The Schwach Indicator: Feb. 17
This is the sixth week of the Schwach Indicator standings. For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.
As the NCAA Tournament approaches every March, you start hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.
I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal.
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So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.
I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, Director of Operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.
We came up with the following formula.
For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.
For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.
This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home).
Mosang Miles put together an interesting slideshow article last week grouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.
Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Monday, Feb. 16.
1 Connecticut 7198.75
2 Pittsburgh 6801.25
3 Oklahoma 6694.25
4 North Carolina 6627.00
5 Memphis 5881.00
6 Michigan State 5709.25
7 Xavier 5495.50
8 Duke 5409.25
9 Clemson 4966.50
10 Villanova 4900.50
11 Illinois 4894.50
12 Arizona State 4893.25
13 Louisville 4807.50
14 Wake Forest 4734.25
15 Marquette 4706.00
16 Missouri 4662.50
17 Butler 4618.00
18 Kansas 4536.00
19 Dayton 4519.50
20 Florida State 4413.75
21 Washington 4404.50
22 Syracuse 4395.00
23 West Virginia 4370.50
24 Purdue 4360.50
25 Siena 4334.50
26 California 4271.00
27 UCLA 4211.75
28 Gonzaga 4171.25
29 Utah 4142.00
30 Creighton 4008.25
31 Boston College 3931.25
32 LSU 3924.50
33 Ohio State 3915.25
34 Brigham Young 3865.50
35 Minnesota 3855.00
36 Tennessee 3827.50
37 UNLV 3767.00
38 Niagara 3752.50
39 Utah State 3735.50
40 Texas 3714.50
41 Arizona 3645.75
42 Wisconsin 3556.00
43 Illinois State 3426.00
44 Davidson 3425.50
45 Virginia Tech 3352.50
46 Kentucky 3322.75
47 Saint Mary's 3314.75
48 Temple 3270.00
49 South Carolina 3230.50
50 Penn State 3215.00
51 Cincinnati 3158.50
52 UAB 3133.50
53 Florida 3057.75
54 USC 3006.75
55 Texas A&M 2986.25
56 Maryland 2930.75
57 Providence 2924.50
58 Georgetown 2917.00
59 Rhode Island 2849.00
60 Oklahoma State 2839.25
61 Michigan 2828.50
62 Kansas State 2762.00
63 San Diego State 2745.50
64 Northern Iowa 2714.25
65 Tulsa 2629.00
66 New Mexico 2617.50
67 Virginia Commonwealth 2509.75
68 Miami (FL) 2492.25
69 Wisconsin-Green Bay 2477.50
70 Northeastern 2431.00
71 Mississippi State 2425.25
72 Baylor 2394.25
73 Cleveland State 2354.00
74 Buffalo 2328.50
75 UTEP 2319.50
76 Saint Joseph's 2305.25
77 Stanford 2235.00
78 George Mason 2177.50
79 Nebraska 2135.50
80 Notre Dame 2111.25
81 Houston 2105.25
82 Vermont 2056.00
83 Hofstra 2016.50
84 Vanderbilt 2014.50
85 Washington State 1975.25
86 Wright State 1974.25
87 Seton Hall 1904.50
88 Miami (OH) 1887.25
89 Northwestern 1881.50
90 Arkansas-Little Rock 1783.00
91 Western Kentucky 1782.50
92 La Salle 1732.00
93 Auburn 1719.00
94 Duquesne 1703.50
95 North Carolina State 1689.00
96 Mississippi 1668.00
97 Iowa 1651.50
98 Drexel 1628.50
99 Boise State 1585.50
100 Fairfield 1557.25
101 UCF 1505.75
102 Evansville 1499.00
103 Old Dominion 1479.50
104 American University 1438.50
105 Binghamton 1407.50
106 James Madison 1404.25
107 Bradley 1265.25
108 TCU 1204.00
109 Arkansas 1197.00
110 Drake 1190.50
111 Robert Morris 1175.00
112 Nevada 1171.50
113 Cornell 1105.50
114 Portland 1086.50
115 Charleston 1076.25
116 Saint Louis 1046.50
117 Texas Tech 1037.50
118 Weber State 1027.00
119 Manhattan 1010.00
120 Southern Miss 996.25
121 St. John's 936.50
122 Milwaukee 910.00
123 Akron 856.00
124 Virginia Military 822.00
125 Wyoming 774.75
126 Iowa State 774.00
127 Troy 757.50
128 Rider 742.50
129 Tennessee-Martin 733.75
130 Virginia 729.00
131 Alabama 673.25
132 New Mexico State 658.00
133 North Dakota State 654.00
134 Stephen F. Austin 625.50
135 Wichita State 552.75
136 St. Bonaventure 535.00
137 Oregon State 531.00
138 Liberty 516.00
139 North Texas 498.50
140 Oakland 496.00
141 Southern Illinois 445.00
142 South Florida 415.75
143 San Diego 410.00
144 Mount St. Mary's 357.50
145 Georgia Tech 353.50
146 Ohio 333.75
147 Kent State 319.25
148 Iona 271.00
149 Portland State 256.75
150 Oral Roberts 234.50
151 Navy 227.00
152 Richmond 226.50
153 Charlotte 220.00
154 Pacific 207.00
155 Boston University 186.50
156 Belmont 170.50
157 Massachusetts 153.00
158 Radford 137.50
159 Rutgers 126.00
160 Morehead State 115.50
161 East Carolina 115.00
162 Middle Tennessee State 108.50
163 Long Beach State 101.00
164 Citadel 91.25
165 Bowling Green 58.25
166 Texas A&M-CC 57.50
167 South Alabama 51.25
168 Sam Houston State 6.50
169 Albany -68.00
170 Morgan State -76.00
171 East Tennessee State -82.00
172 Loyola (IL) -95.25
173 Marshall -119.50
174 Illinois-Chicago -128.50
175 Georgia -167.75
176 Murray State -175.00
177 Chattanooga -180.00
178 Montana -191.00
179 Eastern Kentucky -230.00
180 Santa Clara -276.50
181 Loyola (MD) -284.50
182 DePaul -296.75
183 Cal State Northridge -300.50
184 Oregon -319.00
185 Idaho -323.50
186 Texas-San Antonio -348.00
187 Wofford -381.25
188 Colorado State -400.00
189 Montana State -429.50
190 Missouri State -442.00
191 Arkansas State -448.00
192 Cal State Fullerton -468.00
193 Nicholls State -543.50
194 Indiana -569.50
195 Western Carolina -587.75
196 Mercer -626.50
197 UC Riverside -637.50
198 UMBC -646.00
199 Stony Brook -699.00
200 Hawaii -741.50
201 Jacksonville -741.50
202 Texas-Arlington -746.50
203 Ball State -760.00
204 Lehigh -778.50
205 Holy Cross -779.50
206 Colorado -833.00
207 Delaware -849.75
208 Alabama State -853.75
209 George Washington -887.50
210 Austin Peay -917.00
211 Tulane -956.50
212 UC Santa Barbara -975.50
213 IUPUI -989.50
214 North Carolina-Asheville -1063.00
215 Presbyterian -1098.50
216 Utah Valley -1108.50
217 Louisiana Tech -1119.00
218 Idaho State -1160.50
219 San Jose State -1166.50
220 Air Force -1218.00
221 Youngstown State -1263.50
222 San Francisco -1273.75
223 Fresno State -1322.50
224 Towson -1335.50
225 Western Michigan -1338.50
226 St. Peter's -1352.00
227 UC Davis -1360.25
228 Canisius -1364.50
229 Long Island -1371.00
230 Indiana State -1386.75
231 Central Connecticut State -1395.00
232 Rice -1419.00
233 Florida International -1427.50
234 Lamar -1427.50
235 Samford -1445.50
236 Jackson State -1452.25
237 New Hampshire -1516.00
238 Chicago State -1531.75
239 Sacred Heart -1534.50
240 Pennsylvania -1545.25
241 Stetson -1590.50
242 Marist -1594.50
243 Denver -1610.00
244 Longwood -1610.25
245 Gardner-Webb -1611.50
246 Princeton -1629.00
247 Eastern Washington -1645.50
248 Columbia -1677.50
249 Appalachian State -1678.00
250 IPFW -1724.50
251 Louisiana-Lafayette -1748.00
252 Detroit -1780.50
253 Valparaiso -1799.00
254 South Dakota State -1801.00
255 Yale -1862.50
256 Lipscomb -1873.50
257 Coppin State -1907.50
258 Jacksonville State -1949.00
259 Southern Methodist -1960.50
260 McNeese State -1972.00
261 Northern Colorado -1980.00
262 North Carolina A&T -1982.75
263 Georgia Southern -2016.75
264 William & Mary -2043.50
265 Southern Utah -2097.50
266 Eastern Illinois -2104.00
267 Harvard -2158.00
268 New Orleans -2170.50
269 Elon -2218.00
270 Hampton -2250.50
271 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2255.00
272 Maine -2268.25
273 Texas State -2279.00
274 Alabama A&M -2280.00
275 UC Irvine -2287.00
276 Northwestern State -2293.75
277 Cal Poly -2312.50
278 Pepperdine -2316.50
279 Louisiana-Monroe -2369.50
280 Southeastern Louisiana -2369.50
281 Georgia State -2378.50
282 North Carolina-Wilmington -2403.75
283 St. Francis (NY) -2412.50
284 Coastal Carolina -2450.00
285 Savannah State -2452.50
286 Centenary -2515.50
287 South Carolina State -2521.50
288 Tennessee State -2535.00
289 Brown -2550.50
290 Winthrop -2551.00
291 Campbell -2566.00
292 Quinnipiac -2572.50
293 Fordham -2597.00
294 Tennessee Tech -2628.00
295 Central Michigan -2639.50
296 Bucknell -2673.50
297 Central Arkansas -2690.75
298 Northern Illinois -2758.50
299 Wagner -2849.50
300 Bethune-Cookman -2856.50
301 Prairie View A&M -2878.00
302 Norfolk State -2879.50
303 USC Upstate -2932.00
304 Colgate -2936.00
305 Northern Arizona -2964.00
306 Florida Atlantic -3009.00
307 Cal State Bakersfield -3033.50
308 Hartford -3090.25
309 Toledo -3110.00
310 Texas-Pan American -3175.75
311 Western Illinois -3205.25
312 Howard -3236.00
313 Florida A&M -3336.50
314 Lafayette -3355.50
315 UMKC -3472.25
316 Army -3476.00
317 Delaware State -3507.00
318 Charleston Southern -3551.00
319 High Point -3564.50
320 Florida Gulf Coast -3593.00
321 Bryant University -3619.50
322 Eastern Michigan -3623.00
323 Fairleigh Dickinson -3641.50
324 Furman -3659.50
325 Dartmouth -3868.00
326 Houston Baptist -3888.00
327 Mississippi Valley State -3910.00
328 UNC Greensboro -3954.00
329 Southern University -4049.50
330 Loyola Marymount -4102.50
331 Winston-Salem -4103.00
332 St. Francis (PA) -4249.50
333 Grambling State -4284.50
334 North Florida -4333.00
335 Kennesaw State -4498.00
336 Monmouth -4511.75
337 Maryland-Eastern Shore -4566.00
338 Alcorn State -4844.50
339 Texas Southern -4860.50
340 North Carolina Central -5005.00
341 Southeast Missouri State -5171.25
342 Sacramento State -6066.00
343 N.J.I.T. -6505.50
Jordan Schwartz is Bleacher Report's New York Yankees Community Leader. His book "Memoirs of the Unaccomplished Man" is available at amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, and authorhouse.com.
Jordan can be reached at jordanschwartz2003@yahoo.com



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