NFL Picks 2023: Early Week 14 Odds to Exploit after Final Week 13 Results

Week 13 brought plenty of excitement to NFL fans, pretty much from start to finish. The Dallas Cowboys outlasted the Seattle Seahawks in a Thursday night thriller, while the Green Bay Packers upset the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

The San Francisco 49ers, meanwhile, blew out the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, potentially laying claim to being the league's best team in the process.

While there's plenty to absorb coming out of Week 13, there's little time for reflection. The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots are set to kick off the next slate on Thursday. Let's dive into a few of our favorite wagering opportunities based on the early odds.

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Check the latest lines at DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6 Versus New England Patriots

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Steelers QB Mitch Trubisky

Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett suffered an ankle injury during Sunday's loss to the Arizona Cardinals. As a result, it appears that Mitch Trubisky will start for at least the next few weeks.

"Pickett will have a surgical procedure Monday on his injured ankle and expected to be out 2-4 weeks, per sources," Gerry Dulac of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette posted on X, formerly known as Twitter.

That's a potentially big problem for a Steelers team that has struggled to score points, even after firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Picking Pittsburgh to win by six against almost any team would seem illogical.

However, the Steelers are facing the offensively inept Patriots. New England's defense is solid—it hasn't allowed more than 10 points in any of its last three games—but the Patriots have scored just 13 points over the past three outings.

This should be a tight defensive battle, and that gives a pretty sizeable advantage to the Steelers at home in prime time. Don't be shocked if a defensive touchdown is what allows Pittsburgh to cover here.

Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers over 46 Points

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Seahawks QB Geno Smith

The 49ers made a serious statement when they poured 42 points on the Eagles in Philadelphia on Sunday. Quarterback Brock Purdy had his way with the Eagles secondary, Deebo Samuel was relentless as a dual threat, and Christian McCaffrey did all of the things that he usually does.

While the 49ers have long held an identity as a defensive team, their offense currently looks as potent as any in the NFL. It's hard to envision the Seattle Seahawks offering a lot of resistance, which is why betting the over feels like a fairly safe choice.

The last time these two teams played, San Francisco scored 31 points. That's probably the floor for the 49ers.

While the first meeting only yielded 44 total points, Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith is back to 100 percent, and he was dealing against Dallas on Thursday. He threw for 334 yards and three touchdowns, and he should allow Seattle to at least hang with San Francisco for a while.

Expect a similar outcome to the 49ers-Eagles game, which saw San Francisco pull away but the two teams combine for 61 total points.

Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys over 52.5 Points

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Eagles QB Jalen Hurts

This is an extremely high points line, but the last time the Eagles and Cowboys played, they combined for 52 total points. If we've learned one thing in the weeks since, it's that both teams have suspect defenses.

The Eagles have surrendered an average of 29 points per game over their last four. The Cowboys just coughed up 35 points to Seattle, and they very well might have lost that game if the Seahawks had a healthier backfield.

Philadelphia can attack the Cowboys on the ground, while Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith should challenge Dallas' secondary the way Seattle just did.

At the same time, Dak Prescott is playing as well as any quarterback in football, and he's been especially good at home. The Cowboys will be eager to get a little revenge on Philadelphia, and they'll have had extra time to prepare.

Don't be surprised to see Dallas top 40 points for the fifth straight time at home. The Eagles should generate enough offense to push this one to the over.

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