Dave's College Basketball Picks, Jan. 30: Valparaiso at Butler

dave darbySenior Analyst IJanuary 30, 2009

Valparaiso (6-15, 3-7) at #13 Butler (18-1, 9-0)

Line: Butler -18

Coming off a home game loss to Green Bay 76-83, Valpo hits the road for their next three, including Friday's match up against defending conference champ Butler. It wasn’t that Valpo played that poorly against Green Bay, they just are not quite as good of a team as Ryan Tillema and the Phoenix. 

Butler got three happy against Milwaukee on Saturday making 15 from long range. But it has really been their defense that has propelled Butler to a perfect conference record despite starting three freshmen.

Butler has held its last six opponents under 60 points per game and ranks third in the nation in giving up just 55.6 on average. The last team to score more than 60 on the Bulldogs was Valpo on Jan. 3, but event then Butler held them under 40 percent shooting for the game.


Valparaiso is 8-10 ATS including 4-5 on the road

Butler is 11-5-1 ATS including 3-4-1 at home

These teams aren’t even close. Having gained a 13-point victory on the road in their last meeting, Butler should be able to find at least six more here. In Valpo’s last five road games (all losses) the average margin of victory…18.

Dave’s Pick: Butler -18


See all of Dave's College Basketball Picks Against the Spread at cfbplace.com and soon at cbbplace.com