
2011 MLB Preview: The Top Five Non-Aces for the Season
Everyone has his or her own strategy when entering a fantasy baseball draft. These tactics depend on your favorite teams, your opponents, the league's scoring style, and dozens of other factors. There is one thing I strongly encourage you to consider on draft day for your team: selecting pitchers that are not aces.
It seems like a dumb thing to focus on, but I have found it to be very useful in my leagues for two reasons. First, No. 2 and No. 3 starters often get to pitch against teams that are resting a starter or two by midseason. Second, they often draw a duel against a lesser pitcher.
I've come up with my top five non-ace pitchers to target in your drafts this year. There is a mix of bonafide studs and sleepers, so you have the chance to get more than one of these guys.
Let me know what you agree and disagree on!
Tommy Hanson, Atlanta Braves
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You'll have to pay a pretty penny to acquire Hanson in most drafts. But with the addition of Dan Uggla, the continued growth of young talent, like Jason Heyward and Freddie Freeman, and the steady production of Brian McCann and Martin Prado, you can expect strong run support.
I'm a huge Braves fan and love Hanson, but I'm not taking pitching early this year. If you have a different strategy or are in a pitching-heavy league, pick him up in round 5.
- Average ESPN draft position - 48.4
- No. 3 in the Atlanta Braves' rotation (ridiculous)
- 2010 - 10 W, 173 K, 3.18 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers
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Max Scherzer is admittedly one of my favorite pseudo-sleepers this year. If he were pitching for the Mets, Royals, and/or a handful of other teams, he would be the unquestioned ace. In Detroit, though, he sits behind 3-time All Star Justin Verlander. It's no secret that Scherzer has the ability to be a star in the league, as an 11th overall selection in 2006. But, he's also a bargain in a lot of leagues.
I'm aiming to take Scherzer in the 9th or 10th round in my ten team league.
- Average ESPN draft position - 101.2
- No. 2 in the Detroit Tigers' rotation
- 2010 - 12 W, 184 K, 3.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants
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Matt Cain guided my team to a championship last year. A little known fact is that Cain is actually younger than teammate Tim Lincecum, but has pitched in the majors for a year and a half longer. In other words, there is a ton of room for growth. He is often overlooked by outsiders, and you need to take full advantage of grabbing him. Even if he just repeats what he did last year, you'll be in great shape.
At age 26, I expect him to continue improving. He's one pitcher who I must have in round 8.
- Average ESPN draft position - 76.3
- No. 2 in the San Francisco Giants' rotation
- 2010 - 13 W, 177 K, 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP
Shaun Marcum, Milwaukee Brewers
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The former Toronto Blue Jay ace isn't getting the kind of love I think he should be getting. Good! It's an opportunity to stack your pitching staff with undervalued arms. Shaun Marcum reminds me of a right-handed Ted Lilly—tiny WHIP with a little bit high ERA. But if Marcum follows the route that so many AL-turned-NL pitchers have, he'll soar. The bulk of his pitching will be against the weak NL Central, too.
I'm taking him after my Max Scherzer selection in round 11.
- Average ESPN draft position - 116.1
- No. 3 in the Milwaukee Brewers' rotation (once Zack Greinke returns)
- 2010 - 13 W, 165 K, 3.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies
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I'm betting most of you saw this one coming. As good as the Phillies' 2011 rotation is, and I happen to think it's the best in history, Cole Hamels has the ability to make it even better. He has the stuff of a Cy Young Award winner when he's on and, last year, he was on. You know he's going to get run support, and he'll be facing guys like Jason Marquis and Ricky Nolasco in the NL East.
The more drafts I do, the higher Hamels is going. I love getting him in round 7 before taking Cain if he's available.
- Average ESPN draft position - 60.4
- No. 3 in the Philadelphia Phillies' rotation
- 2010 - 12 W, 211 K, 3.06 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Who You Got?
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It is possible to have all five of the pitchers I have listed and, if you do end up with them, don't even worry about what your friends say. You'll do just fine. Add a Trevor Cahill here and an R.A. Dickey there for a spot start, and you'll see your team fly to the top of the pitching categories.
Where am I right? Where am I wrong? I want to hear your ideas.

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