Bodemeister: Fast-Starting Derby Horse Will Have Better Luck at Preakness Stakes
The 138th Kentucky Derby was not Bodemeister's race, but I believe the Preakness Stakes will be.
On Saturday at Churchill Downs, Bodemeister came flying out of the gate and entered the final stretch in control. Then along came I'll Have Another, and Bodemeister's chances of winning went out the window.
The results at Churchill Downs don't dash Bodemeister's chances of winning the Preakness Stakes. In fact, I believe what we saw at the Kentucky Derby should make Bodemeister the decided favorite at the Preakness.
If he were running the Preakness today, he would have been the winner, as I'll Have Another's late charge may have come too late.
It's difficult to predict how a horse will react to that final charge, but Bodemeister's runs have been similar.
In the Arkansas Derby he ran away from the field to finish with a win by nine-and-a-half lengths. He was on his way to a similar victory at the Kentucky Derby, but he ran out of gas.
This trait made him catchable in the Derby, and likely dooms him in the Belmont Stakes, but it seems perfect for the Preakness Stakes.
The Preakness Stakes is the shortest of the Triple Crown races, and the shorter distance works to Bodemeister's strength.
Those that may be down on Bodemeister after his run at the Derby may want to reconsider their doubt.
Trainer Bob Baffert didn't seem too upset after his horse finished second at the Derby. Perhaps it's because he knows his colt is ready to win the Preakness by a wide margin.
After what I've seen, I wouldn't blame him for feeling confident.
Here are the final results for the 138th Kentucky Derby from kentuckyderby.com.
| 1 | I'll Have Another | Mario Gutierrez | 19 | 15-1 |
| 2 | Bodemeister | Mike Smith | 6 | 4-1 |
| 3 | Dullahan | Kent Desormeaux | 5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | Went The Day Well | John Velazquez | 13 | 30-1 |
| 5 | Creative Cause | Joel Rosario | 8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | Liaison | Martin Garcia | 20 | 56-1 |
| 7 | Union Rags | Julien Leparoux | 4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | Rousing Sermon | Jose Lezcano | 7 | 40-1 |
| 9 | Hansen | Ramon Dominguez | 14 | 13-1 |
| 10 | Daddy Nose Best | Garrett Gomez | 10 | 14-1 |
| 11 | Optimizer | Jon Court | 2 | 42-1 |
| 12 | Alpha | Rajiv Maragh | 11 | 19-1 |
| 13 | El Padrino | Rafael Bejarano | 16 | 29-1 |
| 14 | Done Talking | Sheldon Russell | 17 | 39-1 |
| 15 | Sabercat | Corey Nakatani | 18 | 37-1 |
| 16 | Gemologist | Javier Castellano | 15 | 18-1 |
| 17 | Trinniberg | Willie Martinez | 19 | 44-1 |
| 18 | Prospective | Luis Contreras | 12 | 57-1 |
| 19 | Take Charge Indy | Calvin Borel | 3 | 11-1 |
| 20 | Daddy Long Legs | Colm O'Donoghue | 1 | 26-1 |
Brian Mazique
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