MLB Betting Lines: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Pick: April 22nd 2010

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
Free Pick: New York Mets -159
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3* graded play on the Mets as they host the Cubs set to start at 7:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Mets will win this game. Mets starter Santana is 71-12 (+47.0 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. Cubs are just 11-31 (-16.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Santana is off a great road start at St. Louis where he allowed ZERO earned runs, 4 hits, 1 BB, and 9 K’s spanning 7 innings. This confidence and groove will certainly carry over to this game. What makes LH Santana so darn good is when he can throw his change for a strike and on any count. He throws FB just 60% of the time and only 68% when behind in the count. Batters are guessing what pitch he will throw and have to expect FB and react to change or vise versa. They cannot react to whatever pitch comes down the pipe and have success against Santana. How here is a stat for you. Of the the 4650 change ups that Santana has thrown his career batters are hitting just 146. Take the Mets.