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College Football Picks Against the Spread: Week 9 Games To Go All-in on or Avoid

Johnathan CaceOct 28, 2011

Even if a game isn’t very competitive, betting on the game will always make it interesting. Some games are easy money while others will look like it and cause you to end up losing a lot.

This week there are a number of games that fall under both of those categories. Two games feature two ranked opponents and a bunch of other games involve one ranked opponent and one team that used to be ranked.

Here are the games you’ll want to bet the house on, as well as the games you need to steer clear of this week.

All In: West Virginia vs. Rutgers (+7.5)

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West Virginia may be the favorite in this game, but Rutgers should win it pretty easily.

Their two losses have been by two points each, and the game will be played in New Brunswick, which is great news for the Scarlet Knights and terrible news for the Mountaineers.

They have given up 80 points in their two road games this season and five of their eleven turnovers have come in those games, as well. Rutgers has forced more turnovers than anyone in the country.

All signs point to Rutgers at least covering the spread.

Stay Away: Purdue vs. Michigan (-14)

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Purdue has been a pesky team as of late, beating a ranked Illinois team and nearly pulling off an upset against Penn State.

They get their points on the ground, and Michigan’s defensive front has been pretty porous all season.

The Boilermakers held the Wolverines to just 27 points last year and believe in themselves after beating the Illini, but Michigan is fresh off a bye week. This game could really go from a Purdue win to a Michigan blowout, but 14 points is right where the line should be.

All In: South Carolina vs. Tennessee (+3.5)

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The Gamecocks will be without star running back Marcus Lattimore for the first full game of the season. He missed some time last week and it nearly cost them the game at home against Mississippi State.

South Carolina is 1-5 when playing at Tennessee, and the Vols just replaced the much-maligned Matt Simms at quarterback. They also ran the ball extremely well against Alabama in the first half of last week’s game.

As long as Justin Worley does as well as Simms, Tennessee should win this game.

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Stay Away: Clemson (-3.5) vs. Georgia Tech

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The only two times Clemson has faced Paul Johnson’s triple option, they have lost close games. This is a very different Tiger team, but they have not been very good against the run all season.

Have they really learned how to stop that offense, though?

The game should be a total shootout. A Clemson blowout will be just as likely as a Georgia Tech win, especially since the game is in Atlanta.

If you really want to bet on this game, take the over on points at 62.5, because that is a sure bet.

All In: Navy (+20) vs. Notre Dame

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The Midshipmen soundly beat Notre Dame last season, and even though their record is 2-5, four of their losses have come by a combined eight points.

The biggest reason why this game will be close is turnovers. They may have lost to Air Force who got beat by the Irish 26, but Navy is much better at forcing turnovers, which has been Notre Dame’s weakness all season.

They have turned the ball over three or more times in every game against teams who have committed as many or more turnovers than the Midshipmen, and they lost three of those games. Their three wins have come against teams that rank 92nd or worse in the country in turnovers. Navy is 42nd.

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