Wimbledon 2010: Narrowing 8 Down to 1

Four rounds are complete and three of my four semifinal picks remain. Andy Roddick may be gone, but my two finalists are still kicking and are each just two wins away from setting up the showdown we've all been waiting for.

QUARTERFINALS

Roger Federer (1) def. Tomas Berdych (12)

Federer is 8-2 against Berdych, but the Czech player won their most recent meeting on the hard courts of Miami earlier this year in a third-set tiebreaker. Still, the top seed is 5-0 in best-of-five showdowns and 2-0 on grass, including a straight-sets win at Wimbledon in '06, when Berdych was also ranked 13th in the world. So while this match will probably be tight, I see Federer moving on.

Yen-Hsun Lu def. Novak Djokovic (3)

Lu shocked the tennis world when he upset fifth-seeded Roddick, 9-7 in the fifth set, on Monday. There's no reason he should've won that match, so who's to say he won't pull off another upset over an opponent dealing with a breathing problem? I'm going to root for Lu, so I might as well pick him.

Djokovic, meanwhile, advanced to the quarters by defeating Lleyton Hewitt in the fourth round, a match many thought the Serb would lose despite winning the previous three meetings between the two. ESPN's Darren Cahill compared Lu's style of play to that of Olivier Rochus, who Djokovic needed five sets to get past in the first round.

Andy Murray (4) def. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (10)

This figures to be a battle. Murray is 2-1 versus Tsonga on Tour, taking the most recent meeting in straight sets last year. The Frenchman did win their only Grand Slam match in the first round of the '08 Australian, but the Brit reached the semis at Wimbledon last year, while Tsonga is playing in his first quarters here. Tsonga actually beat Murray on grass in a non-Tour event back in '04, but that was when the two were teenagers.

Rafael Nadal (2) def. Robin Soderling (6)

Nadal breezed past Soderling in the finals of the French for his fourth victory in six meetings. Their only meeting on grass was a lot more competitive, however, with the Spaniard winning, 7-5 in the fifth, in the third round of Wimbledon '07, and I expect him to do the same this week.

SEMIFINALS

Roger Federer (1) def. Yen-Hsun Lu

Federer is 9-5 against Djokovic, but I'm sure he'll be very pleased to play Lu, who he defeated in straight sets in the first round of this event last year.

Rafael Nadal (2) def. Andy Murray (4)

Murray was on his way to a straight-sets victory over Nadal earlier this year in the Australian Open quarters, when the Spaniard retired with a right knee injury down 0-3 in the third set. Supposedly Nadal is now at full strength, although he did call the trainer over several times during his third-round match with Philipp Petzschner. Still, the No. 1 player in the world is 7-3 against Murray, winning in straight sets in their only grass-court meeting in the quarters of Wimbledon '08. I think the pressure of trying to win his home country's major will get to Murray again.

CHAMPIONSHIP

Roger Federer (1) def. Rafael Nadal (2)

It's the dream matchup I picked when the draw came out and while it's not surprising, it's the final most tennis fans want to see. We all know Nadal is 14-7 against Federer and has won their last three meetings in Grand Slam finals, including the historic five-setter played at Wimbledon two years ago, but Federer has won six of nine meetings not held on clay and is 2-1 on grass. I think the six-time champ is smart enough to be able to exploit any advantage he may have due to Nadal's knee trouble and should be able to capture his seventh Wimbledon title, cementing his place once and for all as the greatest to ever play the game.

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Jordan Schwartz is one of Bleacher Report's New York Yankees and College Basketball Featured Columnists. His book Memoirs of the Unaccomplished Man is available at amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, and authorhouse.com.

Jordan can be reached at [e-mail]