Wimbledon Odds 2012: Betting Against Tournament Favorites Isn't Worth the Risk
If you are hoping a long shot could take home a title at Wimbledon this year, you'll probably end up disappointed. Even the oddsmakers have acknowledged the gulf between the elite players in tennis and the rest of the field.
On the men's side, that's hardly shocking. Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic have won the last nine Grand Slam titles and are heads and shoulders above the rest of the field at this point. Bet against them at your own peril.
Of course, Roger Federer can't be ignored. He has six Wimbledon titles to his name, though he has failed to advance past the quarterfinals at the tournament the past two years. Still, he's the most likely to win the tournament if Djokovic or Nadal fail to do so.
And then there is Andy Murray, who has made the Wimbledon semifinals three straight times and is still gunning for his first Grand Slam title.
After that, the oddsmakers have decided the rest of the field is too risky, and frankly I agree with them. I wouldn't expect anyone but one of the top four players to win at Wimbledon.
Here are the odds for the top contenders at Wimbledon according to Bovada. We'll break down the ladies after the table.
|Roger Federer ||6||7:2|
|Juan Martin Del Potro||0||20:1|
Not surprisingly, the women's side has more parity at the top. Six different women have won the past six Grand Slam titles, so there is hardly the stranglehold at the top of the rankings like the men have seen in recent memory.
The nine Wimbledon titles between the Williams' sisters makes them an intriguing play, while the recent success and past triumphs at Wimbledon for Kvitova and Sharapova make them intriguing as well.
However, as is the case on the men's side, things get hairier after you get past the top four. 2012 Australian Open winner Victoria Azarenka looks like a very intriguing choice at 6:1.
Personally, I would favor Sharapova and Serena Williams going into Wimbeldon. Sharapova is the hottest player on the WTA Tour, while Serena will be looking to recover from her shocking first-round defeat at the French Open.
You're more likely to get lucky on longer odds with the ladies, but I wouldn't recommend it. There is still plenty of talent at the top, and I wouldn't expect a long shot to win Wimbledon this year.
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