BCS Standings Week 11: Bowl Projections Based on Latest Rankings

The BCS Standings for Week 11 (fourth set of rankings) were just released on ESPN last night, and the Oregon Ducks and Auburn Tigers remain at No. 1 and No. 2, respectively.

As the college football season nears its end, it's time for the bowl projections based on the latest set of rankings.

Teams like Utah, Alabama, Arizona and Oklahoma didn't do themselves any favors by losing while teams like LSU, and Stanford are moving up in the world.

The Big Ten schools, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio State, and Michigan State, now have a better shot at a second BCS-bowl bid after some of these teams fell.

With the current standings, the TCU Horned Frogs and Boise State Broncos would miss out (yet again) on shots at the national championship, but they would likely earn BCS Bowl bids.

So, what would the bowl picture look like if the season ended today?

BCS National Championship Game (BCS No. 1 Vs. BCS No. 2)

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AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 6: Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers shows his teammates how he scored against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

Oregon Ducks  vs. Auburn Tigers

Both teams have tough games remaining and this could change, but if the season ended today, they'd play for the national title.

And for all the non-AQ fans out there, it's a virtual lock that neither TCU nor Boise will pass either of these teams unless one of them loses.

Sugar Bowl (SEC Vs. at-Large)

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BOISE, ID - SEPTEMBER 25: Quarterback Kellen Moore #11 of the Boise State Broncos looks for a receiver against the Oregon State Beaversat Bronco Stadium on September 25, 2010 in Boise, Idaho. (Photo by Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images)

LSU vs. Boise State

If Auburn goes to the BCS title game, the Sugar Bowl gets the first replacement pick.

It will be inclined to pick an SEC team (although it doesn't have to), and if LSU wins out, they won't make the SEC title game, but they'll likely be ranked around where they are right now (No. 5).

If the season ended today, the Sugar Bowl would almost definitely pick the Tigers.

It also gets the first at large pick, and since Boise State is currently No. 4 in the BCS, there's a good chance the Broncos wind up here.

Although we all know about the bowls' BCS-conference biases, so they could theoretically choose a team like Ohio State here.

But the gap is so large between Boise and any other options that I think this is a pretty safe bet.

Orange Bowl (ACC Vs. at-Large)

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SEATTLE - OCTOBER 30: Quarterback Andrew Luck #12 of the Stanford Cardinal looks for a receiver against the Washington Huskies on October 30, 2010 at Husky Stadium in Seattle, Washington. Stanford won 41-0. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

Virginia Tech vs. Stanford

Virginia Tech is sitting pretty in the ACC, and is looking primed for an Orange Bowl bid.

Stanford is the second-highest ranked team eligible for an at-large bid (No. 6), and would likely end up being selected by the Orange Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl (Big 12 Vs. at-Large)

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LINCOLN, NE - OCTOBER 30: Quarterback Taylor Martinez #3 of the Nebraska Cornhuskers throws over the Missouri Tigers defense during first half action of their game at Memorial Stadium on October 30, 2010 in Lincoln, Nebraska. Nebraska Defeated Missouri 31

Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh

Nebraska is currently in the Big 12 driver's seat, but it will likely need to beat Oklahoma State again in the title game to wind up here.

Pitt doesn't deserve to be here, but it will because of the Big East's automatic bid.

Rose Bowl (Pac-10 Vs. Big Ten)

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SALT LAKE CITY, UT - NOVEMBER 6: Quarterback Andy Dalton #14 of the TCU Horned Frogs throws a pass against the Utah Utes during the second half of an NCAA Football game November 6, 2010 at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, Utah. TCU Beat Utah 47-7.

Michigan State vs. TCU

Michigan State currently sits atop the Big Ten, and would slot into the Rose Bowl.

TCU would currently be an automatic qualifier for a BCS-bowl game out of the MWC, and if the Rose Bowl loses Oregon to the title game, it is obligated to pick the Horned Frogs.

Fight Hunger Bowl (WAC Vs. Pac-10 No. 6)

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PASADENA, CA - NOVEMBER 06: Derrick Coleman #33 of the UCLA Bruins runs away from Stephen Paea #54 of the Oregon State Beavers during the second quarter at the Rose Bowl on November 6, 2010 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

Fresno State vs. UCLA

UCLA also will have a tough time making this bowl, needing another two victories.

Birmingham Bowl (Big East No. 5/6 Vs. SEC. No. 8/9)

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 30: Georgia Bulldogs mascot UGA VIII watches the action during the game against the Florida Gators at EverBank Field on October 30, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Louisville vs. Georgia

Georgia still actually has an outside shot at winning the SEC, but as of now the Bulldogs would likely end up in a matchup against the mediocre Cardinals.

Cotton Bowl (Big 12 No. 2 Vs. SEC)

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COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06: Ryan Mallett #15 of the Arkansas Razorbacks calls a play against the South Carolina Gamecocks during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

Oklahoma State vs. Arkansas

This would be a hell of a matchup, pitting the No. 10 Cowboys against the No. 15 Razorbacks.

GoDaddy.com Bowl (MAC No. 1/2 Vs. Sun Belt No. 2)

Northern Illinois vs. Florida International

FIU is second in the Sun Belt, but needs three more wins to become bowl-eligible.

The Sun Belt is really bad.

Gator Bowl (Big Ten No. 4/5 Vs. SEC No. 6)

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COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06: Stephen Garcia #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks reacts to a play against against the Arkansas Razorbacks during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/

Iowa vs. South Carolina

After beating Alabama, I don't think the Gamecocks had the Gator Bowl in mind.

And don't count on Iowa beating Ohio State, Ricky Stanzi and the Hawkeyes are the real deal.

Dallas Classic (Big Ten No. 7 Vs. Big 12/C-USA)

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ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 06: Denard Robinson #16 of the Michigan Wolverines looks to throw a third quarter pass while playing the Illinios Fighting Illini at Michigan Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Robinson left the game with a injur

Michigan vs. Texas Tech

At least Texas Tech won't have to leave its own state.

And the two squads get to play in Cowboys Stadium.

Not a bad deal.

But a berth here might not be enough to get Rich Rod off the hot seat.

Outback Bowl (Big Ten No. 3 Vs. SEC)

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COLUMBUS, OH - OCTOBER 23: Brandon Taylor #55 of the Purdue Boilermakers attempts to block a pass attempt by Terrelle Pryor #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)

Ohio State vs. Florida

Both of these teams have outside shots at winning their respective conferences, but I wouldn't bet on either of them.

Capital One Bowl (SEC No. 2 Vs. Big Ten No. 2)

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BATON ROUGE, LA - NOVEMBER 06: Mark Ingram #22 of the Alabama Crimson Tide is tackled by Eric Reid #1 and Ryan Baker #22 of the Louisiana State University Tigers at Tiger Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. The Tigers defeated the Cri

Alabama vs. Wisconsin

This would be a BCS-bowl worthy matchup.

Chick-Fil-A Bowl (ACC No. 2 Vs. SEC No. 5)

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RALEIGH, NC - OCTOBER 28: Christian Ponder #7 of the Florida State Seminoles reacts to a play against the North Carolina State Wolfpack during their game at Carter-Finley Stadium on October 28, 2010 in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/G

Florida State vs. Mississippi State

The Seminoles have really disappointed lately, but there's always a chance they steal an Orange Bowl bid by winning the ACC championship game.

Sun Bowl (ACC No. 4 Vs. Pac-10 No. 4)

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RALEIGH, NC - OCTOBER 28: Russell Wilson #16 of the North Carolina State Wolfpack throws the game winning touchdown against the Florida State Seminoles during their game at Carter-Finley Stadium on October 28, 2010 in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by

NC State vs. California

Just like Florida State, the Wolfpack can still win the ACC.

Liberty Bowl (C-USA No. 1 Vs. SEC No. 8/9)

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LEXINGTON, KY - SEPTEMBER 18: Randall Cobb #18 of the Kentucky Wildcats is pictured against the Akron Zips during the game at Commonwealth Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Lexington, Kentucky. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

UCF vs. Kentucky

The Case Keenum injury really opened the door for UCF in C-USA.

Meineke Car Care Bowl (ACC No. 5 Vs. Big East No. 3)

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NEW BRUNSWICK, NJ - SEPTEMBER 25: Anthony Elzy #6 (L) of the North Carolina Tar Heels breaks runs past the Rutgers Scarlet Knights defense during the third quarter at Rutgers Stadium on September 25, 2010 in New Brunswick, New Jersey. (Photo by Andrew B

South Florida vs. North Carolina

This season wasn't exactly what the Tar Heels were hoping for, but at least they're bowl-eligible.

Holiday Bowl (Pac-10 No. 3 Vs. Big 12 No. 5)

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PASADENA, CA - NOVEMBER 06: Jacquizz Rodgers #1 of the Oregon State Beavers loses his helmet after a hit from Dietrich Riley #1 of the UCLA Bruins during the second quarter at the Rose Bowl on November 6, 2010 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by Harry Ho

Oregon State vs. Oklahoma

Oregon State has a 3-2 conference record, but due to its tough out-of-conference schedule, it still needs two wins to become bowl-eligible.

That will be easier said than done in the deep Pac-10.

And by the way, this would be a pretty damn good game.

Armed Forces Bowl (MWC No. 4/5 Vs. C-USA)

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BLACKSBURG, VA - SEPTEMBER 18: Running back Giavanni Ruffin #1 of the East Carolina Pirates runs with the ball for a touchdown past defensive tackle Dwight Tucker #53 of the Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Blacksburg, Virgin

Ohio vs. East Carolina

With the MWC getting a BCS bid, they'll only garner four non-BCS bowl bids.

Ohio has seven wins already and will play in the postseason.

And East Carolina could really use Chris Johnson back.

Music City Bowl (ACC No. 6 Vs. SEC No. 7)

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TUSCALOOSA, AL - OCTOBER 16: Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli #8 and Jeff Scott #3 of the Ole Miss Rebels against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 16, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Maryland vs. Ole Miss

The ACC's No. 6 team vs. the SEC's No. 7?

Talk about an unfair matchup.

Pinstripe Bowl (Big East No. 4 Vs. Big 12 No. 7)

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LAWRENCE, KS - OCTOBER 14: Daniel Thomas #8 of the Kansas State Wildcats carries the ball as Olaitan Oguntodu #44 of the Kansas Jayhawks defends during the game on October 14, 2010 at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Im

West Virginia vs. Kansas State

Two disappointing teams, one boring game.

Military Bowl (ACC No. 8 Vs. C-USA)

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AUBURN, AL - SEPTEMBER 18: Xavier Brewer #29 of the Clemson Tigers intercepts a pass intended for Shaun Kitchens #4 of the Auburn Tigers at Jordan-Hare Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Clemson vs. Southern Methodist

You couldn't pay me to watch this one.

Alamo Bowl (Pac-10 No. 2 Vs. Big 12 No. 3)

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TUCSON, AZ - OCTOBER 09: Quarterback Nick Foles #8 of the Arizona Wildcats throws a pass during the college football game against the Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Stadium on October 9, 2010 in Tucson, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Image

Arizona vs. Baylor

Both of these teams could have crashed the BCS-bowl party, but both were embarrassed last weekend.

Texas Bowl (Big Ten No. 6 Vs. Big 12 No. 6)

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COLLEGE STATION, TX - NOVEMBER 26: Defensive tackle Kheeston Randall #91 of the Texas Longhorns sacks quarterback Jerrod Johnson #1 of the Texas A&M Aggies for a loss in the first half at Kyle Field on November 26, 2009 in College Station, Texas. The Long

Illinois vs. Texas A&M

Texas A&M is looking much better with Ryan Tannenhill under center.

So much for Jerrod Johnson becoming a Heisman candidate.

Insight Bowl (Big Ten No. 4/5 Vs. Big 12 No. 4)

Eric Francis/Getty Images

LINCOLN, NE - OCTOBER 30: Safety Courtney Osborne #12 of the Nebraska Cornhuskers hits quarterback Blaine Gabbert #11 of the Missouri Tigers during second half action of their game at Memorial Stadium on October 30, 2010 in Lincoln, Nebraska. Nebraska De

Penn State vs. Missouri

Mizzou has really fallen off the map.

Champs Sports Bowl (ACC No. 3 Vs. Big East No. 2)

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MIAMI, FL - OCTOBER 9: Jacory Harris #12 of the Miami Hurricanes warms up prior to the game against the Florida State Seminoles on October 9, 2010 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images)

Miami vs. Syracuse

Syracuse is surprising people in the Big East, but the Big East is bad.  Really bad.

And what happened to Miami?

Ohio State's one big win doesn't seem so big anymore.

Independence Bowl (MWC No. 3 Vs. ACC No. 7)

Geoff Burke/Getty Images

BLACKSBURG, VA - NOVEMBER 04: Quarterback Joshua Nesbitt #9 of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets runs with the ball against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium on November 4, 2010 in Blacksburg, Virginia. (Photo by Geoff Burke/Getty Images)

Air Force vs. Georgia Tech

What's going on in the ACC?  It's awful this year.

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl (MAC No. 1/2 Vs. Big Ten No. 8)

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EVANSTON, IL - OCTOBER 23: Dan Persa #7 of the Northwestern Wildcats looks for a receiver against the Michigan State Spartans at Ryan Field on October 23, 2010 in Evanston, Illinois. Michigan State defeated Northwestern 35-27. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Ge

Temple vs. Northwestern

Northwestern's Dan Persa is one of the best college quarterbacks you've never heard of.

And he's a true dual-threat.

Hawaii Bowl (WAC Vs. C-USA)

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HONOLULU - SEPTEMBER 2: Kealoha Pilares of the University of Hawaii Warriors scores a touchdown during secondhalf action at Aloha Stadium September 2, 2010 in Honolulu, Hawaii. (Photo by Kent Nishimura/Getty Images)

Hawaii vs. Southern Miss

Why did anyone think Hawaii could beat Boise State?

Poinsettia Bowl (MWC No. 2 Vs. Navy)

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 23: Ricky Dobbs #4 of the Navy Midshipmen rushes with the ball against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 23, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

San Diego State vs. Navy

San Diego State, the third-best team in the MWC, is actually pretty good.

I'd take them over the Big East's No. 3 any day (can't believe I just said that).

Maaco Bowl (MWC No. 1 Vs. Pac-10 No. 5)

Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

MADISON, WI - SEPTEMBER 18: Steven Threet #14 of the Arizona State Sun Devils tries to break away from Patrick Butrym #95 of the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Madison, Wisconsin. Wisconsin defeated Arizona State 20-19.

Utah vs. Arizona State

The biggest joke of 2010: Utah being ranked No. 5 by the BCS.

And for the record, USC would get the nod here if it weren't for a certain NCAA sanction. 

St. Petersburg Bowl (Big East No. 5/6 Vs. C-USA)

Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

PISCATAWAY, NJ - OCTOBER 08: Jordan Todman #23 of the Connecticut Huskies runs the ball against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Rutgers Stadium on October 8, 2010 in Piscataway, New Jersey. Rutgers defeated UConn 27-24. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

UConn vs. Tulsa

Why do these teams even get to play in a bowl...

New Orleans Bowl (Sun Belt No. 1 Vs. C-USA)

Troy vs. UTEP

Fun fact: Troy boasts the nation's 14th-best passing attack.

Humanitarian Bowl (MAC No. 3 Vs. WAC)

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COLUMBIA, MO - SEPTEMBER 13: Quarterback Colin Kaepernick #10 of the Nevada Wolf Pack rolls out during the first half of the game against the Missouri Tigers on September 13, 2008 at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty I

Toledo vs. Nevada

Toledo lost to Arizona, 41-2.

It also beat Purdue.

And is Nevada really No. 21 in the BCS...really?

New Mexico Bowl (MWC No. 4/5 Vs. WAC)

Tom Pennington/Getty Images

FORT WORTH, TX - OCTOBER 16: Head coach Bronco Mendenhall of the BYU Cougars heads his team against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 16, 2010 in Fort Worth, Texas. TCU beat BYU 31-3. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

BYU vs. Idaho

Idaho has the nation's fourth-most prolific passing attack, at 330.8 yards per game.

It needs two more wins for bowl eligibility, though.

BCS Standings

Alex Wong/Getty Images

WASHINGTON - MARCH 08: U.S. President Barack Obama (L) receives a football helmet during an East Room event to host members of the Alabama Crimson Tide March 8, 2010 at the White House in Washington, DC. Obama welcomed the 2009 BCS Champion to honor its

Here are this week's BCS rankings.

And if you're curious about how the whole bowl picture is sorted out, check out wikipedia's explanations.

Have any questions or anything to add?

Let me know in the comments section.

Matt Rudnitsky is a student at the University of Michigan and a writing intern at Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/Mattrud