NFL Picks Week 7: Patriots-Chargers, Other Games to Bet Against the Spread
Last week's record against the spread: 5-3
Overall record against the spread: 30-16
I was excited for a while last week that I might go 6-2 with my picks, but Baltimore blew it for me when they let New England come back and win in overtime.
Finishing 5-3 isn't that bad, I suppose.
And even though this week I only have six games picked against the spread, I'm confident I can finish 6-0 with each of these teams covering the spread or possibly winning straight up.
Here are the Week 7 NFL game lines.
Pittsburgh at Miami: Pittsburgh -3
Cincinnati at Atlanta: Atlanta -3.5
Jacksonville at Kansas City: Kansas City -4.5
Philadelphia at Tennessee: Tennessee -3
Washington at Chicago: Chicago -3
Cleveland at New Orleans: New Orleans -13
Buffalo at Baltimore: Baltimore -13
San Francisco at Carolina: San Francisco -3
St. Louis at Tampa Bay: Tampa Bay -3
Arizona at Seattle: Seattle -5.5
New England at San Diego: San Diego -2.5
Oakland at Denver: Denver -7
Minnesota at Green Bay: Green Bay -2.5
NY Giants at Dallas: Dallas -3
Washington +3 at Chicago
Sure, Washington just lost to Indianapolis, but only by three.
And the week before, they beat Green Bay in overtime.
This Redskins team is better than you think.
Ryan Torain is becoming Mike Shanahan's newest protege', and Donovan McNabb looks better than he has in years.
The Bears are at home here, but I just can't see them taking the 'Skins by three. If they win at all.
NY Giants +3 at Dallas
Dallas looks horrible right now, and they just don't deserve to be the favorite, in my opinion.
Especially against a Giants team that has been able to put up points on offense and stop opposing teams on defense.
I expect this to actually be a close game, since it's in Dallas, and the Cowboys may even pull off the win.
But I expect the Giants to pull it off, or at least cover.
St. Louis +3 at Tampa Bay
Here are two teams that are surprising everyone in the NFL.
Out of the two though, I think Sam Bradford and the St. Louis Rams are not only able to put up enough points to get the win, I think they could also pull off an even bigger upset by winning the NFC West and going to the playoffs.
The game being in Tampa means a big home-field advantage.
But don't rule out these Rams, or they might just shock you.
Cleveland +13 at New Orleans
I can't see the Saints actually losing this one.
But hey, they did lose to the Arizona Cardinals.
Which means anything is possible.
With Colt McCoy starting again, who had a rough week against the best defense in the NFL, they can definitely still score points and at least cover this game.
Arizona +5.5 at Seattle
I don't know.
I just don't know.
I think Max Hall isn't so bad for a rookie.
And when you have Larry Fitzgerald to throw to, you can never be ruled out.
Seattle has been looking alright under Pete Carroll, but I'm still not convinced and I think the Cardinals can keep it within this 5.5-point spread.
New England +2.5 at San Diego
The Patriots looked pretty good against the Ravens' stubborn defense, even without Randy Moss.
Brady to Branch looks like a tandem long overdue that has a lot of catching up to do.
On the other hand, we have the San Diego Chargers, a team that has not impressed me at all this season.
I honestly don't even see the Chargers winning the AFC West.
Expect more Brady to Branch in what should be a Patriots win, if not definitely a close enough game for the Pats to cover.