Why Roger Federer Has to Win Roland Garros 2009

A.Contributor IJune 5, 2009

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - FEBRUARY 01:  Roger Federer of Switzerland shows his emotion during the trophy presentation after his men's final match against Rafael Nadal of Spain during day fourteen of the 2009 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on  February 1, 2009 in Melbourne, Australia.  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

This undoubtedly has to be Roger Federer's year to win the French open. Novak Djokovic is gone, Andy Murray is taken care of, and Rafael Nadal has been defeated. This is his best and probably only chance to win it.

Nothing would be sweeter than to watch Federer lift that trophy this Sunday, but if he loses, I won't be crying for just that fact.

I'll be crying because I believe that will be the end of Federer. 

To lose this year, with all of his main rivals out, would without a doubt destroy Federer's confidence in his game. He would walk out of that stadium a broken man, and along with that, his chance to win Wimbledon gone.

We saw the mental bruising he suffered in Melbourne earlier this year, and I believe half the reason he didn't win a title until Madrid was because it had taken him that long to build up his confidence in his game in order to beat one of the top three. 

If a loss were to occur in a final to either Robin Soderling or Fernando Gonzalez, it would be even worse than the mental bruising he got in Melbourne, and that does not bode well for his chances at Wimbledon.

I don't believe he would be able to come back from such a loss. I think his future chances at a slam rely on this winning this one, because if he doesn't, I don't think he will win another slam, let alone get a chance to win one by reaching the final.

Federer's fate and place in history are in his hands. It's up to him to convert this phenomenal chance to complete his career slam. If he does it, which I have every confidence he will, the Wimbledon title and future slams can be his.

The consequence of not, I fear, will be devastating for him.