Ravens vs. Chargers: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF
The Los Angeles Chargers will welcome the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday Night Football with their backs against the wall and their playoff hopes on the line.
Brandon Staley's club has been disappointing for most of the season. Despite a star-studded roster that includes Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Joey Bosa, they are just 4-6 with a 13.8 percent chance of making the playoffs going into Sunday, per Sumer Sports.
If they want to keep those slim hopes alive, they'll have to beat an 8-3 Ravens squad that is looking like one of the best in the league.
The final game of the Sunday slate also gives bettors one last chance to get in on the action. Whether you think the Chargers are toast or believe that Lamar Jackson is in for a big day, there's a little something for everyone on the betting front.
Here's a look at the latest lines and a few prop bets to look at as we prepare for this AFC showdown.
Schedule and Odds
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Date: Sunday, Nov. 26 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Watch: NBC/Peacock
Moneyline: Ravens -180 ($180 wager wins $100); Chargers +150 ($100 wager wins $150)
Spread: Ravens -3.5
Over/Under: 48
Odds from DraftKings.
Preview and Prediction
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Despite the disparate records, this is a matchup of two of the best offenses in the league. The Ravens rank sixth in EPA per play, but the Chargers are right behind them at seventh.
The difference comes on defense where the Ravens rank second in defensive EPA per play and the Chargers come in at 29th.
The Chargers have proven they can get in a shootout with just about anyone, they just haven't been able to get stops when they need them. So while they are eighth in offensive scoring, the fact that they are 24th in scoring defense explains their lackluster record.
Whether they will be able to get their offense going against a vaunted Baltimore defense will determine whether this game is close. Based on the Ravens recent form on that side of the ball, the answer should be yes.
The Ravens have been good, but they've given up a combined 51 points to the Browns and Bengals in back-to-back weeks. The Bengals likely would have scored more if it weren't for Joe Burrow going down in the second quarter. He led a 12-play 82-yard drive before exiting the game with a season-ending injury and backup Jake Browning took over.
That's not to say the points will come easy for the Chargers. They are still going to have to put together some drives to get on the board, but the Ravens defense has not been an impenetrable wall the last few weeks.
The Ravens offense has been clicking, but this is going to be their first full game since Mark Andrews went down with an ankle injury last week. Coach John Harbaugh said there's a remote chance the tight end will be back at some point this season but it's not happening this week.
Ultimately, there are some reasons to like the upset here. The Ravens are traveling all the way to the West Coast, the offense will need to make adjustments and the Chargers are good enough to move the ball offensively.
Prediction: Chargers +3.5, Under
Props to Watch
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Lamar Jackson Under 234.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The Chargers are the worst passing defense in the league. They've given up 291.6 passing yards per game so the over is likely going to be a popular pick. However, we're going to cut against the grain here. Jackson has only hit the over on this line four times this season and one was a 236-yard performance in a loss to the Steelers.
The Ravens are also one of the best teams in the league at running the ball and the Chargers can't stop that either. A run-heavy gameplan and the loss of Andrews makes the over a little dicey.
Keenan Allen Over 7.5 Receptions (-135)
There's a lot of juice to drink here, but they still haven't set the line high enough for Keenan Allen receptions. With Mike Williams out for the year, Justin Herbert has leaned even more heavily on Keenan Allen. He leads the league in targets and he's cleared this line in four consecutive games.
The Ravens have multiple defenders they can throw at Allen in the slot. Kyle Hamilton is the scariest but they'll have Arthur Maulet in there at times. The Ravens have given up some nice games to slot receivers already. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 13 catches for 102 yards against this defense in Week 7.
Justin Tucker Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-110)
The Chargers defense isn't good at a lot, but they are surprisingly efficient in the red zone. They are only giving up a touchdown on 52.8 percent of their trips inside the 20, ranking 15th in the league. They've actually cut that number down to 37.5 percent in their last three games.
The Ravens are now missing their primary red zone target. Mark Andrews was 12th in red zone target rate and has hauled in six touchdowns inside the 20 this season. With him out of the lineup that Ravens might have to settle for more field goals than they are used to.
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