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BCS Bowl Predictions: Odds for Every BCS Contender To Be Left out in the Cold

Dan VastaNov 27, 2011

The BCS Bowls will be announced in one week and there are a few teams that will be hoping for some help or else they can be left out in the cold.

Out of he five BCS Bowls, the majority of them will be decided in conference championships. So, what are the chances those teams lose and then get left out of the entire BCS race?

Here are your latest odds for every BCS contender.

Michigan State Spartans

1 of 10

Sparty will need to upset the Wisconsin Badgers since a loss would certainly knock them back a few spots in all of the polls and most importantly in the BCS Rankings.

Michigan State has the defense to slow Wisconsin down a little bit, but clearly Kirk Cousins will need to play similarly to the way he did against them the first time. 

He threw for over 300 yards and four touchdowns and I am not sure he has the type of game in him once again. Plus, the Spartans may not have the ball enough to do that damage. Montee Ball is playing on another level right now running behind the premier line in the Big Ten.

BCS Odds: 25 Percent (Rose Bowl)

Wisconsin Badgers

2 of 10

The Badgers have caught fire at the right time and Montee Ball is the main producer. He is a dark horse Heisman candidate and could be another big game from being invited to NYC.

He has 34 total touchdowns on the season which is just six touchdowns from breaking Barry Sanders' all-time record at Oklahoma State (39).

BCS Odds: 75 Percent (Rose Bowl)

Michigan Wolverines

3 of 10

Michigan is done with their regular season and will be awaiting for the LSU-UGA game. They are hoping that Georgia does not win since they could steal a BCS bid from them.

However, in reality it will not Michigan who would be the team that gets left out.

BCS Odds: 90 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

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Stanford Cardinal

4 of 10

That is because Michigan would likely get the bid over Stanford if it came down to the two. If both are in the BCS assuming Georgia loses, the Fiesta Bowl is expected to take them first since a Andrew Luck against Brandon Weeden or Landry Jones game would be a treat.

Stanford does not travel that well, but they showed in the Orange Bowl last season that they can play well under the national spotlight.

BCS Odds: 75 Percent (Fiesta Bowl)

TCU Horned Frogs

5 of 10

TCU must crack the top 16 to make an at-large bid, but the BCS does not look like they will do such a thing. The Horned Frogs were ranked 20th one week ago, but they would need a ton of luck to likely crack the Top 16.

They should be right around 17th or 18th since Clemson and Michigan State could lose again, but that would not be good enough.

BCS Odds: 10 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

Kansas State Wildcats

6 of 10

Kansas State could argue that they are ranked slightly ahead of Michigan, but they could not sell half as many tickets as the winningest program of all time could.

Collin Klein is a treat to watch and the defense has been solid this season, but they needed Michigan and or Stanford to lose and that did not happen. Even if Houston loses, most BCS Bowl representatives would probably take Boise State over them as well.

BCS Odds: 10 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

Virginia Tech Hokies

7 of 10

The chances of playing in a BCS Bowl are looking better by the day, but they clearly must knock off Clemson in the ACC Championship.

A loss could knock them out of the Top 10 most likely and that would not be good enough to put them in as an at-large bid. Luckily, they take on a Clemson team that has fallen on its face the past two weeks.

BCS Odds: 80 Percent (Orange Bowl)

Georgia Bulldogs

8 of 10

It will not be easy for the Georgia Bulldogs to knock off the top ranked team in the nation. It helps that they will be playing in their own backyard, but LSU has been smashing teams left and right.

Aaron Murray has been playing flawless recently and he will need to play the game of his life against relentless Bayou Bengals defense.

If they lose, they will be playing in the Cotton Bowl most likely. However, a win and they would be officially in the BCS Sugar Bowl.

BCS Odds: 10 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

Houston Cougars

9 of 10

Case Keenum and the Houston Cougars are just one win away from reaching a BCS Bowl. It would be a likely Sugar Bowl appearance, but they first must beat a solid Southern Miss team at home.

Southern Miss has a physical defense and has been prone to scoring touchdowns on special teams and defense. By no means am I banking on the Cougars getting upset at home, but we have seen stranger things happen.

This Houston offense has been unstoppable, but I foresee an upset that will put the BCS into some more chaos in the final weekend.

BCS Odds: 70 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

Boise State Broncos

10 of 10

Kellen Moore and company will have New Mexico at home next weekend which is not the biggest concern. Instead, they need Houston and Georgia to lose or else there will be no chance of appearing in a BCS Bowl.

I understand the odds are not in their favor, hence my odds. Still, Houston has a tough home game where millions will be watching to see if they can live up to their toughest challenge. Any slip up would likely give the Broncos an at-large bid in the BCS process over teams such as Kansas State or Oklahoma.

BCS Odds: 30 Percent (Sugar Bowl)

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