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Wimbledon Tennis 2019 Men's Final: Roger Federer vs. Novak Djokovic Predictions

Gianni Verschueren@ReverschPassFeatured ColumnistJuly 13, 2019

LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 09: (EXCLUSIVE COVERAGE) The eight singles players competing at the Nitto ATP Finals take the Jubilee line on the London Underground from North Greenwich station to Westminster station to attend the Nitto ATP Finals Official Launch presented by Moet & Chandon at London's iconic Houses of Parliament on November 9, 2018 in London, England. (L-R) Novak Djokovic, Kei Nishikori, Dominic Thiem, John Isner, Kevin Anderson, Marin Cilic, Alexander Zverev, Roger Federer. The tournament will be played 11-18 November at The O2.  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

The 2019 Wimbledon tournament will have its dream final on Sunday between defending champion Novak Djokovic and record champion Roger Federer.

The Swiss star has won the tournament eight times―most recently in 2017―and beat longtime rival Rafael Nadal in four sets in the semi-finals. Djokovic has won four titles on the iconic London lawns, and he got past Roberto Bautista Agut in four sets to book his spot.

   

Head-to-Head

The 32-year-old Djokovic holds a 25-22 advantage over 37-year-old Federer. Crucially, the Serb has won five of their last six meetings. Their last two meetings on grass―both at Wimbledon―also went to Djokovic, and Federer hasn't beaten him on the playing surface since the 2012 semi-finals.

   

Form

Federer is 32-4 on the year, while Djokovic is 28-6. Both have played to a high standard so far during the tournament, with Federer dropping just three sets and Djokovic dropping two.

While many expected Federer to have the tougher challenge on Friday, Bautista Agut―who had won three of his last five meetings with Djokovic―pushed the World No. 1 hard, forcing him to play his best tennis:

Wimbledon @Wimbledon

How about this for tension 😱 A 45-shot rally of the highest order, courtesy of @DjokerNole and @BautistaAgut, is the deserved @HSBC_Sport Play of the Day... https://t.co/0QiLIpc1qj

Federer looked as good as ever against Nadal:

Wimbledon @Wimbledon

"That's amazing!" 😱 @RogerFederer was at his supreme best to reach another #Wimbledon final... https://t.co/MonE1xVsN8

There's little to separate these two in terms of form, although Federer has a slightly better record this year.

   

Predictions

This final is shaping up to be a great one, as neither player stands out as the clear favourite. Djokovic's recent record over Federer would suggest he has the inside track, but the two haven't met on grass since 2015, a surface on which the Swiss veteran is unbeaten so far this year.

One factor could be the Wimbledon crowd, which tends to root for Federer on most occasions.

Djokovic lost his cool dealing with the spectators in his win over Bautista Agut, but as tennis writer David Law noted, he tends to play better when it happens:

David Law @DavidLawTennis

Novak Djokovic taking on a tennis crowd (cheering for the other bloke) - haven’t seen that for a while. Usually works for him.

Tennis player Kristie Ahn expects the British fans to back Federer on Sunday:

Kristie Ahn @kristieahn

I can already see the Sunday final: *Crowd overwhelmingly roots for Roger* Djokovic: https://t.co/PJhIf8WnNW

His track record of success at Wimbledon is impressive, and his game is perfectly suited for the quicker lawn courts. Djokovic has had his number of late, however, and has already won a Grand Slam this year.

Prediction: Djokovic outlasts Federer in a five-set epic.

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