Kershaw or Scherzer at No. 1? Re-Drafting Stacked 2006 MLB Draft
Two of the most dominant starting pitchers of the past 25 years were part of the same MLB draft class in 2006.
Highland Park High School left-hander Clayton Kershaw was the first prep arm off the board at No. 7 overall to the Los Angeles Dodgers, while University of Missouri right-hander Max Scherzer went a few picks later at No. 11 to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Where would those two and the rest of the 2006 class be selected if teams had the benefit of hindsight? That's what we set out to answer.
Any player who signed as part of the 2006 class was eligible for the re-draft, which includes a revised selection and breakdown for each of the 30 first-round picks. To round things out, we've added a list of supplemental-round choices from Nos. 31 to 44 at the end.
1. Kansas City Royals: LHP Clayton Kershaw
There is no wrong answer to the Kershaw vs. Scherzer debate.
Both pitchers have likely already punched their ticket to Cooperstown, both have three Cy Young Awards and both were still pitching at an extremely high level in 2019.
For the Kansas City Royals, both would be far and away the best pitcher in franchise history, and the decision to select Luke Hochevar at No. 1 still haunts the franchise.
Actual Pick: RHP Luke Hochevar
Kershaw's Actual Draft Position: No. 7 overall (Los Angeles Dodgers)
2. Colorado Rockies: RHP Max Scherzer
Quite the consolation prize waits at No. 2 for a Colorado Rockies team that faces a perpetual need for pitching.
Scherzer has finished in the top five in Cy Young voting in each of the last seven seasons, posting a 2.82 ERA and 149 ERA+ while averaging 212 innings. He won the award three times during that stretch, becoming just the sixth pitcher in MLB history to take home the hardware in both leagues.
Would those career numbers look different if he were playing his home games at Coors Field?
It's possible. He's 0-3 with a 5.88 ERA in five career starts in Colorado.
Still, it's hard to imagine a world where someone with his competitive fire and electric stuff does not find a way to succeed.
Actual Pick: RHP Greg Reynolds
Scherzer's Actual Draft Position: No. 11 overall (Arizona Diamondbacks)
3. Tampa Bay Devil Rays: 3B Evan Longoria
The Tampa Bay Rays would no doubt jump at the chance to re-draft the greatest player in team history.
Evan Longoria is the franchise's all-time leader in games played (1,435), WAR (51.8), doubles (338), home runs (261), RBI (892), runs scored (780) and total bases (2,630).
He won AL Rookie of the Year honors in 2008 and earned an All-Star selection in each of his first three MLB seasons.
Actual Pick: 3B Evan Longoria
Longoria's Actual Draft Position: No. 3 overall (Tampa Bay Devil Rays)
4. Pittsburgh Pirates: 3B Justin Turner
A late-bloomer, Justin Turner has developed into one of the best third basemen in baseball since joining the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2014 after he was non-tendered by the New York Mets.
During the 2014 season, he hit .340/.404/.493 (155 OPS+) with 29 extra-base hits in 322 plate appearances while serving in a super-utility role.
He settled into an everyday gig the following year and has racked up an impressive 27.4 WAR in six seasons in Los Angeles. That's good for 15th among all position players during that stretch.
The Pittsburgh Pirates were a playoff team in 2014 and 2015 despite lacking a clear-cut everyday third baseman, and Turner would have been a huge addition both offensively and defensively.
Actual Pick: RHP Brad Lincoln
Turner's Actual Draft Position: No. 204 overall (Cincinnati Reds)
5. Seattle Mariners: RHP Tim Lincecum
Tim Lincecum was born in Bellevue, Washington, and he played his college ball at the University of Washington, so this is an opportunity for the Seattle Mariners to keep him at home.
While his stay at the top was brief, there was a time when the max-effort right-hander was arguably the best pitcher in baseball.
From 2008 through 2011, he went 62-36 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 977 strikeouts in 881.2 innings. He led the NL in strikeouts three times during that four-year span and won Cy Young honors in 2008 and 2009.
His ERA spiked to 5.18 during the 2012 season, and he never regained his front-line form. His final MLB appearance came during his age-32 season during an ugly nine-start comeback attempt with the Los Angeles Angels.
Even knowing the outcome, it's still fun to think of what the duo of Lincecum and Felix Hernandez might have accomplished as teammates during their respective primes.
Actual Pick: RHP Brandon Morrow
Lincecum's Actual Draft Position: No. 10 overall (San Francisco Giants)
6. Detroit Tigers: RHP Doug Fister
Doug Fister went 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 10 starts with the Detroit Tigers after he was acquired from the Seattle Mariners at the 2011 trade deadline.
He went on to post a 3.29 ERA and 128 ERA+ over 440.2 innings in parts of three seasons with the Tigers, and he excelled in October with a 2.98 ERA in 48.1 postseason frames.
The right-hander put together his best season with the Washington Nationals in 2014, going 16-6 with a 2.41 ERA (155 ERA+) and 1.08 WHIP in 164 innings to finish eighth in NL Cy Young voting.
He finished his career with a 3.72 ERA and 109 ERA+ in 1,422.1 innings over 10 seasons.
Actual Pick: LHP Andrew Miller
Fister's Actual Draft Position: No. 201 overall (Seattle Mariners)
7. Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Chris Archer
Is Chris Archer overrated?
Probably, but he also put together some excellent seasons with the Tampa Bay Rays, showing some of the best swing-and-miss stuff in baseball.
He racked up 734 strikeouts in 614.1 innings for 10.8 K/9 during the three-year span from 2015 through 2017, posting a 3.77 ERA and 1.21 WHIP while averaging 205 innings per season.
The Dodgers have done an excellent job of developing pitching, and it's fair to wonder if they could have gotten more out of the talented right-hander.
Still just 31, Archer struggled through a tough 2019, but there's plenty of time for him to right the ship.
Actual Pick: LHP Clayton Kershaw
Archer's Actual Draft Position: No. 161 overall (Cleveland Indians)
8. Cincinnati Reds: OF Tommy Pham
After 11 seasons spent mostly in the minors, Tommy Pham became an everyday player for the St. Louis Cardinals during his age-29 season in 2017.
He was worth the wait.
Over the past three campaigns, Pham has hit .284/.381/.475 (129 OPS+) while averaging 22 home runs and 22 steals en route to an impressive 13.5 WAR.
He's been traded twice during that stretch, and the significant return he netted both times has made it clear how valuable he is.
Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Reds have dealt with a lot of outfield turnover in recent seasons, including the additions of Nicholas Castellanos and Shogo Akiyama this past offseason.
Actual Pick: OF Drew Stubbs
Pham's Actual Draft Position: No. 496 overall (St. Louis Cardinals)
9. Baltimore Orioles: RHP Ian Kennedy
Ian Kennedy peaked during the 2011 season, going 21-4 with a 2.88 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 198 strikeouts in 222 innings to finish fourth in NL Cy Young voting.
That performance set the bar awfully high, and he has failed to live up to expectations since.
Still, there is plenty of value in durability, and he made at least 30 starts in eight of his nine full seasons in the starting rotation with the Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals.
After an injury-plagued 2018, the Royals moved him to the bullpen last year, and he quickly took over the closer's role, nailing down 30 of 34 save chances with a 3.41 ERA and 10.4 K/9 in 63 appearances.
With a 4.09 ERA and 99 ERA+ in 1,767.1 career innings, he is worthy of a top-10 selection in a top-heavy class.
Actual Pick: 3B Bill Rowell
Kennedy's Actual Draft Position: No. 21 overall (New York Yankees)
10. San Francisco Giants: OF Josh Reddick
Before he joined the Houston Astros in free agency, Josh Reddick put together a solid four-plus-year run with the Oakland Athletics.
He was a Gold Glove winner during a 32-homer campaign in 2012, and while that season proved to be his peak, he went on to post a 111 OPS+ and rack up 16.4 WAR during his time in Oakland.
The San Francisco Giants could have easily slid Hunter Pence over to left field to accommodate him in the outfield during their 2012 and 2014 World Series runs.
That said, it's fair to wonder where the organization would've wound up without Lincecum paving the way for that run of success with his top-of-the-rotation performance earlier in the decade.
Actual Pick: RHP Tim Lincecum
Reddick's Actual Draft Position: No. 523 overall (Boston Red Sox)
11. Arizona Diamondbacks: 2B Daniel Murphy
Daniel Murphy can flat-out hit.
The 35-year-old is a career .298/.343/.458 hitter for a 115 OPS+, and he put together an MVP-caliber season with the Washington Nationals in 2016.
In his first year with the team after heading over from the New York Mets in free agency, he hit .347/.390/.595 for a 155 OPS+ while tallying 47 doubles, 25 home runs and 104 RBI to finish as runner-up to Kris Bryant in the voting.
His defensive shortcomings keep him from being selected any higher in this re-draft, and he has been miscast as a second baseman (-73 DRS) throughout his career. That said, he would still be an upgrade at the position for the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Actual Pick: RHP Max Scherzer
Murphy's Actual Draft Position: No. 394 overall (New York Mets)
12. Texas Rangers: 1B Chris Davis
Chris Davis spent the first three-plus seasons of his career with the Texas Rangers before he was shipped to the Baltimore Orioles with Tommy Hunter for Koji Uehara at the 2011 trade deadline.
He broke out with a 33-homer season in 2012 and followed that by leading the AL in home runs (53) and RBI (138) to finish third in AL MVP voting in 2013.
From 2012 through 2016, he posted a 130 OPS+ while slugging 197 home runs and tallying 17.8 WAR.
His production has bottomed out over the last three years, and the seven-year, $161 million contract he signed before the 2016 season now looks like one of the worst in MLB history.
Still, that does nothing to detract from what a dynamic power threat he was in his prime, and the Rangers would happily add him to their lineup for that five-year span and avoid a long-term commitment.
Actual Pick: LHP Kasey Kiker
Davis' Actual Draft Position: No. 148 overall (Texas Rangers)
13. Chicago Cubs: LHP Andrew Miller
If the Chicago Cubs had drafted and developed Andrew Miller, they might still have Gleyber Torres.
After flaming out as a starter, Miller moved to the bullpen in 2012 and quickly emerged as one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. From 2012 through 2017, he posted a 2.01 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 14.1 K/9 with 51 saves and 93 holds in 350 appearances.
During the 2016 season, he went 10-1 with 12 saves and 21 holds in 70 appearances, posting a 1.45 ERA, 0.69 WHIP and 14.9 K/9 in a fireman role to finish ninth in AL Cy Young voting.
He struck out 21 batters in 11.2 scoreless innings in the ALDS and ALCS that year before meeting the Cubs in the World Series. Had be been wearing a Cubs jersey instead of an Indians shirt, the North Siders would not have needed to swing the blockbuster trade for Aroldis Chapman that summer that cost them Torres.
Actual Pick: OF Tyler Colvin
Miller's Actual Draft Position: No. 6 overall (Detroit Tigers)
14. Toronto Blue Jays: RHP Jeff Samardzija
The Toronto Blue Jays have long been searching for stability in the starting rotation.
Jeff Samardzija falls short of being an ace, but he's been a quality middle-of-the-rotation innings-eater throughout his careerm, with flashes of more at various points.
After starting his career as a reliever with the Chicago Cubs, he has made at least 30 starts and worked at least 180 innings in six of the last seven years.
In 2014, he posted a 2.99 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 202 strikeouts in 219.2 innings, earning a spot on the All-Star team before he was traded midseason.
Would adding him to the Toronto Blue Jays teams that reached the ALCS in 2015 and 2016 have been enough to push them over the top?
Actual Pick: OF Travis Snider
Samardzija's Actual Draft Position: No. 149 overall (Chicago Cubs)
15. Washington Nationals: RHP Mark Melancon
The Boston Red Sox traded Mark Melancon to the Pittsburgh Pirates before the 2013 season in a six-player deal that sent former closer Joel Hanrahan and utility man Brock Holt to Boston.
Melancon quickly moved into the closer's role in Pittsburgh and went on to save 130 games with a 1.80 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 8.3 K/9 in four seasons with the team before he was traded to the Washington Nationals at the 2016 deadline.
The Nationals dealt with bullpen issues for years before Melancon shored up the ninth inning down the stretch that year, converting 17 of 18 save chances with a 1.82 ERA in 30 appearances.
He cashed in with a four-year, $62 million deal in free agency that offseason, and he's dealt with some ups and downs in the years since, but the Nationals would have benefited greatly from acquiring him sooner.
Actual Pick: 3B Chris Marrero
Melancon's Actual Draft Position: No. 284 overall (New York Yankees)
16. Milwaukee Brewers: RHP Dellin Betances
The Milwaukee Brewers reached the 2018 NLCS on the strength of a dominant bullpen that was led by Josh Hader, Corey Knebel and Jeremy Jeffress.
Jeffress, who was the original pick at No. 16 overall, was traded to the Kansas City Royals in the 2010 Zack Greinke deal before he eventually found his way back to the Brewers.
Imagine adding Dellin Betances to that already lethal relief corps.
The 6'8" right-hander had a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with an eye-popping 115 strikeouts in 66.2 innings during the 2018 season. His ability to shorten games even further could have propelled the Brew Crew to the NL pennant that year.
All told, Betances has a 2.36 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 14.6 K/9 with 36 saves and 117 holds in 358 career appearances.
Actual Pick: RHP Jeremy Jeffress
Betances' Actual Draft Position: No. 254 overall (New York Yankees)
17. San Diego Padres: RHP David Robertson
David Robertson began his career in 2008 by serving as the primary setup man to Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera.
In 2011, he posted a 1.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with 100 strikeouts in 66.2 innings, earning a spot on the AL All-Star team as well as some down-ballot support in both Cy Young and MVP voting.
He took over the closer's role in 2014, saving 39 games in his final season with the Yankees before tallying another 84 saves in two-and-a-half seasons with the Chicago White Sox.
The 35-year-old has since returned to a setup role, and he spent most of 2019 on the injured list after signing a two-year, $23 million deal with the Phillies, but he has been one of the game's most reliable late-inning options for the better part of a decade.
Actual Pick: 3B Matt Antonelli
Robertson's Actual Draft Position: No. 524 overall (New York Yankees)
18. Philadelphia Phillies: LHP Zack Britton
The run on relief pitchers continues.
Zack Britton spent the first three seasons of his career bouncing between the MLB rotation and Triple-A before a full-time move to the bullpen led to a breakout season.
In 2016, he put together one of the most dominant campaigns by a reliever in MLB history, going a perfect 47-of-47 on save chances with a 0.54 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 to finish fourth in AL Cy Young voting.
He saved 120 games in 128 chances in his three full seasons as the Baltimore Orioles closer, and he spent last year as one of the top setup relievers in the New York Yankees bullpen.
Actual Pick: RHP Kyle Drabek
Britton's Actual Draft Position: No. 85 overall (Baltimore Orioles)
19. Florida Marlins: 3B David Freese
David Freese was by far the toughest player to place in this re-draft.
He put together one of the greatest postseason resumes in MLB history during his time with the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a .919 OPS with 10 home runs and 36 RBI in 69 games while taking home NLCS and World Series MVPs in 2011.
However, he did not produce at that same level during the regular season and often struggled to stay healthy, playing in more than 140 games just twice.
He hit .277/.351/.423 (113 OPS+) with 113 home runs and 535 RBI in 11 seasons, good for 18.4 WAR, and that, coupled with his playoff heroics, is enough for him to be a top-20 selection.
Actual Pick: RHP Brett Sinkbeil
Freese's Actual Draft Position: No. 273 overall (San Diego Padres)
20. Minnesota Twins: RHP Trevor Cahill
Trevor Cahill has been effective as both a starter and a reliever.
In his second MLB season, he went 18-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 196.2 innings with the Oakland Athletics, earning his lone All-Star selection and finishing ninth in AL Cy Young voting.
He topped 200 innings in each of the next two seasons before injuries cost him time, and he eventually transitioned into a relief role.
The 32-year-old has shuffled between roles in recent seasons, serving as a useful middle reliever with the Chicago Cubs in 2016 (50 G, 4 HLD, 2.74 ERA, 9.0 K/9) and a quality starter in his second go-around with the Athletics in 2018 (20 GS, 7-4, 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP).
The Twins have lacked any sort of consistency in both the rotation and bullpen over the past decade, so he would be a terrific addition to the staff in whatever role he filled.
Actual Pick: OF Chris Parmelee
Cahill's Actual Draft Position: No. 66 overall (Oakland Athletics)
21. New York Yankees: RHP Mat Latos
For four seasons, starting with his age-22 campaign in 2010, Mat Latos was one of the most promising young pitchers in baseball.
- 2010: 31 GS, 14-10, 2.92 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 189 K, 184.2 IP
- 2011: 31 GS, 9-14, 3.47 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 185 K, 194.1 IP
- 2012: 33 GS, 14-4, 3.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 185 K, 209.1 IP
- 2013: 32 GS, 14-7, 3.16 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 187 K, 210.2 IP
Injuries limited him to 16 starts in 2014, and he was never the same, struggling to a 5.05 ERA in 201.1 innings over his final three seasons and making his final MLB appearance at age 29.
Still, those four seasons of peak production would have been awfully useful for a New York Yankees team that reached the postseason three times during that stretch but failed to win a title.
Actual Pick: RHP Ian Kennedy
Latos' Actual Draft Position: No. 333 overall (San Diego Padres)
22. Washington Nationals: RHP Chris Tillman
Chris Tillman earned the Opening Day start for the Baltimore Orioles three times during his 10 seasons with the team.
From 2013 through 2016, he went 56-30 with a 3.91 ERA and 105 ERA+ while averaging 32 starts and 190 innings per season. He was worth 10.4 WAR during that stretch and earned a spot on the AL All-Star team in 2013.
He would have been a solid No. 2 or 3 starter on a deeper staff, but there's still plenty of value in that level of production, even if it was for a short time.
Adding him to the Washington Nationals staffs that included Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez, Jordan Zimmermann, Tanner Roark and Doug Fister at various points during that four-year span would have made their rotation that much deeper.
Actual Pick: RHP Colton Willems
Tillman's Actual Draft Position: No. 49 overall (Seattle Mariners)
23. Houston Astros: RHP Will Harris
After a shaky debut with the Colorado Rockies and two forgettable seasons with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Will Harris was claimed off waivers by the Houston Astros on Nov. 3, 2014.
In his first season with the team, he had a 1.90 ERA and 0.90 WHIP with 13 holds in 68 appearances.
He followed that up by earning a spot on the AL All-Star team the following year, and in five seasons with the Astros, he had a 2.36 ERA and 0.99 WHIP with 20 saves and 103 holds in 309 appearances.
His steady performance earned him a three-year, $24 million deal with the Washington Nationals during the offseason, but the Astros would happily re-up with him in this re-draft.
Actual Pick: C Maxwell Sapp
Harris' Actual Draft Position: No. 258 overall (Colorado Rockies)
24. Atlanta Braves: RHP Justin Masterson
Justin Masterson enjoyed a good four-year stretch as one of the better members of a solid Cleveland Indians starting rotation.
He was 12-10 with a 3.21 ERA in a career-high 216 innings during a breakout 2011 season.
He also earned a spot on the AL All-Star team in 2013 when he went 14-10 with a 3.45 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 195 strikeouts in 193 innings, twirling three shutouts along the way.
The right-hander spent just two more seasons in the majors after his impressive 2013 performance, struggling to a 5.79 ERA in 188 innings while battling injuries. He pitched in the minors in 2016 and 2017 in an attempt to make a comeback before calling it a career.
Still, he would have been a significant addition to an Atlanta Braves team that won 96 games in 2013.
Actual Pick: 1B Cody Johnson
Masterson's Actual Draft Position: No. 71 overall (Boston Red Sox)
25. Los Angeles Angels: LHP Derek Holland
After pitching out of the bullpen during the 2010 postseason, Derek Holland had a breakout 2011, going 16-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 162 strikeouts in 198 innings while leading the AL with four shutouts.
He went 2-0 with a hold while posting a 3.38 ERA over 24 innings in four starts and two relief appearances during the 2011 postseason, helping the Texas Rangers return to the World Series for a second straight year.
Injuries and general ineffectiveness have limited him over the past six seasons, and he spent the bulk of 2019 pitching in relief for the San Francisco Giants and Chicago Cubs.
That said, his impressive run in Arlington is reason enough for the pitching-needy Los Angeles Angels to be interested.
The 33-year-old is 78-78 with a 4.54 ERA and 94 ERA+ in 1,375.2 innings over his 11-year career.
Actual Pick: C Hank Conger
Holland's Actual Draft Position: No. 748 overall (Texas Rangers)
26. Los Angeles Dodgers: OF Desmond Jennings
Remember Desmond Jennings?
The toolsy outfielder has not played in the majors since 2016, despite the fact that he's still only 33 years old, but for a brief time he was a dynamic young power-speed threat for the Tampa Bay Rays.
From 2011 through 2014, he posted a 105 OPS+ while averaging 22 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs, 22 steals and 3.0 WAR and settling in as the team's everyday center fielder.
Injuries limited him to 93 games in 2015 and 2016, and he hit just .222 with a 78 OPS+ when he was healthy. Jennings played his final MLB game before his 30th birthday.
Still, he would have been a significant upgrade in left field for the Los Angeles Dodgers during his brief window of relevance. Guys like Tony Gwynn Jr., Juan Rivera, an aging Shane Victorino and an injury-plagued Carl Crawford were all tasked with manning the position during that time.
Actual Pick: RHP Bryan Morris
Jennings' Actual Draft Position: No. 289 overall (Tampa Bay Devil Rays)
27. Boston Red Sox: RHP Alex Cobb
Alex Cobb has never started 30 games in a season and has topped 160 innings just twice since he made his MLB debut in 2011.
That said, there's a reason the Baltimore Orioles handed him a four-year, $57 million contract when he hit free agency before the 2018 season.
When healthy, Cobb has looked like a front-line starter at times, including a stretch in 2013 and 2014 when he had a 2.82 ERA and 134 ERA+ in 309.2 innings. Unfortunately, he followed that by losing the entire 2015 season to Tommy John surgery and pitched just 22 innings in 2016.
Regardless, his upside and production when healthy is enough for the Boston Red Sox to pounce here at the end of the first round.
Actual Pick: OF Jason Place
Cobb's Actual Draft Position: No. 109 overall (Tampa Bay Devil Rays)
28. Boston Red Sox: RHP Joe Smith
Amid the volatility of MLB relievers, Joe Smith has been a rock-steady middle relief option for more than a decade.
The 36-year-old leads all active pitchers and ranks 56th on the all-time list with 782 career appearances, and he was still going strong last year with a 1.80 ERA and four holds in 28 appearances with the Houston Astros.
The side-arming right-hander has racked up 210 holds during his 13-year career, posting a 2.98 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.0 K/9 en route to 13.4 WAR.
He has rarely been used to close games, with 15 of his 30 career saves coming in 2014 as a member of the Los Angeles Angels, but he has been a reliable bridge.
Any team was happy to have him in its bullpen throughout the 2010s.
Actual Pick: RHP Daniel Bard
Smith's Actual Draft Position: No. 94 overall (New York Mets)
29. Chicago White Sox: RHP Adam Ottavino
Few pitchers have enjoyed the level of success in a Colorado Rockies uniform that Adam Ottavino did during his time with the team.
In seven seasons, he posted a 3.41 ERA and 136 ERA+ with 17 saves and 97 holds in 361 appearances out of the Colorado bullpen.
A career year in 2018 that included a 2.43 ERA and 13.0 K/9 with 34 holds in 75 appearances earned him a three-year, $27 million contract from the New York Yankees in free agency.
The 34-year-old had a 1.90 ERA and 11.9 K/9 with 28 holds and two saves in 73 games in his first season with the team, and his slider ranks as one of the most lethal pitches in the game.
Actual Pick: RHP Kyle McCulloch
Ottavino's Actual Draft Position: No. 30 overall (St. Louis Cardinals)
30. St. Louis Cardinals: LHP Brett Anderson
When healthy, Brett Anderson has been a terrific MLB starter.
He has topped 120 innings just three times in his 11-year career, which is why he didn't come off the board sooner in this re-draft, but his 4.05 ERA and 102 ERA+ in 997.1 innings speak to his above-average production when upright.
The 32-year-old went 13-9 with a 3.89 ERA and 111 ERA+ in 176 innings for the Oakland Athletics last season, a decade after he went 11-11 with a 4.06 ERA to finish sixth in AL Rookie of the Year voting in 2009.
In between, he spent time with the Rockies, Dodgers, Cubs and Blue Jays and spent countless days on the injured list, but he's a solid value here with the final pick of the first round.
Actual Pick: RHP Adam Ottavino
Anderson's Actual Draft Position: No. 55 overall (Arizona Diamondbacks)
31. Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Brandon Morrow
32. Baltimore Orioles: RHP Brad Peacock
33. San Francisco Giants: OF Jarrod Dyson
34. Arizona Diamondbacks: RHP Luke Gregerson
35. San Diego Padres: OF Jon Jay
36. Florida Marlins: RHP Jeremy Jeffress
37. Philadelphia Phillies: LHP Hector Santiago
38. Atlanta Braves: RHP Josh Tomlin
39. Cleveland Indians: RHP Chris Perez
40. Boston Red Sox: OF Drew Stubbs
41. New York Yankees: RHP Jared Hughes
42. St. Louis Cardinals: RHP Vinnie Pestano
43. Atlanta Braves: OF Chris Coghlan
44. Boston Red Sox: LHP Jeff Locke