New York Yankees vs New York Mets: A Full Breakdown of the Subway Series

Doug RushSenior Analyst IJune 7, 2012

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: A Full Breakdown of the Subway Series

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    For fans outside of the New York area, this weekend's series might not seem like a big deal.

    But if you live in the local area, the Yankees-Mets series is a very big deal.

    The series will not have any major impact on either team's season, but for the fans and teams alike, it's a battle for bragging rights.

    Over the past few years, the Mets haven't been as good a team as the Yankees, but that may no longer be the case.

    Heading into the series, the Mets (32-26) are a game and a half out in the National League East and have a very good chance to contend for a playoff spot.

    Meanwhile in the Bronx, the Yankees are 31-25 and only a half game out of first place behind the Baltimore Orioles in the American League East.

    So, while this head-to-head matchup is always primarily a battle for bragging rights, both teams are looking to move up in their divisions, which makes this series that much more important.

    Let's break down each game between the Yankees and Mets along with a prediction for each game.

Game One: Friday, June 8

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    7:05 p.m., Yankee Stadium

    Hiroki Kuroda (4-6, 3.82) vs. Johan Santana (3-2, 2.38)

    Friday night will be the first time Johan Santana steps on the mound since he threw a no-hitter against the St. Louis Cardinals on June 1, the very first in Mets history.

    Santana was given extra rest due to throwing so many extra pitches in the game.

    In Santana's last two starts against the Yankees, he's either been really good or downright awful.

    On May 23, 2010, Santana went 7.2 innings and held the Yankees to one run in a 6-4 win.

    On June 14, a year earlier, Santana was chased after only three innings and allowing nine hits and nine runs in a 15-0 beating by the Yankees.

    For his career, he's 5-3 with a 4.18 ERA in 10 starts against the Yanks.

    Although he was given extra rest, given how pitchers have come out following historic games in the past, I wouldn't be surprised if the Yankees were able to get to Santana.

    Prediction: Yankees 6, Mets 2

Game Two: Saturday, June 9, 2012

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    7:05 p.m., Yankee Stadium

    Phil Hughes (5-5, 4.96) vs. Dillon Gee (4-3 4.48)

    It's a battle of two home-grown pitching prospects on Saturday night in the Bronx with Dillon Gee and Phil Hughes facing off.

    Hughes has won four out of his last six starts for the Yankees and has gotten his record back up to the .500 mark. Against the Detroit Tigers, Hughes pitched a complete game victory, striking out eight and allowing only one run in a very impressive performance.

    The last time Hughes faced the Mets was back on June 19, 2010 at Yankee Stadium. Hughes pitched seven innings and got the win in a 5-3 victory.

    Gee hasn't lost a start for the Mets in almost a month, dating back to May 15 against the Milwaukee Brewers.

    Even in his losses, Gee is still giving the Mets quality innings with a good amount of strikeouts.

    Gee has faced the Yankees one time in his career, which was on July 2, 2011 at Citi Field. Gee allowed seven hits and four runs and lost the game, 5-2.

    I see this one being very close, and it could be a battle of the bullpens in the end.

    Prediction: Mets 6, Yankees 5

Game 3: Sunday, June 10, 2012

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    Game Three: 1:05p.m., Yankee Stadium

    Andy Pettitte (3-2, 2.78 ERA) vs Jonathan Niese (4-2, 4.11)

    The third and final game will involve two guys who are coming off 10 strikeout performance from each guy,

    Jonathan Niese struck out 10 in six innings against the Cardinals in a 6-0 victory back on June 3.

    His only time facing the Yankees was last season back on July 1; Niese pitched six innings and allowed three runs on nine nits and took the loss in a 5-1 game.

    Andy Pettitte also struck out 10 in 7.1 innings in a 7-0 shutout over the Rays on Tuesday.

    The last time Pettitte faced the Mets was back on June 13, 2009, a game where he only lasted five innings, allowed 11 hits and five runs in a 6-2 loss.

    Career wise, Pettitte is 8-5 with a 3.69 ERA in 19 starts made against the Mets.

    In this one, it's so hard to bet against Pettitte with how he has been pitching for the Yankees lately.

    Prediction: Yankees 4, Mets 1

2011 Subway Series at Yankee Stadium

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    Last season at Yankee Stadium, these two battled in late May.

    In Game One on May 20, the Mets earned a 2-1 win over the Yankees. R.A. Dickey got the win over Freddy Garcia.

    In Game Two on May 21, the Yankees got a 7-3 win over the Mets. A.J. Burnett got the win over Chris Capuano.

    In Game Three on May 22, the Yankees took the series with a 9-3 win. Luis Ayala recorded the win in relief over Mike Pelfrey.

Subway Series 2012 at Citi Field

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    In two weeks, these two teams will meet up again but at Citi Field in Flushing.

    Game One will be on Friday, June 22 at 7:10 p.m.

    Game Two will be on Saturday, June 23 at 7:15 p.m.

    Game Three will be on Sunday, June 24 at 1:10 p.m.

    It should be a fun weekend of baseball with three good matchups between the Yankees and Mets.

    May the best team win.