World Cup 2018: Thursday's Match Odds and Updated Group Predictions

Tom Sunderland@@TomSunderland_Featured ColumnistJune 21, 2018

(COMBO) This combination photo created on June 19, 2018 shows France's forward Antoine Griezmann in Nice on June 1, 2018 (L) and Peru's forward Paolo Guerrero in Saransk on June 16, 2018. - France will play Peru in their Russia 2018 World Cup Group C football match at the Ekaterinburg Arena in Ekaterinburg on June 21, 2018. (Photo by Franck FIFE and Filippo MONTEFORTE / AFP)        (Photo credit should read FRANCK FIFE,FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images)
FRANCK FIFE/Getty Images

France needed a penalty and an own goal to get them past Australia in their opening Group C match at the 2018 FIFA World Cup, but Peru are set to hand the pool favourites a stiffer task in Ekaterinburg on Thursday.

While Les Bleus were somewhat fortunate to emerge triumphant in their tournament bow, the Peruvians were unlucky not to glean a point from their meeting with Denmark and are now seeking a response to that 1-0 defeat.

Elsewhere in Group C, the Danes can open up some daylight at the summit if they manage to beat Australia at the Samara Arena and the result of the other pool match goes in their favour.

Thursday's late kick-off pits Argentina against their biggest Group D competitors and current leaders, Croatia, who know a win over the South Americans would prevent Jorge Sampaoli's men finishing top of the standings.

The shocks have been myriad at the World Cup in Russia, and here we discuss some more potential surprises for Thursday, complete with the fixture schedule and latest match odds.


Thursday's Schedule/Predictions

Denmark 2-1 Australia, 4 p.m. local time/1 p.m. BST/8 a.m. ET

France 1-1 Peru, 8 p.m. local time/4 p.m. BST/11 a.m. ET

Argentina 2-2 Croatia, 9 p.m. local time/7 p.m. BST/2 p.m. ET


Thursday's Match Odds

Denmark (7-10; bet $143 to win $100), Draw (3-1), Australia (37-10)

France (3-10), Draw (24-5), Peru (8-1)

Argentina (18-25), Draw (23-10), Croatia (2-1)

Odds courtesy of OddsShark


Projected Group Standings (Goal Difference)

Group C

1. Denmark: 6 (+2)

2. France: 4 (+1)

3. Peru: 1 (-1)

4. Australia: 0 (-2)


Group D

1. Croatia: 4 (+2)

2. Argentina: 2 (0)

3. Iceland: 1 (0)

4. Nigeria: 0 (-2)



The agony felt by Peru was only too clear following their opening 1-0 defeat to Denmark, a match in which they outshot their opponents 17-10, per WhoScored.com, and missed a penalty through Christian Cueva.

Such slips can't be afforded against France on Thursday, although Les Bleus head coach Didier Deschamps is still attempting to perfect his team despite their narrow win over Australia.

An Antoine Griezmann penalty and an own goal forced by Paul Pogba helped snatch the three points, but analytics guru 11tegen11 showed how their attack in particular needs to improve its play:

11tegen11 @11tegen11

Here's the dynamic #passmap for France's interchanging front three formation. The lack of pressing isn't exactly evident here, but note the complete absence of interplay among Dembele, Griezmann & Mbappe. Not a good sign. https://t.co/QPUH0VfHT0

Peru have laid the foundation for their World Cup largely on emotion and the fact this is their first finals appearance since 1982, but there's talent in the team and a defence that's not to be dismissed.

The attack could benefit from Paolo Guerrero's return to the starting XI, and they will boast a better back line than the Socceroos, with YouTuber David Vujanic one of those backing Ricardo Gareca's side to stage a surprise for the bookies:

VUJ @DavidVujanic

Peru will beat France. They’ll put in 450000% of their capabilities...this just means too much to them.

The shock results won't stop there on Thursday, though, as a capable-looking Croatia will be the next to attempt dampening Argentinian dreams in what's been a bit of a theme for La Albiceleste fans in recent years. 

Their 2014 World Cup runners-up finish aside, Argentina have become accustomed to expectations not being met.

After drawing 1-1 with Iceland on Saturday, Sampaoli is expected to shuffle his deck, per writer Peter Coates, but it's debatable whether change in formation is the best way to alter results:

Peter Coates @golazoargentino

Plenty of changes expected for Argentina's match against Croatia on Thursday but reports that Sampaoli has now switched in training to something like a 3-3-3-1 https://t.co/DLbOOVpYEG

Croatia are something of an antithesis to Argentina in that regard; they don't boast the same weaponry—although their midfield is strong—but they are a solid outfit and proved as much in their 2-0 win over Nigeria.

Expect the midfield to play a particularly significant role on Thurday, when a special onus will fall on Liverpool centre-back Dejan Lovren to help quell the likes of Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero.

In Group C, Denmark will look to continue their good form against Australia and should be able to keep pace at the top of the pool, with Nine News Melbourne recently breaking down a must-win match for them:

Nine News Melbourne @9NewsMelb

Australia needs to win its game against Denmark to keep its World Cup dreams alive. @cstanaway #9News https://t.co/1njwABPKqS

The problem for the Socceroos has long been in attack, and it speaks volumes that Mile Jedinak scored from a spot-kick to provide their only goal in the defeat to France, even if they did have chances from open play.

Denmark have greater quality across the park and possess a top-class goalkeeper in Leicester City's Kasper Schmeichel. Even if they have a similar dearth of quality strikers as Australia, the rest of their side should have enough to keep top spot in Group C heading into their final pool match.


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