This mock draft includes many changes from my previous mock draft, and the Steelers trading Santonio Holmes to the Jets and the Broncos trading Brandon Marshall to the Dolphins shakes things up even more.
1. St. Louis Rams—Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
Bradford threw 63-for-64 at his Pro Day, and the only incomplete pass was because of a receiver dropping a pass. The Rams were impressed, so there's really no reason for them to pass on him since they cut Marc Bulger. This is the guy of the future.
Other Possible Picks: Jimmy Clausen, QB
2. Detroit Lions—Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
The Lions would be wise to draft Russell Okung, but they won't likely do it since they traded a fifth-round pick to Seattle for Rob Sims, so that pretty much rules out the possibility of sliding Jeff Backus to left guard. Drafting Suh makes no sense since Sammie Lee Hill had a great rookie season and Corey Williams was acquired in a trade.
Other Possible Picks: Gerald McCoy, DT; Russell Okung, T
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers—Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
It appears that the Bucs will be getting an instant impact defensive tackle in the first round whether it's Suh or McCoy assuming the Rams draft a QB. If the Lions decided to draft McCoy, the Bucs would be stoked, and it's possible the Lions may go that route.
Other Possible Picks: Ndamukong Suh, DT; Eric Berry, S
4. Washington Redskins—Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State
This pick was going to be Jimmy Clausen, but the Redskins got Donovan McNabb in a trade, so Mike Shanahan will likely want a tackle, and that would be wise since they don't have another pick until the fourth round. McNabb cost high draft picks. Okung would be a huge upgrade over Stephon Heyer and would make an immediate impact at left tackle. Picking Okung may make the Redskins a playoff sleeper.
Other Possible Picks: Trent Williams, T; Bryan Bulaga, T
5. Kansas City Chiefs—Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma
Many people are expecting this pick to be Eric Berry, but that's not how Scott Pioli drafts. He drafts for positional value even if it means reaching. He reached for Tyson Jackson with the third overall pick last year. Williams erased doubts about his athleticism and ability to play left tackle at the Combine by running a 4.88. The Chiefs have already fixed holes at guard and center by signing Ryan Lilja and Casey Wiegmann, and drafting Williams and moving Branden Albert to right tackle completes the fixing of the offensive line.
Other Possible Picks: Bryan Bulaga, T; Eric Berry, S
6. Seattle Seahawks—Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa
There have been rumors of Walter Jones returning in 2010, but even if he does, the Seahawks would be dumb to rely on him to stay healthy for a full season, and Sean Locklear isn't fit to take over at left tackle. Bulaga is a zone-blocking tackle, so he'd fit the Seahawks' scheme perfectly. Taking Eric Berry is really tempting, but protecting Hasselbeck should be the first priority, and there's plenty of safeties to choose from with the 14th pick.
Other Possible Picks: Eric Berry, S; Trent Williams, T
Pick change; previously Eric Berry, S
7. Cleveland Browns—Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
If Berry falls to the Browns, this should be an easy pick. Their pass defense is a mess, and Berry is the playmaker that the Browns could use.
Other Possible Picks: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB; Dez Bryant, WR
Pick Change; previously Dez Bryant, WR
8. Oakland Raiders—Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland
Campbell excited Al Davis at the Combine by running a 4.88 and benching 34 reps. Davis loves players that run fast 40 times and post great workout numbers even if their tape is questionable. The Raiders have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, so a tackle will most likely be drafted by the Raiders.
Other Possible Picks: Trent Williams, T; Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB
9. Buffalo Bills—Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
The Bills are looking for a new franchise QB, and they're lucky that the Redskins traded for McNabb because that probably means that Clausen will fall to them.
Other Possible Picks: Trent Williams, T; Bryan Bulaga, T
10. Jacksonville Jaguars—Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Even though the Jaguars signed Aaron Kampman, their defensive line depth is still thin, and Kampman is still shaken up from his ACL tear. The Jaguars signed Tra Thomas before last year's draft and still spent their first two picks on Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton, so don't be surprised if they draft Morgan.
Other Possible Picks: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB; Joe Haden, CB
11. Denver Broncos (from Seattle)—Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
This pick should be a no-brainer. Andra Davis was cut, and McClain would fit perfectly in the Broncos' 3-4 scheme.
Other Possible Picks: Dez Bryant, WR; Dan Williams, DT
12. Miami Dolphins—Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
The Dolphins need a nose tackle badly, and nose tackles are scarce in this draft. They just traded for Brandon Marshall, so they will definitely not be drafting a wide receiver in the first round.
Other Possible Picks: Sergio Kindle, DE/LB; Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB
13. San Francisco 49ers—Joe Haden, CB, Florida
If the 49ers actually get Haden, he'll be a steal because he has top 10 talent. The 49ers have problems in their secondary, and Haden would provide the 49ers with a play-maker, and he's a winner, which is another trait that Singletary looks for.
Other Possible Picks: Taylor Mays, S; Earl Thomas, S
14. Seattle Seahawks (from Denver)—Taylor Mays, S, USC
The Seahawks need a safety badly. Jamar Adams is the only strong safety on the roster, and the pass defense struggled greatly last year. Carroll is familiar with Mays and knows how much upside he has to offer even though he received criticism for his pass coverage abilities. He redeemed himself at the Combine, so don't be surprised if Carroll pulls the trigger on Mays.
Other Possible Picks: Dez Bryant, WR; C.J. Spiller, RB
Pick change; previously Bryan Bulaga, T
15. New York Giants—C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
The Giants need depth at running back since Brandon Jacobs is injury-prone and Ahmad Bradshaw is a free agent. Even if Bradshaw returns, the Giants still need an explosive presence to make a perfect trio. Jerry Reese usually drafts the best player available that fills a need.
Other Possible Picks: Sean Weatherspoon, LB; Derrick Morgan, DE
16. Tennessee Titans—Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB, South Florida
Pierre-Paul ran a 4.6 at the Combine and did 23 backflips. He has a lot of bust potential to go with his upside, though. The Titans need a defensive end since they lost Kyle Vanden Bosch and Jevon Kearse to free agency. Whoever takes Pierre-Paul will need to draft him with caution.
Other Possible Picks: Everson Griffen, DE; Carlos Dunlap, DE
17. San Francisco 49ers—Mike Iupati, G, Idaho
The 49ers need to add depth to their offensive line. Iupati can provide versatility since he can play both guard and right tackle, and he had a great Senior Bowl and Combine, so his upside is hard to pass up.
Other Possible Picks: Anthony Davis, T; Taylor Mays, S
Pick change; previously Anthony Davis, T
18. Pittsburgh Steelers—Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
Bryant's stock is reportedly falling, and the Steelers are lucky since they just traded Santonio Holmes, and now they need a replacement. Bryant has a lot of upside, but he may need time to adjust to the pro-style offense. His "character concerns" are bogus since he only gets labelled that way because of the communist NCAA, and those reports of him often being late to team functions can't be proven and may just be sabotaging his reputation.
Other Possible Picks: Golden Tate, WR; Mike Iupati, G
Pick change; previously Mike Iupati, G
19. Atlanta Falcons—Brandon Graham, DE/LB, Michigan
Thomas Dimitroff places emphasis on positional value, so he will either take Graham or Sean Weatherspoon. I'm going with Graham because defensive end is the Falcons' biggest need and a more important position than linebacker. He drafted the two most important positions in 2008 with the first two picks: quarterback and left tackle.
Other Possible Picks: Sean Weatherspoon, LB; Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/LB
20. Houston Texans—Earl Thomas, S, Texas
The Texans need help in the secondary whether it's at free safety or cornerback. Bernard Pollard proved to be a great addition at strong safety, so taking Thomas would greatly improve the secondary.
Other Possible Picks: Kyle Wilson, CB; Taylor Mays, S
21. Cincinnati Bengals—Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
The Bengals never seemed to care much about the tight end position, but with all the injuries last season, they will be taking a hard look at Gresham, who has the receiving skills to give Palmer another weapon to throw to.
Other Possible Picks: Taylor Mays, S; Dez Bryant, WR
Pick change; previously Taylor Mays, S
22. New England Patriots—Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
The Patriots need depth at wide receiver considering Wes Welker won't be fully healthy at the beginning of the 2010 season, and Randy Moss is slacking and entering the final year of his contract. Tight end is a big need as well, but since Gresham is off the board, I'm going with a wide receiver.
Other Possible Picks: Jermaine Gresham, TE; Ryan Mathews, RB
Pick change; previously Jermaine Gresham, TE
23. Green Bay Packers—Charles Brown, T, USC
The Packers re-signed Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher, but they still need depth at tackle. Clifton and Tauscher are injury-prone, and they were signed to short-term deals, so that sends out a signal that the Packers intend to draft a tackle early.
Other Possible Picks: Kyle Wilson, CB; Taylor Mays, S
24. Philadelphia Eagles—Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
The Eagles traded Sheldon Brown, and they often draft cornerbacks early in the draft, so this pick should be an easy one. Wilson had an incredible Senior Bowl and Combine.
Other Possible Picks: Taylor Mays, S; Mike Iupati, G
25. Baltimore Ravens—Jared Odrick, DE/DT, Penn State
The Ravens need depth on the defensive line since Justin Bannan and Dwan Edwards are gone, and Trevor Pryce is aging. According Yahoo! Sports rumors, the Ravens want him if he falls to them, and that sounds like Ozzie Newsome's draft strategy.
Other Possible Picks: Kyle Wilson, CB; Jermaine Gresham, TE
26. Arizona Cardinals—Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
Weatherspoon displayed great leadership skills at the Senior Bowl and Combine, and he has the kind of talent that the Cardinals could use to replace Karlos Dansby.
Other Possible Picks: Anthony Davis, T; Brandon Spikes, LB
27. Dallas Cowboys—Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers
The Cowboys released Flozell Adams, so they will likely aim to draft a left tackle, and even though Davis has work ethic and character concerns, the Cowboys don't take that into consideration very much, and Davis has a lot of talent.
Other Possible Picks: Mike Iupati, G; Maurkice Pouncey, C/G
Pick change; previously Maurkice Pouncey, C/G
28. San Diego Chargers—Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
The Chargers need a running back, but they also need a nose tackle, and there will be plenty of running backs available in the second round, but after Cody is gone, there won't be very many nose tackles that fit the Chargers' scheme.
Other Possible Picks: Ryan Mathews, RB; Toby Gerhart, RB
29. New York Jets—Sergio Kindle, DE/LB, Texas
The Jets addressed their need at wide receiver by trading for Santonio Holmes, so now their biggest priority is at outside linebacker, and even though the Jets are talking to Jason Taylor, he'll probably sign only a one-year deal since he's nearing retirement, so they'll need more depth, and Vernon Gholston hasn't gotten a sack in his career.
Other Possible Picks: Jerry Hughes, DE/LB; Jared Odrick, DE/DT
Pick change; previously Golden Tate, WR
30. Minnesota Vikings—Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida
The Vikings struggled in run blocking last season, and that's part of what cost them the NFC Championship. Steve Hutchinson is aging, and John Sullivan and Anthony Herrera were average at best. Pouncey has versatility since he can play both center and either side of the guard position.
Other Possible Picks: Brian Price, DT; Jared Odrick, DE/DT
Pick change; previously Brian Price, DT
31. Indianapolis Colts—Rodger Saffold, T, Indiana
Bill Polian blamed the offensive line for the Colts' Super Bowl loss, so that's likely what he'll draft in the first round. Charlie Johnson isn't a franchise left tackle and Tony Ugoh isn't very good. Saffold had an incredible Combine, so he's now considered to possibly be a first-round pick.
Other Possible Picks: Charles Brown, T; Maurkice Pouncey, C/G
32. New Orleans Saints—Jerry Hughes, DE/LB, TCU
The Saints let Scott Fujita and Charles Grant go, so defensive end and outside linebacker are the biggest priorities, and Hughes can kill two birds with one stone. The Saints like to play both 4-3 or 3-4. He'll need to bulk up to play 4-3 defensive end though.
Other Possible Picks: Sergio Kindle, DE/LB; Brian Price, DT
Pick change; previously Sergio Kindle, DE/LB
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