BCS Bowl Projections: 8 Teams That Will Be Knocked out by October

It has been quoted way too many times by the talking heads at ESPN and many other so-called experts, but BCS contenders can survive an early loss.

Now that means they need a few breaks along the way, but there is some logic to the statement.

Now lose two conference games early and those BCS hopes may be dashed before October even rolls around.

So here are eight teams that will know by the end of October that any shot of a BCS Bowl Game will be dashed.

Missouri Tigers

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COLUMBIA, MO - NOVEMBER 13: Michael Egnew #82 of the Missouri Tigers congratulates T.J.Moe #28 with a chest bump after Moe scored a touchdown during the game against the Kansas State Wildcats on November 13, 2010 at Faurot Field/Memorial Stadium in Colu

Missouri is going to be in the preseason rankings, and has flirted with a BCS berth in the past.

Yet, the Tigers always come up short.

This season, Missouri will know early that a big-time bowl is out of the question.

The Tigers may not lose each of these games—Arizona State (Sept. 9), Oklahoma (Sept. 24), Oklahoma State (Oct. 22) and Texas A&M (Oct. 29)—but it won't be a shock if they lose all four and play themselves out of contention.

Wisconsin Badgers

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ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 20: James White #20 of the Wisconsin Badgers treies to get around the tackle of Jordan Kovacs #32 of the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium on November 20, 2010 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Wisconson won the game 48-28. (Photo b

Wisconsin got on a roll last season, spurred by a huge victory over No. 1 Ohio State at Camp Randall. The Badgers reached the Rose Bowl where the sputtered against TCU.

The Badgers should be good in 2011, but not BCS good.

Maybe Wisconsin gets a close win over Nebraska at home on Oct. 1, but losses on the road with Michigan State (Oct. 22) and Ohio State (Oct. 29) will knock the Badgers out of contention.

Boise State

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BOISE, ID - NOVEMBER 19: Derrell Acrey #52 psyches up the Boise State Broncos before the game against the Fresno State Bulldogs at Bronco Stadium on November 19, 2010 in Boise, Idaho. (Photo by Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images)

While Boise State has been everyone's non-BCS darling, an opening loss to Georgia in Atlanta is all it will take to take down the Broncos.

It's that simple.

Miami Hurricanes

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PITTSBURGH - SEPTEMBER 23: Jacory Harris #12 of the Miami Hurricanes drops back to pass against the Pittsburgh Panthers on September 23, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Because of the Hurricanes' rich history of winning since the 1980s, folks associated with The U always feel Miami is a legitimate contender.

Even for the most hardcore Miami fan this mindset has been tough to hold onto, especially after a rough stretch with Randy Shannon.

Now Al Golden has plans to return the Hurricanes to their glory days, but it won't happen in 2011.

So when Miami loses to Ohio State (Sept. 17), Virginia Tech (Oct. 8), North Carolina (Oct. 15) and Georgia Tech (Oct. 22) the Hurricanes will just be fighting to get into a bowl game.

Florida Gators

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TUSCALOOSA, AL - OCTOBER 02: Quarterback John Brantley #12 of the Florida Gators against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 2, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Florida was a pretty average football team in 2010, and that assessment won't likely change much this season.

Will Muschamp will eventually return Florida to the top of the SEC, but there is almost no way the Gators will be playing in a BCS Bowl in 2011.

Florida will look good going into October, but the Gators may lose four straight in October.

It starts with a home game against Alabama (Oct. 1) and continues with road games against LSU (Oct. 8), Auburn (Oct. 15) and the big rivalry with Georgia (Oct. 29).

Mississippi State Bulldogs

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GAINESVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 16: Quarterback Chris Relf #14 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs hands off to running back Vick Ballard #28 against the Florida Gators October 16, 2010 Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Gainesville, Florida. (Photo by Al Messerschm

Mississippi State is a long shot BCS team, but ever since Dan Mullen took over the Bulldogs have started dreaming big.

But losses to LSU (Sept. 15), Georgia (Oct. 1) and South Carolina (Oct. 15) will end any shot at playing in the SEC title game.

Auburn Tigers

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04: Michael Dyer #5 of the Auburn Tigers is tackled by Antonio Allen #26 of the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The reigning BCS champ won't even sniff a BCS game in 2011.

Auburn will still be a solid team, but the Tigers lost too much talent from a special group last year.

So when Auburn falls to South Carolina (Oct. 1), Arkansas (Oct. 8) and LSU (Oct. 22), the Tigers will be eliminated from BCS contention.

Texas Longhorns

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AUSTIN, TX - NOVEMBER 25: University of Texas quarterback Garrett Gilbert #8 rushes during the first half against Texas A&M at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on November 25, 2010 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Darren Carroll/Getty Images)

Texas was a huge disappointment last year, but no one would be shocked to see Mack Brown's squad rebound in 2011.

But the Longhorns will not come all the way back in one year, and this year the Big 12 is going to be dominated by Oklahoma (Oct. 8) and Oklahoma State (Oct. 15).

Texas should get to eight wins, but the BCS is not going to happen.