2011 Breeders' Cup Draw: Morning Line Odds and Post Positions for Entire Field
The Breeders' Cup Classic is set to be run on Saturday at Churchill Downs, and the post positions and morning line odds are in.
In the grand scheme of things, not much changed with today's drawing. Uncle Mo remains the favorite after drawing the No. 12 post, and Havre de Grace is also a big favorite out of the No. 10 post.
Barring any unforeseen developments, we now have pretty much everything we need to know concerning Saturday's $5 million race. But to make sure that we're all on the same page about each and every horse entered for the Classic, let's go ahead and discuss them all, one by one.
1. Prayer for Relief
1 of 13Post: 1
Odds: 30-1
Forecast
Prayer for Relief was looking to come into the Classic on a considerable win streak, but a third-place finish in the Oklahoma Derby nixed that idea. Regardless, his recent successes haven't come against the best competition. When he lines up on Saturday, he'll basically be in the big leagues for the first time.
Additionally, the Classic's mile-and-a-quarter distance is longer than any race Prayer for Relief has tackled. Combine that with the fact that he is starting from the innermost post, and you have yourself a true longshot.
2. Flat Out
2 of 13Post: 2
Odds: 6-1
Forecast
Starting on the inside is going to be a slight disadvantage for Flat Out, but don't let that lead you to underestimate him.
Flat Out has had a good year to this point, and he has definitely left his mark at Belmont Park, winning both of his races there.
The last of those, by the way, was a mile-and-a-quarter race. He comes into the Classic well-prepared.
3. Drosselmeyer
3 of 13Post: 3
Odds: 15-1
Forecast
Drosselmeyer is a horse with a lot of races under his belt, but 2011 has been an up and down year for him.
This is particularly true of Drosselmeyer's last four races, in which he's finished first, second, seventh and second. The last of those was in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, which was won by Flat Out.
It's worth noting that Drosselmeyer will be changing jockeys for the Classic, as Jose Lezcano will be replaced by Mike Smith.
The last time Smith rode Drosselmeyer was in the 2010 Belmont Stakes. Coincidentally, they won.
4. Ruler On Ice
4 of 13Post: 4
Odds: 30-1
Forecast
This year's Belmont Stakes winner hasn't won in three races since capturing the third leg of the Triple Crown back in June.
On the bright side, all three of those races were of the longer variety, so Ruler On Ice won't exactly be out of his element on Saturday.
Odds of him pulling off another miracle victory are slim, but anything can happen with the right amount of luck.
5. So You Think
5 of 13Post: 5
Odds: 5-1
Forecast
So You Think is something of a wild card in this year's race. He's had a very good season overseas, and he comes into the Classic already very well decorated.
It's going to be interesting to see how So You Think handles the transition into an entirely different arena of competition, but the oddsmakers definitely like his chances.
6. Ice Box
6 of 13Post: 6
Odds: 30-1
Forecast
Ice Box hasn't won a race since last year's Florida Derby, and hasn't even finished second since last year's Kentucky Derby.
In fact, he's only finished higher than fifth once.
In so many words, Ice Box is the longest of longshots to win Saturday's race. Since he's starting from the middle, don't be surprised if he gets pushed to the back at the very start of the race and is unable to recover.
7. Rattlesnake Bridge
7 of 13Post: 7
Odds: 30-1
Forecast
Rattlesnake Bridge gets the prize for having the coolest name of any of the 13 horses in Saturday's race, but there are reasons to doubt his ability to win.
He did well in winning the Long Branch Stakes back in July, but hasn't fared quite as well in two longer races since then.
Still, Rattlesnake Bridge isn't a bad choice if you prefer picking longshots.
8. Game On Dude
8 of 13Post: 8
Odds: 10-1
Forecast
Game On Dude went through a dry spell for a few months, but he is coming into the Classic on the strength of a win in the Goodwood Stakes.
At 10-1 odds, the hope is that Game On Dude will recapture the same form he had when he was winning three out of four races in late 2010 and early 2011.
It's an intriguing idea, but it could be a fool's hope given his more recent track record.
9. Stay Thirsty
9 of 13Post: 9
Odds: 12-1
Forecast
After being largely over-hyped earlier this year, Stay Thirsty actually deserves some hype as we speed towards Saturday's Classic.
He's won two of his last three races, all of which have been on the longer side.
The general consensus is that Stay Thirsty has shown improved form in his more recent races. Couple that with a favorable No. 9 post, and you have a good bet.
10. Havre de Grace
10 of 13Post: 10
Odds: 3-1
Forecast
Havre de Grace is a filly to be reckoned with.
She has won five of her last six races, and has shown that she is more than capable of running with her male counterparts.
If there is one reason to be cautious, it's that Havre de Grace hasn't yet won a mile-and-a-quarter race. She has, however, finished second in the two she has raced.
If you feel like picking Havre de Grace, you would definitely be making an educated pick. That she is starting from the outside should help.
11. Headache
11 of 13Post: 11
Odds: 30-1
Forecast
Headache has done well leading up to the Classic, winning three out of four races, but the thinking is that he is going to be out of his league on Saturday.
The reason for this is that Headache has beaten light competition en route to the Breeders' Cup. A reality check could very well be lying in wait for him at Churchill Downs.
12. Uncle Mo
12 of 13Post: 12
Odds: 5-2
Forecast
Well, here's your favorite, and for good reason.
When Uncle Mo is right, he's dominant—and after missing several months with a serious health scare, Uncle Mo does seem to finally be right again.
If there is one concern to have about Uncle Mo, it's that he hasn't yet tackled a mile-and-a-quarter race.
He could grab an early lead starting from the outside, but it wouldn't be a shock to see him fade down the stretch.
13. To Honor and Serve
13 of 13Post: 13
Odds: 12-1
Forecast
To Honor and Serve is something of a trendy sleeper pick.
He's won two straight one-and-one-eighth-mile races, and against pretty good competition to boot.
That being said, the thinking is that Saturday's race is going to be the toughest of To Honor and Serve's career.
It will essentially be a boom-or-bust race for him, and he has the added difficulty of getting around Uncle Mo and Havre de Grace at the start.


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