WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible matchup in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. All rosters and depth charts are up-to-date as of Monday night of each week.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New York Jets | - | 79.4 | 25.4 | 14.2 |
| 2. | New Orleans Saints | - | 76.5 | 32.6 | 22.4 |
| 3. | New England Patriots | +1 | 69.4 | 26.8 | 19.4 |
| 4. | Atlanta Falcons | +3 | 68.6 | 25.3 | 18.8 |
| 5. | New York Giants | +4 | 68.2 | 23.7 | 16.7 |
| 6. | Minnesota Vikings | +2 | 66.3 | 26.9 | 20.4 |
| 7. | Arizona Cardinals | -1 | 65.9 | 25.7 | 20.8 |
| 8. | Indianapolis Colts | +3 | 65.1 | 25.7 | 20.7 |
| 9. | San Francisco 49ers | +3 | 60.9 | 21.7 | 18.6 |
| 10. | San Diego Chargers | - | 60.4 | 24.9 | 22.1 |
| 11. | Tennessee Titans | +3 | 60.0 | 23.7 | 20.6 |
| 12. | Dallas Cowboys | -7 | 58.7 | 23.7 | 20.9 |
| 13. | Houston Texans | +3 | 57.9 | 24.9 | 22.2 |
| 14. | Pittsburgh Steelers | -11 | 57.6 | 20.9 | 17.8 |
| 15. | Cincinnati Bengals | +2 | 53.4 | 22.7 | 21.2 |
| 16. | Philadelphia Eagles | +2 | 53.0 | 21.9 | 20.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Baltimore Ravens | -2 | 49.4 | 22.2 | 21.3 |
| 18. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 49.0 | 21.8 | 22.4 |
| 19. | Chicago Bears | +3 | 48.4 | 20.3 | 20.6 |
| 20. | Denver Broncos | +5 | 46.9 | 20.9 | 22.1 |
| 21. | Washington Redskins | -8 | 43.8 | 16.6 | 18.7 |
| 22. | Miami Dolphins | -2 | 43.1 | 21.5 | 24.0 |
| 23. | Carolina Panthers | - | 42.6 | 22.0 | 24.8 |
| 24. | Seattle Seahawks | - | 38.7 | 18.8 | 22.4 |
| 25. | Buffalo Bills | -4 | 36.0 | 21.3 | 25.7 |
| 26. | Kansas City Chiefs | +1 | 33.2 | 19.0 | 24.4 |
| 27. | Jacksonville Jaguars | +1 | 32.1 | 18.1 | 24.7 |
| 28. | Oakland Raiders | -2 | 26.2 | 17.1 | 24.9 |
| 29. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3 | 24.3 | 17.4 | 27.1 |
| 30. | Detroit Lions | +1 | 24.3 | 17.6 | 26.7 |
| 31. | St. Louis Rams | -2 | 23.0 | 17.2 | 27.6 |
| 32. | Cleveland Browns | -2 | 17.3 | 16.1 | 29.5 |
Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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