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Independence Bowl: Air Force Falcons Will Squash the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

James Brown@@chasingballgameSenior Analyst IDecember 25, 2010

FORT WORTH, TX - OCTOBER 23:  Quarterback Tim Jefferson Jr. #7 of the Air Force Falcons pitches the ball to a receiver against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Fort Worth, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

The Air Force Falcons will meet up with a familiar foe when they take on Georgia Tech in the Independence Bowl on Monday afternoon. The latest college football odds for this game as listed by BetPhoenix have the Falcons listed as 2.5 point favorites as they take on former Navy coach and current Georgia tech coach, Paul Johnson.

During his tenure at navy, Air Force faced Paul Johnson six times between 2002 and 2007 with the falcons winning just once. Paul Johnson's option offense racked up over 0.9 miles of rushing yards against the Fighting Falcons over that time span and although the results were not positive, they will be familiar with the opposing offense in the Independence bowl. The Falcons will be getting some help back just in time for this bowl game.

Falcon head coach Troy Calhoun announced that fullback Jared Tew, safety Brian Lindsay and defensive lineman Bradley Connor are all healthy enough to participate in the bowl game. This brings back three important weapons to the Falcons team.

The Falcons are a very good football team and played some very tough competition this season. Half of their losses came to teams that are playing in BCS bowl games and they were very close to defeating teams like Oklahoma, San Diego State, and Utah. They ended the season on a high note winning three straight and getting the call to play in this game. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech struggled to end the season, losing four of their last five games.

Georgia Tech quarterback Joshua Nesbitt is currently doubtful for this match-up as he is not 100 percent recovered from n injury to his forearm. If he does not play the Falcons will have an advantage in this contest as Nesbitt is a pivotal player to the Yellow Jacket offense.

Both teams have very good running games that rank high nationally so the difference may be in the passing game. The Falcons rank fifth in 3rd down efficiency, and 14th in passing efficiency which will make them deadly on the ground and through the air.

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If the Falcons can shut down the familiar running attack then tech will be forced to throw the ball. This will lead to some problems for the jackets if Nesbitt is not available for this game.  The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last five Bowl games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.

The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games and will beat Paul Johnson and the Yellow Jackets and win the Independence Bowl.

Matt Regaw is a B/R Featured Columnist and the founder of BookieBlitz.com, your one-stop shop for sports articles, previews and predictions. Feel free to contact Matt at mregaw@gmail.com.

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