Kentucky Derby Draw 2013: Post Positions, Field and Race Preview

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Kentucky Derby Draw 2013: Post Positions, Field and Race Preview
Elsa/Getty Images

The post positions for the 2013 Kentucky Derby have been released, which gives a far better indication as to how the first leg of the Triple Crown will shake out at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 4.

Orb and Verrazano are the morning line favorites, but a trio of other top contenders figure to give them a significant push. Ninety of the 113 Derby winners have come from the inside 10 positions, and that's where Revolutionary (No. 3) Normandy Invasion (No. 5) and Goldencents (No. 8) are located.

However, Orb is at 16th and Verrazano is at No. 14, which gives them plenty of space to maneuver on the outside.

Below is a complete list of the field with their post positions, including a preview of this marquee race, key storylines to watch for and early predictions as to how it will all shake out.

 

When: Saturday, May 4

Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Ky.

TV: NBC

Live stream: NBC Sports

For complete information with regard to the 14.5 hours of coverage by NBC, visit Broadway World.

Purse: $2.18 million

Grade I

Distance: 10 furlongs

Post Time: 7-7:30 p.m. ET

 

Post Positions and Complete Field

Post No.

Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Odds

1

Black Onyx

Kelly Breen

Joe Bravo

50-1

2

Oxbow

D. Wayne Lukas

Gary Stevens

30-1

3

Revolutionary

Todd Pletcher

Calvin Borel

10-1

4

Golden Soul

Dallas Stewart

Robby Albarado

50-1

5

Normandy Invasion

Chad Brown

Javier Castellano

12-1

6

Mylute

Tom Amoss

Rosie Napravnik

15-1

7

Giant Finish

Anthony W. Dutrow

Jose L. Espinoza

50-1

8

Goldencents

Doug O'Neill

Kevin Krigger

8-1

9

Overanalyze

Todd Pletcher

Rafael Bejarano

15-1

10

Palace Malice

Todd Pletcher

Mike Smith

20-1

11

Lines of Battle

Aidan O’Brien

Ryan Moore

30-1

12

Itsmyluckyday

Eddie Plesa, Jr.

Elvis Trujillo

15-1

13

Falling Sky

John Terranova II

Gabriel Saez

50-1

14

Verrazano

Todd Pletcher

John R. Velazquez

4-1

15

Charming Kitten

Todd Pletcher

Edgar Prado

20-1

16

Orb

Claude R. McGaughey III

Joel Rosario

7-2

17

Will Take Charge

D. Wayne Lukas

Jon Court

20-1

18

Frac Daddy

Kenny McPeek

Victor Lebron

50-1

19

Java’s War

Kenny McPeek

Julien Leparoux

15-1

20

Vyjack

Rudy Rodriguez

Garrett Gomez

15-1

*Odds obtained from NBC Sports telecast.


Key Storylines

Two Jockeys, Both with Shots at History

Kevin Krigger will be in the saddle for prominent contender and Santa Anita Derby winner Goldencents, who is also five percent owned by Louisville Cardinals basketball head coach Rick Pitino. Krigger is just the second African-American to compete in this race since 1921, and if he won, he would be the first do so since 1902.

With the Pitino endorsement and the potential to make history not seen in over a century, the Louisville crowd should be pulling for Goldencents to get to the winner's circle. There is plenty of reason to think that it could happen, too.

Harry How/Getty Images

Not to be discounted is Rosie Napravnik, who finished ninth in the 2011 Kentucky Derby and will ride with underdog Mylute at Churchill Downs (h/t KentuckyDerby.com). Napravnik holds the highest finish by a woman in race history and is atop a constantly improving horse.

Mylute barely lost out to Revolutionary in the Louisiana Derby, proving he can contend with anyone. It's just a matter of strategy, which Napravnik understands since she rode Mylute to his most recent win.

Another side note: Calvin Borel and Gary Stevens are shooting for their fourth Kentucky Derby victories aboard Revolutionary and Oxbow, respectively.

 

Todd Pletcher's Many Chances

Rob Carr/Getty Images

The Hall of Fame trainer has a whopping five horses entering the starting gates on Saturday, including top contenders Verrazano and Revolutionary, as Calvin Borel will get the mount on the latter horse.

Between 2007 and 2010, Borel rode to victory in three of four Kentucky Derby starts and has a great chance to notch his fourth triumph at Churchill Downs atop a horse coming off of a win in the Louisiana Derby.

Pletcher's undefeated Verrazano was considered the prohibitive favorite before Orb's impressive showings in workouts.

As Andrew Champagne of Saratoga Sports points out, though, having a bunch of horses in the running doesn't necessarily guarantee success.

Pletcher has won this race just once, with Super Saver in 2010.

However, with so much experience and many impressive jockeys at his disposal—including 2011 Kentucky Derby winner John R. Velazquez mounting Verrazano—there is a strong chance that the winner on Saturday will come from Pletcher's talented bunch.

 

Triple Crown Potential

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Whichever horse emerges victorious will inevitably generate Triple Crown hype. It hasn't been done since 1978, and I'll Have Another won the first two legs last season before pulling out of the Belmont Stakes due to tendonitis.

It's been four races since the odds-on favorite made it to the winner's circle, so it's safest not to hype any horse as a Triple Crown prospect until the Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports comes to an end on Saturday.

Having said that, the hype that Orb has generated in the weeks leading up to this race figures to give him at least somewhat of an edge in that regard. Then again, Verrazano has not lost in his young four-race career.

Even though Normandy Invasion has just one win in his career, it would not be shocking to see him break out with a huge win.

Normandy Invasion nearly bested Verrazano at the Wood Memorial Stakes, but just couldn't quite get going fast enough down the final stretch, losing by less than a length. He is an underrated horse and does have decent odds at 8-1 to pull off the win.

 

Predictions

Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

Win: Orb

 All indications are that this is the hottest horse, and trainer Shug McGaughey's extensive resume is only missing victories at this race and the Preakness Stakes. Orb gives him a chance to snag both in one year.

Who will win the Kentucky Derby?

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Place: Normandy Invasion

I was really impressed with his push down the stretch at the Wood Memorial, because he at least struck a bit of doubt as to the prowess of Verrazano. With a similar run, he should be able to push at the end.

The question is whether this rather skinny horse has the power to not get tangled up in the cluster that defines the initial burst out of the starting gates.

 

Show: Mylute

 Napravnik makes a strong push for history, but ultimately falls short. Mylute should lead for a while, and his constantly improving speed over his six career starts is a fantastic indicator of his progress. However, against this type of field and on a longer track, he will run out of gas.

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