ESPN NCAA Bracket 2012: Sweet 16 Teams That Will Fail to Advance

Over half of the 2012 Sweet 16 is now complete, which means its not too early to start looking at what teams have the best chance of advancing.

And what teams don't have such a good chance.

Here's a look at teams that don't look very safe heading into next week's action.

Indiana Hoosiers

It might seem obvious putting a No. 4 seed that is matched up with Kentucky, but the last time these two teams met, Christian Watford happened.

So it's obvious the Hoosiers will have a chance in this one. Still though, the Wildcats are just a different beast than they were back in December. 

They are scary in all aspects of the game, and their defense will suffocate Indiana's offense, which has been so efficient up until now. Anthony Davis should make Cody Zeller very uncomfortable, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will bother Watford.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a good game out of Victor Oladipo, who has the athleticism to play with the Wildcats, but Kentucky is too good to lose to Indiana again.

Ohio State Buckeyes

If Aaron Craft continues to play like he did against Gonzaga, the Buckeyes have a good chance of advancing to the Final 4. 

I just worry about Jared Sullinger, who hasn't looked right as of late. The big sophomore has looked tentative and much too comfortable with the outside shot.

Granted, he can knock that down, but he must be more aggressive, especially against a defensively-minded team like Florida State or Cincinnati. 

If Sullinger continues to play with a lack of aggression, it's only going to take one bad game from Deshaun Thomas or William Buford to knock out the Buckeyes.

Michigan State Spartans

I'll probably regret this because betting against Draymond Green being willing to end his college career is usually a bad move. 

But Louisville matches up well with MSU. 

St. Louis was able to give the Spartans a lot of trouble today because of its ability to slow the game down and turn it ugly. Louisville, who prides itself on defense and has played many ugly games in the Big East, can do just that.

But they combine the ability to play an ugly game with lots of talent on offense. Peyton Siva has shown the ability to penetrate past anyone, and that opens up things for talented shooters such as Kyle Kuric and Chris Smith.

Louisville has a defense that matches up perfectly with the Spartans. If their offense is clicking, the Cardinals will roll. 

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