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FOXBORO, MA - OCTOBER 17:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots gestures during a game against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
FOXBORO, MA - OCTOBER 17: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots gestures during a game against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)Jim Rogash/Getty Images

NFL Picks Week 7: Patriots-Chargers, Other Games to Bet Against the Spread

Stephen KasperOct 21, 2010

Last week's record against the spread: 5-3

Overall record against the spread: 30-16

I was excited for a while last week that I might go 6-2 with my picks, but Baltimore blew it for me when they let New England come back and win in overtime.

Oh well.

Finishing 5-3 isn't that bad, I suppose.

And even though this week I only have six games picked against the spread, I'm confident I can finish 6-0 with each of these teams covering the spread or possibly winning straight up.

Here are the Week 7 NFL game lines.

Pittsburgh at Miami: Pittsburgh -3

Cincinnati at Atlanta: Atlanta -3.5

Jacksonville at Kansas City: Kansas City -4.5

Philadelphia at Tennessee: Tennessee -3

Washington at Chicago: Chicago -3

Cleveland at New Orleans: New Orleans -13

Buffalo at Baltimore: Baltimore -13

San Francisco at Carolina: San Francisco -3

St. Louis at Tampa Bay: Tampa Bay -3

Arizona at Seattle: Seattle -5.5

New England at San Diego: San Diego -2.5

Oakland at Denver: Denver -7

Minnesota at Green Bay: Green Bay -2.5

NY Giants at Dallas: Dallas -3

Washington +3 at Chicago

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LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 17:  Running back Ryan Torain #46 of the Washington Redskins is gang tackled by the Indianapolis Colts defense at FedExField on October 17, 2010 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 17: Running back Ryan Torain #46 of the Washington Redskins is gang tackled by the Indianapolis Colts defense at FedExField on October 17, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Sure, Washington just lost to Indianapolis, but only by three.

And the week before, they beat Green Bay in overtime.

This Redskins team is better than you think.

Ryan Torain is becoming Mike Shanahan's newest protege', and Donovan McNabb looks better than he has in years.

The Bears are at home here, but I just can't see them taking the 'Skins by three. If they win at all.

NY Giants +3 at Dallas

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17:  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants passes against the Detroit Lions at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 17, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17: Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants passes against the Detroit Lions at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 17, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Dallas looks horrible right now, and they just don't deserve to be the favorite, in my opinion.

Especially against a Giants team that has been able to put up points on offense and stop opposing teams on defense.

I expect this to actually be a close game, since it's in Dallas, and the Cowboys may even pull off the win.

But I expect the Giants to pull it off, or at least cover.

St. Louis +3 at Tampa Bay

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DETROIT - OCTOBER 10:  Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams drops back to pass during the fourth quarter during the game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on October 10, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. The Lions defeated the Rams 44-6.  (Photo by Leon H
DETROIT - OCTOBER 10: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams drops back to pass during the fourth quarter during the game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on October 10, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. The Lions defeated the Rams 44-6. (Photo by Leon H

Here are two teams that are surprising everyone in the NFL.

Out of the two though, I think Sam Bradford and the St. Louis Rams are not only able to put up enough points to get the win, I think they could also pull off an even bigger upset by winning the NFC West and going to the playoffs.

The game being in Tampa means a big home-field advantage.

But don't rule out these Rams, or they might just shock you.

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Cleveland +13 at New Orleans

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PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 17: Colt McCoy #12 of the Cleveland Browns looks for running room while playing the Pittsburgh Steelers on October 17, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 17: Colt McCoy #12 of the Cleveland Browns looks for running room while playing the Pittsburgh Steelers on October 17, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

I can't see the Saints actually losing this one.

But hey, they did lose to the Arizona Cardinals.

Which means anything is possible.

With Colt McCoy starting again, who had a rough week against the best defense in the NFL, they can definitely still score points and at least cover this game.

Arizona +5.5 at Seattle

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GLENDALE, AZ - OCTOBER 10:  Quarterback Max Hall #6 of the Arizona Cardinals drops back to pass during the NFL game against the New Orleans Saints at the University of Phoenix Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals defeated the Sa
GLENDALE, AZ - OCTOBER 10: Quarterback Max Hall #6 of the Arizona Cardinals drops back to pass during the NFL game against the New Orleans Saints at the University of Phoenix Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals defeated the Sa

I don't know.

I just don't know.

I think Max Hall isn't so bad for a rookie.

And when you have Larry Fitzgerald to throw to, you can never be ruled out.

Seattle has been looking alright under Pete Carroll, but I'm still not convinced and I think the Cardinals can keep it within this 5.5-point spread.

New England +2.5 at San Diego

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FOXBORO, MA - OCTOBER 17:  Deion Branch #84 of the New England Patriots after he caught a touchdown pass in the second half against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The Patriot won 23-20 in overtime.
FOXBORO, MA - OCTOBER 17: Deion Branch #84 of the New England Patriots after he caught a touchdown pass in the second half against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The Patriot won 23-20 in overtime.

Randy who?

The Patriots looked pretty good against the Ravens' stubborn defense, even without Randy Moss.

Brady to Branch looks like a tandem long overdue that has a lot of catching up to do.

On the other hand, we have the San Diego Chargers, a team that has not impressed me at all this season.

I honestly don't even see the Chargers winning the AFC West.

Expect more Brady to Branch in what should be a Patriots win, if not definitely a close enough game for the Pats to cover.

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