Racing at Santa Anita With Marc Doche: Full Fields Are Hopefully Here to Stay
With an average field size of over 11 horses for the 26 races over the next three days at Santa Anita, the grumblings over not having value in the wagering will be silenced for at least a few days.
Friday’s feature race is for allowance optional claiming company going a mile on the turf. In a wide-open field of nine, Dahoud is the morning line favorite at 3-to-1 making his second start in the U.S. since coming in from New Zealand for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.
He dueled on the lead in a first level allowance race after breaking from the inside post going six furlongs at Hollywood Park last month before fading to finish fourth.
The second choice at 7-to-2 is Dubai You X Y Z, who just missed winning the third straight race to start his career when he got nipped by a head and had to settle for third in his first try going two turns.
Bring It Home is listed at 8-to-1 coming off a five-month layoff for trainer Paco Gonzalez. Although he only has one career win to his credit in 15 starts, he has finished second or third against good company ten times.
We’ll take a crack at the early Fity Cent Pick 4 today.
We’re off to the races!
Best Bet of the Day (ROI based off $2 WPS bet)
Race 6 - #2 Raebella (12/1 ML) – This four-year-old daughter of Menifee showed she can be compettive on this circuit with a third place finish here three weeks ago after running at Golden Gate, Emerald Downs, and Turf Paradise. She closed into blistering fractions over a speed biased track and gets a lot of early speed to chase here again. She finished second in her only other start at today's distance of five and a half furlongs and has finished in the money in 8-of-10 career starts.
Yesterday’s Result – Show but no dough with Lady Lazer (-$4.00)
Total for 2010-11 Santa Anita meet – (-$21.30)
Early Pick 4
Leg 1 – Race 1 (5) – Four-year-old claimers run for a $10,000 tag and Warren’s Dove should get to the lead early on the stretch out and with Patrick Valenzuela aboard. The scratch of Camicory eliminated the other likely pace-setter.
Leg 2 – Race 2 (2,3,5,6) –.Down the hill going six and a half furlongs on the turf in this starter allowance race for older females and we go three deep.
No. 2 Elegant ran a pair of nice races in maiden company on this layout last year. She finally broke her maiden after dropping to the bottom in her last, but that could have helped her in the confidence department.
No. 3 Ruby Lane cuts back from a mile on the dirt, but has the potential to get to the lead early in a field void of speed.
No. 5 The Great Atlantic missed by just half a length in a blanket finish in her only start down the hill and has finished second or third in her last five races since.
No. 6 Lisa Lulu also has the potential to show some early speed and she finished third against better coming down the hill 12 days ago.
Leg 3 - Race 3 (1,3,4,6,7,8) – We hit the bottom with older maiden females going six and a half furlongs on the main track for a $20,000 tag. We’ll leave off the three that on paper just can’t run.
Leg 4 – Race 4 (2,3,5,6,7) – Down the hill again with older females, this time in an allowance optional claiming event with two horses in for the $62,500 tag.
No. 4 Reba Is Tops will go off favored coming off a third place finish in the Grade III Monrovia, but she is winless in five tries on this turf course and faces others that might be able to keep up with her today.
Recap – (5) w (2,3,5,6) w (1,3,4,6,7,8) w (2,3,5,6,7) – Total cost of ticket = $60
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches and much more!
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Yesterday’s Result – (-$120)
Total for 2010-11 Santa Anita meet – (+$3,847.60)
Total for 2010 Del Mar meet – (-$554.55)
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