Rafael Nadal: Why Rafa Is Destined to Dethrone Novak Djokovic

Maly ThomasContributor IIJanuary 15, 2012

Novak Djokovic Winner of US OPEN 2011
Novak Djokovic Winner of US OPEN 2011Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Who is the best person to dethrone the King? The one right below the King. At ATP the king is called Novak Djokovic, and the "below king" is named Rafael Nadal.

In 2011, Novak Djokovic won everything—or almost everything—but enough to become King. Now in 2012, to stay the only master on board, Novak Djokovic will have to duplicate his magnificent season, or hope for Nadal not to win anything. Neither case seems possible. That is the reason why Rafa should get back to his right place: No. 1 position.

*Lots of Points to defend for Djokovic.

Knowing that Djokovic has won three Grand Slams (Australian Open, Wimbledon and US Open—each time earning the maximum points: 2,000). In case of a defeat, he will at least lose 800 points, and that's for a defeat in the final. More points will be lost if the Serb loses before the final.

To this, add his Masters Series wins (Indian Wells, Miami, Rome, Madrid, and Montreal) where Djokovic, each time, won 1,000 points. In 2012, the Serb could now lose 400 points if he doesn’t win in the final.

It’s mathematical: Djokovic can lose a lot of points, very quickly.

*And if...Nadal earns Djoko's lost points.

More then Djokovic losing points, Nadal could earn points. In fact, the worst case for Djokovic would be if he loses to Nadal.

To make a long story short: If Djokovic does not repeat his season, and Nadal comes back to winning, then Djokovic not only loses points but Nadal can reclaim the No. 1 ranking from Djokovic.

As of January 16th, kickoff of the Australian Open 2012, only 4035 separate the King  Djokovic, World No.1 (13,630 points) and Rafael Nadal (9,595 points).

Even if we don’t imagine the Spaniard dethroning the Serb so soon, it could happen very quickly.

Wanting to grow up too quickly, you can burn the wings, and Djoko’s conquer of the ATP Tour may well be ephemeral.