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ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 20: Montee Ball #28 of the Wisconsin Badgers runs for a second quarter touchdown in front of Ray Vinopal #20 of the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium on November 20, 2010 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Get
ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 20: Montee Ball #28 of the Wisconsin Badgers runs for a second quarter touchdown in front of Ray Vinopal #20 of the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium on November 20, 2010 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/GetGregory Shamus/Getty Images

2010 Bowl Schedule: Power Ranking the 10 Likeliest Upsets

Thomas CopainDec 9, 2010

The 2010 Bowl Schedule is out and the hype has already begun as we're only days away from the start of the bowl season.

And with bowls, invariably, comes upsets. Not to say that upsets are mutually exclusive to bowls but there is something about the neutral field, the by-partisan crowd that makes it exciting and has a special feel to it.

Since some of the matchups are 6-6 and 7-5 teams matching up against each other, the upsets wouldn't be upsets in the classical sense. But here are the 10 picks for the most likely upsets of this bowl year,

10. Fresno State Over Northern Illinois (uDrove Humanitarian Bowl)

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BOISE, ID - NOVEMBER 19:  Ryan Colburn #15 of the Fresno State Bulldogs looks for the handoff against the Boise State Broncos at Bronco Stadium on November 19, 2010 in Boise, Idaho.  (Photo by Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images)
BOISE, ID - NOVEMBER 19: Ryan Colburn #15 of the Fresno State Bulldogs looks for the handoff against the Boise State Broncos at Bronco Stadium on November 19, 2010 in Boise, Idaho. (Photo by Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images)

Northern Illinois comes in to the bowl seconds away from a MAC Championship. Instead Miami (OH) took the title and the Huskies head to Boise without a head coach. Fresno State has a pretty good coach in Ryan Colborn and a pretty good running back in Robbie Rouse. Northern Illinois will have to fight a letdown as well as the Bulldogs to win this game, and I don't know if they can do both.

9. San Diego State Over Navy (SD County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl)

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SAN DIEGO - NOVEMBER 20: Quarterback Ryan Lindley #14 of the San Deigo State Aztecs throws a pass against the Utah Utes at Qualcomm Stadium on November 20, 2010 in San Diego, California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO - NOVEMBER 20: Quarterback Ryan Lindley #14 of the San Deigo State Aztecs throws a pass against the Utah Utes at Qualcomm Stadium on November 20, 2010 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)

Ryan Lindley is one of the better quarterbacks that no one knows about and the Aztecs have come very close to a couple of upsets already this year. Navy will have a lot of support in San Diego, but one has to wonder if the Aztecs playing on their home field in front of their fans will be a big boost in the school's first bowl game in a while. I think it will.

8. Penn State Over Florida (Outback Bowl)

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COLUMBUS, OH - NOVEMBER 13:  Silas Redd #25 of the Penn State Nittany Lions runs with the ball against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Columbus, Ohio.  (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
COLUMBUS, OH - NOVEMBER 13: Silas Redd #25 of the Penn State Nittany Lions runs with the ball against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)

Penn State struggled at Alabama early in the season, but the Nittany Lions have been playing much better of late with Matt McGloin as the quarterback and the running game turning around. The fact that Florida's offense has struggled mightily and as much as the Lions' have this season makes this game a push, although Urban Meyer's resignation might motivate the Gators.

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7. Troy Over Ohio (R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl)

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GAINESVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 12:  John Brantley #12 of the Florida Gators is tackled by Donnell Golden #40 of the Troy Trojans during the game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on September 12, 2009 in Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
GAINESVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 12: John Brantley #12 of the Florida Gators is tackled by Donnell Golden #40 of the Troy Trojans during the game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on September 12, 2009 in Gainesville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Troy has one of the best passing offenses in the nation and can put up points at will. They've beaten better teams in this bowl before, too. Troy will have to be able to make some stops on defense and also get some help from their running game if they want to knock off Frank Solich's Bobcats.

6. Illinois Over Baylor (Texas Bowl)

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CHICAGO - NOVEMBER 20: Mikel Leshoure #5 of the Illinois Fighting Illini runs on his way to a 339 yard rushing performance against the Northwestern Wildcats during a game played at Wrigley Field on November 20, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. Illinois defeated
CHICAGO - NOVEMBER 20: Mikel Leshoure #5 of the Illinois Fighting Illini runs on his way to a 339 yard rushing performance against the Northwestern Wildcats during a game played at Wrigley Field on November 20, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. Illinois defeated

Baylor's a great story but the Bears struggled down the stretch and they have struggled on defense. Illinois has a pretty good back in Mikel LeShoure and can exploit the Bears, as can quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase, who can be a threat both running and throwing. Illinois has a pretty good chance to pull the upset.

5. Arkansas Over Ohio State (Allstate Sugar Bowl)

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COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06:  Knile Davis #7 of the Arkansas Razorbacks runs with the ball as Ladi Ajiboye #91 of the South Carolina Gamecocks runs after him during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina.  (Pho
COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06: Knile Davis #7 of the Arkansas Razorbacks runs with the ball as Ladi Ajiboye #91 of the South Carolina Gamecocks runs after him during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Pho

Ohio State is the better team in this matchup, but Jim Tressel has had trouble in BCS games in the past. Nevertheless, Arkansas will be the best offense Ohio State faces this season and could give the secondary trouble. If the Razorbacks' running game can get going, the Buckeyes could be in trouble. Remember, Arkansas almost beat Alabama.

4. Louisville Over Southern Miss (Beef O'Brady's St. Petersburg Bowl)

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LOUISVILLE, KY - OCTOBER 15:  Bilal Powell #15 of  the Louisville Cardinals runs with the ball while tackled by Reuben Johnson #5 of the Cincinnati Bearcats during the game at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on October 15, 2010 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Pho
LOUISVILLE, KY - OCTOBER 15: Bilal Powell #15 of the Louisville Cardinals runs with the ball while tackled by Reuben Johnson #5 of the Cincinnati Bearcats during the game at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on October 15, 2010 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Pho

Bilal Powell has helped bring the Cardinals back to a bowl game for the first time in a few years. Despite the record, Louisville is a slight favorite in this game in the early lines, but this would still be considered an upset in my books. Southern Miss would be a big challenge but Louisville is close to getting a signature win.

3. Wisconsin Over TCU (Rose Bowl Presented By Vizio)

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IOWA CITY, IA - OCTOBER 23: Running back John Clay #32 of the Wisconsin Badgers is tackled by line backer Lance Tillison #50 of the  University of Iowa Hawkeyes as he drove the ball up the middle of the Wisconsin Badgers during the second half of play at
IOWA CITY, IA - OCTOBER 23: Running back John Clay #32 of the Wisconsin Badgers is tackled by line backer Lance Tillison #50 of the University of Iowa Hawkeyes as he drove the ball up the middle of the Wisconsin Badgers during the second half of play at

The Badgers are the best team the Horned Frogs have faced this season and present the most issues. Three running backs that can dice the defense and a passing attack that is better than people might think. Plus a stout defense to boot. If Wisconsin wins this game it may not be thought of as an upset, but it'll still be one.

2. Texas A&M Over LSU (AT&T Cotton Bowl)

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AUSTIN, TX - NOVEMBER 25:  Texas A&M players (L-R) Dustin Harris #22, Ben Malena #23, Jeff Fuller #8, Michael Lamothe #19, Blane Cheatham #29, and C.J. Jones #27 celebrate Texas A&M's 24-17 win over the University of Texas at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memori
AUSTIN, TX - NOVEMBER 25: Texas A&M players (L-R) Dustin Harris #22, Ben Malena #23, Jeff Fuller #8, Michael Lamothe #19, Blane Cheatham #29, and C.J. Jones #27 celebrate Texas A&M's 24-17 win over the University of Texas at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memori

Texas A&M might be the hottest team in college football with a quarterback that's playing with a lot of confidence, a tough running game and a stout defense. LSU's offense is playing better as of late but it's still very shaky at the quarterback position and the defense has shown it can be beaten. LSU could be in big trouble in this game.

1. Oregon Over Auburn (BCS National Championship Game)

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CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 04:  Darron Thomas #1 of the Oregon Ducks looks to pass against the Oregon State Beavers during the 114th Civil War on December 4, 2010 at the Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon.  (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)
CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 04: Darron Thomas #1 of the Oregon Ducks looks to pass against the Oregon State Beavers during the 114th Civil War on December 4, 2010 at the Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)

Oregon has a better defense than people think and short of injuries (or fake injuries for that matter), only Cal has been able to slow down the offense so far. Auburn has been in closer games but have been able to win those games. But Auburn hasn't faced an offense like Oregon's that can run and throw the football. If Thomas can get going and LaMichael James gets in a groove, then Oregon has a great chance.

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