Vegas Golden Knights vs. San Jose Sharks Game 3 Odds, Analysis, NHL Betting Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistApril 30, 2018

This April 16, 2018 photo shows San Jose Sharks goalie Martin Jones (31) during action against the Anaheim Ducks in the second period of Game 3 of an NHL hockey first-round playoff series in San Jose, Calif. Jones has been the missing ingredient for the Sharks ever since arriving in San Jose three years ago. With Jones in net, the Sharks have gone from a team known for playoff disappointments into one that has had more success this time of year. He led San Jose to the Stanley Cup Final two years ago and was even better during a first-round sweep this year against Anaheim. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Jeff Chiu/Associated Press

The San Jose Sharks will look to take a 2-1 lead over the Vegas Golden Knights on Monday when they host them as home favorites at the sportsbooks for Game 3 of their Western Conference second-round NHL playoff series.

The Sharks bounced back from a 7-0 shellacking in Game 1 with a 4-3 Game 2 victory in double overtime, handing the Golden Knights their first loss of the postseason.

      

NHL betting line: The Sharks opened as minus-148 favorites (wager $148 to win $100); the total is at 5.5 goals, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NHL betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 3.6-2.6, Golden Knights (NHL picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news.

      

Why the Golden Knights can pay on the NHL lines

Vegas can rebound on the road by playing a much smarter game that involves taking fewer penalties and staying focused versus a more veteran San Jose squad.

The Sharks scored two of their four Game 2 goals on seven power-play opportunities, including the game-winner just over five minutes into the second extra session. They did not score any of their goals on full strength 5-on-5 chances, which is a credit to goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, who made 43 saves in the losing effort.

The Knights also thought they had Game 2 won toward the end of the first overtime, but the potential game-winning goal was overturned due to goaltender interference, so they were close to going up 2-0.

     

Why the Sharks can pay on the NHL lines

San Jose played in the Stanley Cup final only two years ago and swept a good Anaheim Ducks team in the first round, and that experience is invaluable at this point.

No matter how well Vegas played through the first five games of the playoffs, the Sharks were great in five of their first six, and they realized Game 2 counted just as much as the series opener.

That said, they will lean on their home-ice advantage now and attempt to build on their momentum taken away from evening the series at 1-1.

     

Smart betting pick

The Golden Knights remain small series favorites despite splitting the first two games, and they enjoyed some success at San Jose during the regular season, winning 5-3 in the first meeting there and then falling 2-1 in overtime with backup goalie Malcolm Subban in net.

However, the Sharks will get winger Evander Kane back from a one-game suspension, and they have gone 12-4 in their last 16 home games, according to the OddsShark NHL Database. Take the home team to win Game 3.

      

NHL betting trends

The total has gone under in nine of Vegas' last 13 games on the road.

The total has gone over in 14 of San Jose's last 20 games.

San Jose is 7-2 in its last nine games at home.

    

All NHL odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.  

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