Mitch's Week Seven College Football Picks: Part One

While we still have a winning record for the season picking against the number, we're still yet to have that breakout week or series of breakout weeks which have been our trademark the past several seasons.

A bad game, a tricky bounce, or just a really bad pick have never slowed us down in the past, and it certainly isn't going to now as we head deeper into conference play. We're not even at the halfway point of the season.

While poking around the Net I hear a lot of people talking about how tough the lines are this week, but this is actually the most comfortable I've felt in a while with my picks. Last week I shied away from a lot of games that I thought were fairly predictable as they almost looked too easy and I never like to take too many favorites. Apparently last week was the week if you like the front runners.

Once again we have a lot to cover this week, so I'll just get to the games and of course the picks.

LSU +4 at Florida (Saturday, Oct. 11, 8 EST): 2 Units

While originally I was impressed with the Gators, I am getting less impressed by the week.

While most that have soured on the Gators have done so because of the loss to Ole Miss, my problem comes more from just the overall lack of a running game and a lot of excuses, which are getting tiring. Florida dressed up the scores against Miami and last week against Arkansas in games that were really pretty competitive until late.

I do not look for LSU to lie down late in the Swamp. LSU is a more balanced team, and I think we can safely say that Les Miles' team has played in some pretty tough places and on some pretty big stages and probably won't be fazed by the night time atmosphere in Gainesville.

While I think if Florida wins it will be close enough that four should be plenty, I think it may be worth a small money line play as well as the Tigers have as a good a chance to win this one as they do at the cover.

These two teams play every year, and the Gators have only averaged 270 yards against the tough LSU defense. I think LSU will be able to run fairly effectively on the Florida defense.

The winning team against the spread in this series has been dominated by the road team and the underdog, as the visitor is 6-1 against the spread in the last seven meetings and the underdog is 5-1 in the last six.

These two teams represent the last two National Champions, so both firmly understand the magnitude of this game. I just think there is a lot of value with LSU here, and I'm on Les Miles' Tigers.

See the rest of Part One of Mitch's Week Seven picks against the spread at The College Football Place.