Formula 1: Spa Is Anyone's Race, so Will It Be Red Bull, Ferrari or McLaren?

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Formula 1: Spa Is Anyone's Race, so Will It Be Red Bull, Ferrari or McLaren?
SPA FRANCORCHAMPS, BELGIUM - AUGUST 29 (Photo by Paul Gilham/Getty Images)

Spa is a great track to watch.  It's long been my favorite race of the season, and this year looks to be no different.  

With the current three giants sure to fight it out and Mercedes and Renault looking for a way back, sparks are sure to fly.

And as soon as I mention them, I'll dismiss them.  Mercedes and Renault don't have a prayer.  Spa is a demanding circuit, requiring both aerodynamic grip and a powerful engine.  Renault don't have the power and Mercedes lacks in aerodynamics.  

So, among the three contenders, who will prevail?

Ferrari have history on their side, taking three of the last five races at Spa.  Alonso is sure to be hungry for a victory to push his title chase up a notch.  The Ferrari has been looking strong recently and definitely has the power to succeed.  

Furthermore, I believe this is a track Alonso's never won at before, which will be even more motivation for him.

McLaren have arguably shown the most improvement so far, and their driver pairing has the most possibilities.  Hamilton will have the upper hand due to his aggression, providing it doesn't rain.  If it rains, Button can easily steal the show.

Red Bull come into this race with the most to prove.  A recent string of poor showings will not have gone unnoticed, and they will be looking to increase their lead as much as possible.  

However, I don't see it happening.  This isn't a track that I believe suits either their cars or their drivers very well.  Therefore, I expect them to be fighting for a podium, but not a win.

Who will lift the trophy?  

I guess it'll be Alonso.  He has the car under him, the team behind him and the right head on his shoulders to win.  He'll be followed closely by Hamilton and then one of the Red Bulls.  I'd love to see Vettel win, and will happily eat my words if he does, but I just don't see it happening here.  

Let me know how wrong you think I am, and I'll be happy to offer my defense!

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