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BCS Playoffs: Why Colley Matrix Should Decide College Football Playoff Seeding

Austyn HumphreyJun 7, 2018

The majority of college football fans acknowledge that Alabama was college football's bestย team in 2011. But even the most stoic fan is biased. How do we know that the Crimson Tide deserved to play in the national championship at all?

Forย the latter halfย of the season, manyย people had reason to overlook an Alabama-LSU rematch. Les Miles' team, obviously, was destroying everyย squad in sight and would remain first in the polls. But at one point, Oklahoma Stateย seemed to be the Tigers' destinedย national championship game foe.

Come mid-November, the second-ranked Cowboys were 10-0 and hadย clobbered Texas Tech, 66-6. The Cowboys also hadย three wins over Top 25 teams and had a turnover-machine defense capable of bringing them back from any deficit.

On the other hand, Alabama hadย just proven to beย pretenders. The Crimson Tide missed five field goals and couldn't score a touchdown against cornerback Tyrann Mathieu and the tenacious Tiger defense. To make the loss more embarrassing, Nick Saban's team had lost at home, where they were virtually unbeatable.

Fate intervened on November 18, 2011. OSU lost to lowly Iowa State in double overtime, while 'Bama won out the rest of its regular season games. In a controversial move, Alabama was chosen to play in the BCS National Championship. This outraged many fansโ€”especially critics of the SECโ€”since Alabama did not win its conference, let alone its own SEC division!

The only positive outcome of this game is the impending playoff. But, as ESPN commentators Rece Davis andย Ed Cunningham said on the May 10 edition of College Football Live, the Coaches Poll needs to be taken out of the BCS. No coach can watch all the significant games and be responsible for his team simultaneously.

Many still shutter to thinks teams' fates should be determined by cold, unfeeling computers. Then again, there are coaches likeย Steve Spurrier, who gave a vote to his former programย (in his case, Duke) forย roughly 20 years!ย Some have suggested that theย Legends Pollย (a non-mainstream poll composedย of retired Hall of Fame coaches) could serve as a committee, but those coaches will undoubtedly have some bias as well.

So here's what I propose: let five of the current six BCS formulas hang out to dry. Only one formula designer, Wesley Colley, releases his formulaย to the public. Colley is well respected; he has a Ph. D. from Princeton, for goodness sakes! Other creators, such as Kenneth Massey, demand property privacy rights. Therefore, Colley'sย transparency makesย him trustworthy.

Someoneย who doesn't have a conflict of interest and isn't chiefly looking for a profit (like bowl executives or other formula writers) deserves to have a primary say in howย football playoffย rankings should be determined.ย ย 

Colley's formula relies on strength of scheduleย to reward the more commendable teams. The overall record, though, is what mattersย and does not consider preseason polls viable. His one weakness, in my opinion,ย would have to beย not taking margin of victory into account.

So, what does this all point to? It points to Oklahoma Stateโ€”a conference championโ€”having been the worthy No. 2 to battle it out for the national title. Heck, at the end of the season, Colley ranked the Cowboys first!

What do you think? Should we ditch the Coaches Poll? Should we keep only the BCS formulas? Or should we rely on a form of Colley's Matrix to determine the playoff participants?

As of this year, our voice is heardโ€”a playoff is coming. Now, you decide how it works.