NFL Week 4 Picks: AccuScore Is Riding Fairly High on the New York Jets

Adam WaksmanCorrespondent IIISeptember 28, 2012

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 23:  Darrelle Revis #24 of the New York Jets celebrates a fourth quarter interception with teammate Muhammad Wilkerson #96 against the San Diego Chargers at MetLife Stadium on October 23, 2011 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

ESPN's mysterious AccuScore—their program that attempts to predict the outcomes of NFL games—seems to have a good feeling about the New York Jets this weekend. Playing host to the 2-1 San Francisco 49ers, AccuScore gives the Jets a 49 percent chance of winning.

Considering the Jets just lost their best player, cornerback Darrelle Revis, and are hosting one of the best teams in the NFL, those are pretty decent odds.

I cannot tell you the inner workings of the AccuScore computer; however, perhaps it took notice of the fact that the 49ers play very poorly when they have to travel to the East Coast for early games.

In 2011, the 49ers traveled east to play 1 p.m. ET games five times, mainly against weak teams. Yet the 49ers did not win a single one of those games by more than one possession.

They eked out wins against the Redskins, Rams and Eagles. The best opponent they faced in those five games was the Bengals, who they beat in an ugly 13-8 game.

The loss of Revis is still a game-changer and should not be forgotten, but the 49ers play slow, low-scoring games.

In an ugly battle, the game is very likely to be close in the fourth quarter. The 49ers are usually bad when they come east, so this warrants giving the Jets at least a chance.

The Jets (2-1) currently own first place in the AFC East. A victory on Sunday would ensure they keep that spot for at least one more week. If they lose on Sunday, they can keep the top spot in the division if the Buffalo Bills also lose.


Adam Waksman is a featured columnist for the Bleacher Report New York Jets community. Be sure to follow Adam on Twitter to receive updates right away.