuoka, and may very well spoil any hopes you have of cashing in big on this fight.
The only way I can see Mitsuoka pulling off the upset here is to put Lentz on his back and keep him there, and that is something I just don't believe will happen.
On the other hand, every dollar you put on Lentz will only yield about a quarter profit in return, so that too likely isn't worth much of a risk.
This is the kind of fight you'll mostly want to stay clear of unless you are looking to put the finishing touches on a parlay. If that is the case, Lentz is a solid option.
Dustin Pague vs. Chico Camus
2 of 5Chico Camus: 2.50 to 1
Dustin Pague: 1.55 to 1
This bout is a bit difficult to gauge, unless you are familiar with Camus from his time on the regional circuit. Even then it can be tricky projecting how a fighter's skills will translate to the big stage.
But if you just can't shake that pro-Camus feeling, go ahead—putting a few bucks on the underdog here is certainly not unreasonable. But back him cautiously, as this is something of uncharted territories.
I personally like the line on Pague more than the one on Camus. If the Disciple wins and you've put some support behind him, your investment comes back with over a 50 percent gain, which is nothing to scoff at.
More than anything, I see Pague as a nice complement to a two or three fight parlay that strictly contains favorites. I think his odds of winning the fight are better than the odds afforded to him by book-makers.
Erik Perez vs. Ken Stone
3 of 5Erik Perez: 1.75 to 1
Ken Stone: 2.05 to 1
I'm actually a bit surprised that this one isn't a touch more even. Sure, Perez looked good in all of the 4:18 he has spent inside the Octagon, but Stone has way more experience against high-level competitors.
Consequently, I really like Stone at these odds. I've seen him from 2.00-2.10 to 1, and think that is a solid bargain, whether solo or as a nice multiplier in a parlay.
If, on the other hand, you are confident in Perez, the 1.75 odds should not be enough to deter you from going for it. Though he is the favorite, 75 cents on the dollar can yield a solid payout.
Michael Kuiper vs. Jared Hamman
4 of 5Michael Kuiper: 1.83 to 1
Jared Hamman: 1.93 to 1
Everything I've seen for Kuiper's odds are about 1.83 to 1, while Hamman's number ranges from 1.91-2.00 to 1.
Both of these guys have the type of odds that shouldn't encourage action if you aren't confident, but shouldn't dissuade it if you are.
The bout is certainly one of the tougher fights to call on the entire card, so staying away from it isn't a terrible policy. Especially in regards to parlays—this is a decent multiplier, but it can really cut you off at the knees.
"Approach with caution" is a phrase that you should mentally recount before clicking the "bet" button for this fight, regardless of which way you are leaning.
Dennis Bermudez vs. Tommy Hayden
5 of 5Dennis Bermudez: 1.32 to 1
Tommy Hayden: 3.33 to 1
The odds on Bermudez are pretty standard across the board, while those on Hayden can be found from 3.20-3.50 to 1.
Making a fund-supplementing wager on Bermudez isn't a terrible call here, as the probability of success exceeds the betting odds. If taking Bermudez on his own is too dull for you, adding him to a parlay is something worth considering.
If you're tempted to try out the long odds on Hayden, best of luck to you. I really don't see it happening, but if you're looking to make a splash, this is certainly one way to go.


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