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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 14: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts to a three point shot in overtime against the Boston Celtics at Fiserv Forum on February 14, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 14: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts to a three point shot in overtime against the Boston Celtics at Fiserv Forum on February 14, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)Stacy Revere/Getty Images

Winners and Losers from Portland Trail Blazers, Boston Celtics' Jrue Holiday Trade

Andy BaileyOct 1, 2023

Within a week of acquiring Jrue Holiday as part of the three-team trade that sent Damian Lillard to the Milwaukee Bucks, the Portland Trail Blazers have re-routed Holiday to another Eastern Conference title contender.

ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski broke the news on Sunday.

The details of the deal came later. The Boston Celtics now have Holiday, while the Blazers will receive Robert Williams III, Malcolm Brogdon, a 2024 first-round pick (via Golden State) and an unprotected 2029 first-round pick.

At first glance, this looks like a home run for both teams, but the trade is worth a closer look. Below, you'll find winners and losers from all sides involved (and maybe even from some that aren't).

Winner: Boston Celtics

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Joe Mazzulla, Malcolm Brogdon and Robert Williams III
Joe Mazzulla, Malcolm Brogdon and Robert Williams III

This move obviously costs Boston some depth. That's unavoidable with a two-for-one trade, but there's no doubt Holiday raises the Cetlics' ceiling.

Losing Marcus Smart's point-of-attack defense was perhaps the only real concern from this Boston offseason, and the team now has a better option on that front in Jrue.

And Holiday doesn't come with as many offensive question marks as Smart. Yes, he's had some underwhelming postseason runs on that end, but he's clearly a more reliable weapon.

  • Holiday from 2020-21 through 2022-23: 18.5 points, 6.8 assists, 39.5 three-point percentage, 59.0 true shooting percentage
  • Smart from 2020-21 through 2022-23: 12.2 points, 6.0 assists, 33.2 three-point percentage, 53.9 true shooting percentage

Of course, those two weren't traded for each other, but a comparison between Holiday and Brogdon also favors the Holiday.

If you sort every 2022-23 player with 500-plus minutes by the average of their ranks in five different catch-all metrics (as well as the cumulative versions of each), Holiday finished 22nd, while Brogdon was 69th.

However you look at it, the Boston backcourt got better this summer. And while the loss of Williams hurts the team's overall depth, the frontcourt is probably better, too.

The Celtics are now entering 2023-24 with a top six that includes Jayson Tatum, Kristaps Porziņģis, Holiday, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown and Al Horford. Even after Milwaukee's Lillard acquisition, that might be enough to consider Boston the favorite in the East.

Losers: All the Other Jrue Suitors

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MIAMI, FL - APRIL 22: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on during the game during Round One Game Three of the 2023 NBA Playoffs on April 22, 2023 at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2023 NBAE (Photo by Eric Espada/NBAE via Getty Images)
MIAMI, FL - APRIL 22: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on during the game during Round One Game Three of the 2023 NBA Playoffs on April 22, 2023 at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2023 NBAE (Photo by Eric Espada/NBAE via Getty Images)

Instead of singling out the Miami Heat (like we did in the reaction to the Lillard trade), we'll just call everyone who was (or may have been) in the hunt for Holiday a loser.

Age suggests he may be past his prime at 33, but his numbers certainly don't. Holiday is still one of the game's best perimeter defenders. As a third or fourth option—which is what he'll be in Boston—he's going to be a nightmare to defend. He can play the 1 or the 2, and he's never been dramatic about the roles in which he's found himself.

"Plug and play" is an overly used cliche in basketball writing, but it absolutely applies to Holiday, who would've pushed the Heat, Philadelphia 76ers, Los Angeles Clippers and whoever else might've wanted him closer to legitimate title contention.

Winner: Portland Trail Blazers

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Joe Cronin
Joe Cronin

For most of the summer, analysts all over the internet (myself included) sort of assumed that Lillard would wind up in his preferred destination, despite the shortcomings of Miami's offer.

But Blazers general manager Joe Cronin is now the latest NBA executive to prove the virtue of patience. Waiting out the market eventually gave him and Portland a massive (and likely still growing) haul for a 33-year-old point guard with a contract that could be pretty onerous by the time that $63.2 million player option rolls around in 2026-27.

The Blazers' trove of draft picks ballooned this summer. And having that in support of a young core that now includes Scoot Henderson, Deandre Ayton, Williams and Shaedon Sharpe tips this rebuild off with a strong foundation.

Lillard is undoubtedly one of the three best players in franchise history (along with Bill Walton and Clyde Drexler). Losing him is probably tough for plenty of fans and some within the organization. But this is a smart way to end the era. The Blazers' future is in much better shape than it was prior to this offseason.

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Losers (for Now): Malcolm Brogdon and Robert Williams III

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Malcolm Brogdon
Malcolm Brogdon

Brogdon may have been a little disgruntled in Boston, but he's a 30-year-old, oft-injured guard who was on a title contender. He came off the bench in 2022-23, but he still averaged 26.0 minutes and won Sixth Man of the Year.

In strictly basketball terms, he was in a good situation. Now, his name will just sort of float in the ether until Portland (likely) redirects him to another team. He could very well end up on another contender, but that's not guaranteed. And even if he does, it may not be a Tier 1 contender like Boston.

Including Williams here could also be temporary. He has the same misfortune of leaving a team that could win the 2024 Finals, but he could be in line for more offensive opportunities for a young Blazers squad, even as Ayton's backup.

If that raises his individual profile, the 25-year-old rim protector could be in for some bigger paydays in the future.

Winner: Jrue Holiday

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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - APRIL 19: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on against the Miami Heat during the second half of Game Two of the Eastern Conference First Round Playoffs at Fiserv Forum on April 19, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - APRIL 19: Jrue Holiday #21 of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on against the Miami Heat during the second half of Game Two of the Eastern Conference First Round Playoffs at Fiserv Forum on April 19, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

Two years after providing critical contributions during the Bucks' 2021 championship run, the front office (understandably) ditched Holiday for one of the greatest point guards of all time.

Getting shipped from a team that has Giannis Antetokounmpo in his prime probably didn't feel great, but he's suddenly on a team that might be even better than Milwaukee.

And he now has a shot at what could be a pretty delicious revenge season.

The Bucks and Celtics seem like the easy calls to finish first and second in the East. That could mean a conference finals matchup between the two.

And if that happens, and Holiday outplays Lillard in that series (as he did in the 2018 Western Conference first round), he'd have a measure of retribution NBA players rarely get to experience.

Shai Trolls Dillon Brooks 👈

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