French Open 2012: What Second Round Upsets Mean to the Draw

Alan Rubenstein@@uarubyAnalyst IIIJune 2, 2012

French Open 2012: What Second Round Upsets Mean to the Draw

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    Upsets rock the bracket and give unheralded players a chance to make a big statement on one of tennis' four biggest stages.

    The first round provided one big shocker this year when Serena Williams lost for the first time in the first round of a Grand Slam. The second round didn't provide as big of a surprise, but it did it seem to provide more surprising upsets than this year's first round. 

Alexandra Wozniak Defeats No. 31 Jie Zhang 6-2, 6-4

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    Why she won: Wozniak controlled the match in almost every way. She won 79 percent on her first serves to 46 percent for Zhang, had 20 winners to Zhang’s 12, led 54 percent to 35 percent on receiving points won and was five-of-nine on break points to just two-of-six for Zhang. 

    Who Benefits: Top-seeded Victoria Azarenka won’t play a seeded player until at least the third round. 

Mathilde Johansson Defeats No. 24 Seed Petra Cetkovska 7-6, 6-2

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    Why She Won: She did a better capitalizing on her opponent's serve. She won 47 percent of the points on her opponent's second serve to just 31 percent for Cetkovska and won 53 percent of her points receiving to just 41 percent for the 24th seed. 

    Who Benefits: Sloane Stephens, Nadia Petrova or Samantha Stosur. Stephens is making a run in just her third Grand Slam. She won three junior Grand Slam titles. She plays Johansson in the next round instead of Cetkovska. She will have a chance to advance to the fourth round without playing a seeded player. 

    No. 6 seed Stosur and No. 27 seed Petrova have both had success at Grand Slams in the past. WIth Petra Cetkovska out of the draw, the winner of their match will face the winner of Stephens and Johansson in the fourth round. 

Petra Martic Defeats No. 8 Seed Marion Bartoli 6-2, 3-6, 6-3

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    Why She Won: Martic was more efficient on her serve in almost every way. She had seven aces to Bartoli’s one and she did not commit any double-faults to Bartoli’s 14. She also had 34 winners versus 25 unforced errors, while Bartoli had 21 and 34. 

    Who Benefits: Angelique Kerber. The 10th-seeded Kerber will face a more favorable opponent than the No. 8 seed Bartoli in her home country. 

Maria Jose Martinez-Sanchez Defeats No. 20 Seed Lucie Safarova 6-4, 7-5

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    Why She Won: Martinez-Sanchez played more aggressively and efficiently. She had 34 winners to Safarova’s 24. She converted 16 of her 24 approaches to the net for 67 percent, while Safarova was just 10 for 31 at the net for 32 percent.

    Who Benefits: Dominika Cibulkova. The No. 15 seed will now be able to get through to the fourth round without playing a seeded player. 

Klara Zakopalova Defeats No. 16 Seed Maria Kirilenko 6-4, 3-6, 6-3

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    Why She Won: Zakopalova was more aggressive and efficient. Zakopalova led 35 to 24 in winners. She also converted 11 of her 13 chances at the net for 85 percent, to just eight of 14 at the net for Kirilenko for 57 percent. 

    Who Benefits: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. The No. 22 seed can now advance to the fourth round without playing a seeded player for  a chance to play her compatriot, No. 2 seed Maria Sharapova.

Vavara Lepchenko Defeats No. 19 Seed Jelena Jankovic 7-6, 4-6, 6-4

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    Why She Won: More consistency. Lepchenko was able to keep her mistakes to a minimum. She committed only 33 unforced errors to Jankovic’s 44. 

    Who Benefits: Francesca Schiavone. Schiavone is aiming for her third straight appearance in the French Open finals. She defeated Samantha Stosur for her first Grand Slam title two years ago and lost to Li Na in the finals last year. 

Paul-Henri Mathieu Defeats No. 10 Seed John Isner 6-7, 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 18-16

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    Why He Won: Mathieu committed fewer mistakes and had a better return game. Isner committed 98 unforced errors to just 40 for Mathieu. Mathieu won 34 percent of his points receiving to just 26 percent for Isner. Mathieu converted just four his 24 break chances to two of four for Isner. The Frenchman’s ability to put more pressure on Isner during his service game put more pressure on Isner. 

    Who Benefits: No. 20 seed Marcel Granollers and No. 6 seed David Ferrer or No. 27 seed Mikail Youzhny. Granollers is Mathieu’s third-round opponent. The winner of that match will face the winner of Youzhny and Ferrer. Isner is always a difficult and dangerous player to match up with because of his serve. His elimination opens up the draw a bit, even though Ferrer is the sixth seed. 

Fabio Fognini Defeats Viktor Troicki 6-3, 3-6, 4-6, 6-3, 8-6

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    Why He Won: Fognini was able to keep his errors down and maintain consistency on his serve. The Italian comitted 46 unforced errors to Troicki’s 57. He also won 60 percent of his points on his second serve to just 40 percent for Troicki.

    Who Benefits: Jo-Wilifred Tsonga. The fifth-seeded Frenchman will now be able to get through to the fourth round without facing a seeded player. 

Santiago Girardo Defeats No. 25 Seed Bernard Tomic 6-4, 6-1, 6-3

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    Why He Won: Giraldo dominated the match against the 25th-seeded Tomic. Tomic has been a star on the rise in the last few years. It’s hard to pinpoint a few reasons why Girardo won because he so thoroughly controlled the match. The three biggest reasons were Giraldo's serve, particularly his first serve, better success on his opponent's serve and his ability to break Tomic’s serve. 

    Giraldo’s first serve percentage was 80, which he turned into a 75 percent success rate on his first serve. He won 49 percent of the points on Tomic’s serve to just a 34 percent for Tomic on his serve. He was also six for 13 on his break-point chances to just one for 11 for Tomic.

    Who Benefits: Fourth seed Andy Murray. Murray is Giraldo’s next opponent. This is the furthest that Giraldo has ever advanced on the ATP Tour. How well will he handle the pressure of playing a high-ranked opponent in the spotlight? 

Leonardo Mayer Defeats No. 24 Philipp Kohlschreiber 7-6, 7-6, 7-5

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    Why He Won: A more aggressive game. Mayer out-aced Kohlschreiber 16 to four and hit 47 winners to just 25 for the German. 

    Who Benefits: Nicolas Almagro. The 12th-seeded Spainard will now have a chance to advance to the fourth round without playing against a seeded opponent. He is up next for Mayer. 

Eduardo Schwank Defeats No. 32 Florian Mayer 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6

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    Why He Won: In a match that the loser actually had more points, it was Schwank’s ability to come up big when he had to that won the match for him. His ability to have one more break of serve in the second and third sets was the difference in the match. 

    Who Benefits: Rafael Nadal. Schwank’s reward for pulling the upset on Mayer is to play Nadal in the fourth round. All Nadal has done is lose one match in seven career appearances at the French Open.