Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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The Broncos have won nine straight against AFC West foes, while the Chiefs are mired in losing streaks of 1-8 and 2-7 against the spread vs. division opponents and 0-3 ATS in Kansas City.

The UNDER is on a 5-0-1 run in this rivalry of teams coming off discouraging Week 12 losses.

 

Point spread

Broncos opened as 2.5-point favorites, but the number was climbing toward five in early Week 13 betting; the total was 47.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction

36.3-32.2 Broncos

 

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

Denver already beat this team just two weeks ago. So, while bouncing back from last week's debacle in New England should provide motivation, there's a mental edge the Broncos own in this one. In its three wins over division rivals this year, Denver has won by an average final of 30.6-19.3.

Their foe has not shown much bite in divisional games, losing seven of nine.

 

Why the Chiefs can cover the spread

Suddenly, this game could decide the division, as both are 9-2. But, the Chiefs have the advantage of playing at home, where there is no way they want to lose back-to-back weeks. Kansas City is also going to be motivated after last week's tough-to-stomach loss to the Chargers.

 

Smart Pick

Believe it or not, things might be unravelling for the Chiefs right before our eyes. Sure, this is a talented bunch that is certainly well-coached by Andy Reid. But, the Broncos are better suited to respond after a loss than the Chiefs. Denver is the right side, and the line is expected to continue climbing.

 

Trends:

  • UNDER is 5-0-1 past six meetings
  • Broncos won nine straight divisional games SU
  • Chiefs 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS past nine divisional games
  • Chiefs 0-3 ATS past three home games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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