Andy Roddick's Road back into the Top Four

Deep  Chatterjee by Contributor Written on June 02, 2009
KEY BISCAYNE, FL - MARCH 31:  Andy Roddick looks on against Gael Monfils of France during day nine of the Sony Ericsson Open at the Crandon Park Tennis Center on March 31, 2009 in Key Biscayne, Florida.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

Andy Roddick has been playing much better this season. But being a top four player is an added bonus, as you don't face a player better than you until the semifinals of most tournaments.

With the form Roddick has showed, he can easily find his way back into the top four. But leaves a question: who does he replace? Not Rafa or Fed. Andy Murray isn't going away either. So the victim in this scenario will have to be Djokovic.

Some of you will point out that even after the French Open, Roddick is still 3,500 points behind. Here is how the calculations can work out though. (As for Del Potro, Roddick will be banking on the fact Del Potro has 1,700 points to defend during the Summer hard court season, which he got due to lack of competition before the Olympics).

So far into the season, here are the point totals for Roddick, Djokovic, and Del Potro. I've added 600 points to Del Potro, assuming he makes French Open semis. I have added the French Open to Roddick and Djokovic.

Roddick: 2,270 points

Djokovic: 3,440

Del Potro: 2,500

 

Here is how the rest of the season must play out:

Queens Club: Roddick wants to match the performance of Djokovic and Del Potro at Queens, but this will only add 100 points.

 

Wimbledon: This is HUGE. Roddick must make the semis his first priority and I do believe he can beat Djokovic, Murray on grass, and possibly Nadal too. (He may be bumped up to fifth seed because Wimbledon takes into account grass court points from a year ago and 75 percent from two years ago and adds them on to your points. So Roddick may have just enough to overtake Del Potro).

Del Potro and Djokovic have never enjoyed the grass much, so Roddick's goal is to come out of Wimbledon very close to Del Potro and having made up some ground on Djokovic. Here is how rankings should look post-Wimbledon:

Roddick: 2,990

Djokovic: 3,800

Del Potro: 2,860

 

Summer hard court season: Roddick wants to win two of the pre-Masters warm ups and do well in the third. Washington is important because it is a ATP 500. Of course, it will only count for 350 because only the best five performances of the season are taken for ATP events. By doing this, he will take away points from Del Potro and Djokovic doesn't play anyway.

Roddick: 3,300

Djokovic: 3,800

Del Potro: 3,200

 

The Two Masters: Roddick wants to do a bit better than both his competitors by making the semis of both, maybe even the finals if he has favorable draw (because Nadal's track record isn't so good at Cincy). After this point Roddick, wants to be very close to Djokovic and ahead Del Potro in the ATP Race.

Remember this isn't rankings, which will still have Djokovic's Masters performance which will make the gap in points seem larger than in reality. Here are points assuming that he makes both semis. Djokovic makes one semi and one quarter. Same with Del Potro.

Roddick: 4,020

Djokovic: 4,240

Del Potro:

Single Page
Vote Now! - Author Poll

Can Roddick Break Into the Top 4 by the End of the Season

  • Yes
  • No
vote to see results
Results - Author Poll

Can Roddick Break Into the Top 4 by the End of the Season

  • Yes

    51.2%
  • No

    48.8%
  • Total votes: 41
(0)
...
Share This  
Crop_45x45
or to post this comment

5 Comments

There are no comments yet. Get the conversation started by leaving the first comment

Loading more comments...
posted just now
  • Loading...
  • Nobody has liked this comment yet
Cancel

This comment and all replies have been deleted This comment has been deleted Undo delete

328
reads

5
comments

written on June 02, 2009 Opinion

The best newsletter on the web

Subscribe Now

We will never share your email address


CBS Sports Official Partner
Certain photos copyright © 2009 by Getty Images.
Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited.