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TCU vs. Georgia: 2023 CFP National Championship Odds, Predictions and More

Joe TanseyJanuary 2, 2023

ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 31: Georgia Bulldogs running back Kendall Milton (2) scores a touchdown during the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl College Football Playoff Semifinal game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Georgia Bulldogs on December 31, 2022, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by John Adams/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
John Adams/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Georgia Bulldogs will try to accomplish something that has not been done in college football in two decades at the College Football Playoff National Championship.

Georgia is aiming to become the first repeat champion at the FBS level since the USC Trojans in 2003 and 2004.

Kirby Smart's team is projected to win by close to two touchdowns over the TCU Horned Frogs on January 9.

Georgia is a 13.5-point favorite against the Big 12 side that lost once this season and handed the Michigan Wolverines their first loss in the semifinal round.

TCU proved that it could compete with one of the best teams in the sport on New Years' Eve, and it may be capable of sticking with Georgia for four quarters inside Sofi Stadium.

However, a trend from the last four CFB National Championship Games could play in Georgia's favor to cover the spread.

The last four title games have been decided by 15 or more points, including Georgia's triumph over the Alabama Crimson Tide last January.


CFB Playoff National Championship Game Info

Date: Monday, January 9

Start Time: 7:30 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

Live Stream: ESPN.com and ESPN app


Game Odds

Spread: Georgia (-13.5)

Over/Under: 62.5

Money Line: Georgia (-500; bet $500 to win $100), TCU (+400; bet $100 to win $400)

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook


The 13.5-point spread for the National Championship makes sense after you look at how Georgia and TCU have been valued all season.

TCU was never a double-digit favorite in Big 12 play, while Georgia was consistently favored by multiple scores.

Georgia did not cover as a 6.5-point favorite against the Ohio State Buckeyes. It needed a fourth-quarter comeback to remain in the hunt for its repeat title.

Georgia's defensive lapses in the passing game should open up hope for TCU to stay in the contest behind the Max Duggan-Quentin Johnston duo.

Johnston is one of the best wide receivers in college football, and he could wreak havoc inside the Georgia secondary—as Marvin Harrison Jr. did in the Peach Bowl.

TCU's path to victory, or at least keeping the game close, is through a successful passing game and for Duggan to match the output of Stetson Bennett at quarterback.

The Horned Frogs have won some low-scoring games this season, but they are better suited to win a game that features a ton of points.

Georgia proved over the last two years that it can win in any fashion. The Bulldogs have had an answer for any challenges that have come their way in that stretch.

The Bulldogs' championship experience and resiliency could be important on Monday because they know exactly what to expect from a National Championship Game.

TCU was caught out early by Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl, but it weathered the storm thanks to mistakes made by the Wolverines.

Georgia could produce a similar start as Michigan but convert on its opportunities and put TCU in a hole it has to climb out of all game.

The Bulldogs have three double-digit victories over ranked teams this season. They had five wins of that variety last season as well.

Georgia has the killer touch that could put TCU down by multiple scores, while the Horned Frogs have mostly been known for playing in close games.

If Georgia's defense improves even slightly from the Peach Bowl, it could break out to a large lead and cover the spread while winning its second title in a row.

Prediction: Georgia 35, TCU 20


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